-
Pinnock's Brentford second-best for set-piece shots
-
Bueno can profit v Bees' makeshift backline
-
Back 3/1 shots-based Bet Builder
-
Read about Betfair's new 90 Minute Payout offer here
Brentford v Wolves
Friday 5 January, 19:15
Live on Betfair Live Video
FA Cup third-round weekend is upon us which means it's time for props punters to play Russian roulette in terms of the team news.
If you're someone prepared to take football managers by their word - and frankly I'm not - then Wolves should be putting out pretty much their strongest side with Gary O'Neil saying: "There will be no rotation on our front. We're going to be taking this game extremely seriously.
"Numbers are a bit short anyway at this moment, so rotation would be tricky. We go there with as strong a team as we can."
As with most Premier League teams this week, they will be weakened from their previous game though with players having now departed for the Africa Cup of Nations and the Asia Cup.
Wolves duly lose Rayan Ait-Nouri, Boubacar Traore and top scorer Hwang Hee-chan. Mario Lemina also remains absent following the death of his father.
Brentford, beaten 4-1 in this exact fixture less than two weeks ago, lose Yoane Wissa, Frank Onyeka and Saman Ghoddos to international duty. Throw in the suspended Ben Mee and a host of injuries, including Bryan Mbeumo, Rico Henry and Aaron Hickey, and Thomas Frank is probably in a similar boat - it's certainly hard to see how he'll make wholesale changes and at least he does have midfielder Josh Dasilva fit again.
Leg 1: Ethan Pinnock 1+ shot
The props area I'm going to focus on is shots where a couple of players I do expect to start both look a touch of value.
In this season's Premier League, only Liverpool have had more shots via set pieces than Brentford and the aerial ability of Ethan Pinnock has been a good source of them.
He managed one shot in that league defeat 10 days ago, one of 11 times he's managed a shot in 19 PL matches.
Leg 2: Hugo Bueno 1+ shot
Pinnock makes the Bet Builder slip - as does Hugo Bueno, who is expected to come in for Ait-Nouri at left wing-back.
If asked to play a similar role to the departed Algerian, Bueno will have plenty of licence to get forward and he'll be keen to impress on what would be a rare start.
Most of his appearances this season have come off the bench but it's interesting to see he's averaging a shot every 90 minutes on the pitch.
I like his chances of another here, particularly given the problems Brentford have in the full-back areas at present with Henry, Hickey and stop-gap Ghoddos all missing.
This could be an area where Wolves profit and, hopefully, Bueno can get away a shot at some stage.
The double pays just shy of 3/14.00.
And remember you can watch the game - and several of the weekend's other FA Cup ties - live on the Betfair Live Video streaming service!
More FA Cup tips: Seven bets for Saturday's ties!
Recommended bets
Back Ethan Pinnock & Hugo Bueno 1+ shot each in Brentford v Wolves @ around 3/14.00Column P/L 2023/24
Staked: 141pts
Returned: 151.7pts
P/L: +10.7pts
2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts