Bet of the Day

Monday Football Tips: Corner the market at San Siro

Stefano Pioli, AC Milan boss
Stefano Pioli's side don't play with any great width

Our football props column kicks off a new week with a 3/1 Bet Builder for AC Milan's home clash with Salernitana in Serie A on Monday night...

  • Milan have gone under 5.5 corners in last 11

  • Pirola 2+ fouls in 5 of last 6

  • Bet Builder double pays 3/1


There looks to be a corner angle (or two) to be had in Serie A's Monday night game at the San Siro.

Milan's lack of width tends to keep their corner numbers down - neither Rafael Leao nor Brahim Diaz are natural wide men and both subsequently both like to drift infield rather than attacking the full-backs and getting to the line.

Stefano Pioli's side have actually lost the corners match bet in seven of their last eight games so 3/1 about Salernitana off scratch certainly has potential.

After all, they won the count 6-2 in the reverse fixture in January, a game which saw them lose 2-1 and have only 44% of possession.

The problem with this is they've got a pretty poor record overall in terms of winning corners themselves. They are also the away side here, going up against a team desperate to secure Champions League football next season, so perhaps the best way to approach this aspect to focus solely on Milan's flag-kicks.

They've gone under 4.5 in eight of their last nine in all competitions and that's available at 15/8.

That's tempting but for a bit of a safety net, I'm going to side with under 5.5 Milan corners which is a 19/20 shot, one which has landed in the Rossoneri's last 11 matches.

If we double it up with 2+ fouls for visiting centre-back Lorenzo Pirola, we get a Bet Builder price of around 3/1.

Pirola has been racking up good fouls numbers since his return to the side in January with his last six games (most recent first) producing the following: 2-0-2-4-3-4.

The 21-year-old is on loan at Salernitana from none other than Inter Milan so this match should mean a lot to him and there's every chance he's giving that little bit extra which could get him into further trouble.

Milan usually play Olivier Giroud up against the centre-backs, an old-school centre-forward capable of winning plenty of free-kicks, although there's been talk in Italy of Zlatan Ibrahimovic potentially starting here after a long spell out.

Likewise, the Swede is an awkward, physical customer to deal with so, either way, Pirola should have his hands full.

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Column P/L 2022/23

Staked: 238pts
Returned: 277.58pts
P/L: +39.58pts

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Andy Schooler avatar

Andy Schooler

Andy Schooler has been writing about sport for more than 20 years.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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