Albacete v Racing Ferrol: Route to profit paved with Silva

• Albacete odds-on despite just 1 win in 12

• Silva carded in six of 15 starts

• Back Bet Builder double at around 5/16.00

• Read about Betfair's 90 Minute Payout offer here

Albacete v Racing Ferrol
Monday 25 March, 19:30

Monday's international programme looks, frankly, rather drab and rather than bet on friendlies and having to third-guess team news, I much prefer to focus on a competitive game in Spain's second division.

Albacete, a club who regularly pull in crowds of 10,000-plus, shouldn't really be struggling as they are but the fact is they come into this match 19th in the table and very much in a relegation battle.

They've lost their last three and have now won only one of their last 12 matches. They also have the second-worst defensive record in the Segunda Division.

Leg 1: Racing-Draw in the double-chance market

Overall, it's hard to see why they are odds-on to beat ninth-placed Racing Ferrol.

Admittedly, the visitors have lost three on the spin on the road but those losses are three of only eight this season in this division and they look capable of avoiding defeat.

They've gone 5-2-0 against the bottom seven so far and while the majority of those games have been played on home soil, they've won at Mirandes and drawn at Alcorcon, sides who sit above Albacete in the standings.

They also won the reverse fixture, 5-4.

I'll happily take the visitors are close to even money in the double-chance market and also add an old cards favourite.

Leg 2: Jonathan Silva to be shown a card

Albacete left-back Jonathan Silva has been a cards-backer's dream at times during his Spanish career.

Probably best-known for his spell at Leganes, he was carded nine times in the 2018/19 season and 14 in the following campaign.

He moved on to renowned cloggers Getafe after that, notching a high cards-per-minute figure despite not getting many opportunities.

Since joining Albacete last summer, Silva has been carded in six of his 15 starts which immediately makes odds of 5/23.50 about another here look tempting.

That's tempered a little by the appointment of Jose Antonio Lopez Toca as referee - in Spanish terms he's on the lenient side of discipline, yet is still averaging well over four cards per game and has shown 6+ in three of his last four games.

Albacete are third in the division for fouls-per-game so could well keep Senor Lopez Taca on his toes.

Back on the positive side, Silva looks set to go up against Racing new boy Pinchi, who has already been fouled 17 times in six games since joining in the January transfer window.

All things considered, Silva to be carded and Racing to avoid defeat looks a plausible Bet Builder at just over 5/16.00.

Monday's internationals: Dan Fitch's best bets