Crystal Palace v Bournemouth: Reap rewards from new market

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Crystal Palace striker Odsonne Edouard has been fouled in 10 of 14 appearances

Our football props column is looking to exploit a new market when Crystal Palace host Bournemouth in the Premier League on Wednesday night...


Crystal Palace v Bournemouth
Wednesday 6 December, 19:30
Live on Amazon Prime Video

You often find good opportunities when bookmakers open new markets and I think we've got an example of that this week.

Betfair are one of the first bookies to open 'player to be fouled' markets and it could pay to get involved at Selhurst Park.

Ahead of this 15th round of Premier League matches, Bournemouth had committed more fouls than every team bar Wolves, while hosts Palace were the fifth most-fouled side.

Leg 1: Michael Olise to be fouled 2+ times

I'm therefore looking for Palace players in this new market and Michael Olise is the standout selection.

He's 4/71.57 to be fouled at least twice. That may seem short at first glance but when you consider it's something which has occurred in 18 of his last 19 appearances, you realise it's a great price.

With Eberechi Eze currently injured, even more of the play will go through Olise and making him the base of our Bet Builder looks a solid play.

Leg 2: Odsonne Edouard to be fouled 1+ time

At the same price, I also like Odsonne Edouard, Palace's regular centre forward, to be fouled at least once.

That's happened 10 times out of 14 this season and it won't take much for him to get a nudge in the back in an aerial challenge.

Leg 3: Jefferson Lerma to be fouled 1+ time

Finally in this market, let's back Jefferson Lerma to be fouled at 8/131.61.

The Eagles' midfielder faces his former club here and so it would be no surprise for someone to put a 'welcome' tackle on him.

Lerma, no stranger to a foul himself, has been fouled in seven of 11 games this season, including the last five.

Leg 4: Adam Smith to commit 1+ foul

Last but not least, I'm also keen on a slightly different angle and that's to back Adam Smith in the 'fouls committed' market.

The Bournemouth right-back is set to go up against Jordan Ayew, who has moved to the left of Palace's attack since Olise's return from injury.

That's notable because Ayew is the most-fouled player in the Premier League so far this season, being fouled 3.4 times per game, on average.

Smith, who has started the last two games at right-back, has committed a foul in four of his five starts this term and looks good for another here.

Add the four legs together and we get a tempting price of just over 4/15.00.

Even if it doesn't land, these markets look to be ones for stats followers to be tracking over the coming weeks.

Back Olise to be fouled 2+ times, Edouard & Lerma to be fouled 1+ time & Smith 1+ foul @ around 4/15.00

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Opta: The best midweek bets based on the stats!

Recommended bets

Back Michael Olise to be fouled 2+ times, Odsonne Edouard & Jefferson Lerma to be fouled 1+ time & Adam Smith to commit 1+ foul @ around 4/15.00

Column P/L 2023/24

Staked: 114pts
Returned: 125.6pts
P/L: +11.6pts

2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts

Andy Schooler

Andy Schooler has been writing about sport for more than 20 years.

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