Bet of the Day

Thursday Football Tips: Back an 11/2 Bet Builder at Bayer

Jose Mourinho
Jose Mourinho is aiming for another final with Roma

Paul Higham says fouls should come easy for Jose Mourinho's Roma as part of an 11/2 Bet Builder for their Europa League trip to Bayer Leverkusen.

  • Roma have won 10 of 11 ties when winning first leg

  • Ibanez & Abraham in top four in fouls for Roma

  • Back 11/2 Bet Builder on fouls & shots on target in Leverkusen


Set up for another Mourinho masterclass

It's just how Jose Mourinho would've have drawn this tie up, with Roma holding a 1-0 advantage heading into the second leg away at Bayer Leverkusen.

Xabi Alonso has done well at the helm of the German side but they're just running out of steam a bit with no wins in four - including defeat in their last home game.

It's still five wins from seven at the BayArena but Roma have come through 10 of their past 11 European ties when winning the first leg.

Mourinho is going for back-to-back European finals with the Giallorossi and more importantly winning this competition would get them back into the Champions League - as they're six points off the top four in Serie A.

Jose's spoiling tactics

It's not rocket science this is it? We know that Mourinho will throw his entire playbook at Leverkusen, getting his side to scrap, niggle, spoil and do generally anything they can to break up the tempo of the game.

And he'll have players at both ends of the pitch who are prime candidates to give away a couple of fouls each on the night - namely defender Roger Ibanez and forward Tammy Abraham.

Ibanez was booked in the first leg - his 15th of the season no less - and the 23/10 on him getting another here looks a bit of a gift for a stand alone bet.

We'll take the 4/5 on 2+ fouls though, as he's managed the last two games and in five of his last six outings.

Abraham will be tasked with putting himself about up front, as he did in the first leg with three fouls, so 8/11 on another two here looks fair.

Back Ibanez & Abraham 2+ fouls in Leverkusen v Roma & Diaby 2+ shots on target

11/2

For Bayer Leverkusen, Moussa Diaby has has 2+ shots on target in nine of the last 10 - the one he didn't? Yep, you guessed it, away at Roma.

It's a bit of a concern, but back on home turf he'll have more joy and will surely get back on track with another two-shot outing at 11/10.

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COLUMN P/L FOR 2022/23

Staked: 302pts
Returned: 342.06pts
P/L: +40.66pts

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