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Key man Wissa good for shots and drawing fouls
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Back Turf Moor Bet Builder at 9/1
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Burnley v Brentford
Saturday 16 March, 15:00
On Saturday, I'm going to focus on a Brentford side, who have played better of late than a run of two wins in their last 16 games suggests.
They've performed well in large periods of matches with leaders Arsenal and high-flying Liverpool in recent weeks and a trip to Burnley provides the chance for them to put it altogether and come up with three much-needed points.
The Bees have slipped to within five points of the relegation zone but Burnley are stuck well within it, 10 points from safety with the survival hopes largely pinned on draconian punishments for Everton and Nottingham Forest.
Burnley have lost 11 of 14 at Turf Moor and may well struggle again to contain a team who set out to attack.
Leg 1: Yoane Wissa 3+ shots
With that in mind, Yoane Wissa is the first name on the Bet Builder - for two reasons.
I'll start by backing him for 3+shots, a bet he landed at Arsenal last weekend and also against Chelsea, when he scored and had five shots in total.
Wissa loves to shoot on sight and he should get chances to do that when facing the league's fifth-worst defence in terms of shots conceded.
Leg 2: Yoane Wissa 2+ fouls drawn
The DR Congo international also makes the cut when it comes to the fouls-drawn market.
Wissa has been fouled 2+ times in 13 of 22 starts this season, including his last five.
I did consider the 3+ line at 11/4 but the concern is referee Darren Bond, who is below average on the fouls-per-game metric.
Leg 3: Zanka 1+ foul committed
Despite that worry, I'm also going to back Mathias Jorgensen for 1+ foul.
The man known as 'Zanka' has landed this bet six times in his last seven starts and the stand-in centre-back will be up against one of few Burnley players to impress of late, namely David Fofana.
Leg 4: Sergio Reguilon 1+ shot
Finally, to complete a Bet Builder above the 9/1 mark, let's back Sergio Reguilon for 1+ shot.
The Spaniard has managed this in six of his seven appearances for the Bees since his January loan move, including three in his last game against Chelsea.
He missed the Arsenal clash last week due to injury but is expected to return at left-back here, a position from where he's been granted licence to get forward by Thomas Frank.
Check out our Saturday football cheat sheet!
Recommended bets
Back Yoane Wissa 3+ shots & 2+ fouls drawn, Zanka 1+ foul committed and Reguilon 1+ shot @ around 9/110.00Column P/L 2023/24
Staked: 205pts
Returned: 223.73pts
P/L: +18.73pts
2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts