Premier League Prices: Man City cut to 11/4 for title after top two play out Super Sunday draw

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It ended up being a good weekend for Man City who got the perfect set of results in Matchday 13, a win over Leeds before seeing Arsenal and Chelsea draw, but it was bad news for the clubs at the wrong end of the table. Mike Norman updates the Betfair Sportsbook's significant Premier League markets...

  • Man City close the gap to Arsenal and shorten to 11/43.75 for title

  • Gunners remain 2/51.40 but some big price movements elsewhere

  • Top five in Relegation market all lose in Matchday 13

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Matchday 13 Results

  • Brentford 3-1 Burnley
  • Man City 3-2 Leeds
  • Sunderland 3-2 Bournemouth
  • Everton 1-4 Newcastle
  • Tottenham 1-2 Fulham
  • Crystal Palace 1-2 Man United
  • Aston Villa 1-0 Wolves
  • Nottingham Forest 0-2 Brighton
  • West Ham 0-2 Liverpool
  • Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal

Latest Standings

Teams P W D L GF GA PTS
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71 27 85
2 Man City 38 23 9 6 77 35 78
3 Man Utd 38 20 11 7 69 50 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56 49 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63 53 60
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58 54 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42 48 54
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52 46 53
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55 52 53
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58 52 52
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47 51 52
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 53 55 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47 50 49
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49 56 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41 51 45
16 Nottm Forest 38 11 11 16 48 51 44
17 Spurs 38 10 11 17 48 57 41
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46 65 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38 75 22
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27 68 20

Premier League Winner

It was honours even between the top two on Super Sunday as Chelsea held Arsenal 1-1 at Stamford Bridge despite playing most of the game with 10 men.

The Blues looked the better team in the early stages but Moses Caicedo's dismissal following a reckless tackle on Mikel Merino appeared to hand the initiative to the league leaders, but early in the second half Trever Chalobah headed Enzo Maresca's men in front.

Chelsea couldn't hold on however, and midway through the second half Merino equalised for Mikel Arteta's men before neither side could find a winner, meaning the Blues dropped to third in the table, six points behind the Gunners.

After the game, Arsenal were unchanged at 2/51.40 to win the Premier League title with Chelsea drifting out to 28/129.00, just behind Liverpool at 22/123.00 who got back to winning ways with a 2-0 win over struggling West Ham earlier on Sunday, the big news from that particular game being Mo Salah being dropped to the bench and remaining an unused substitute. 

Manchester City remain second favourites to win the title, cut to 11/43.75 from 3/14.00, though they were made to work hard for their 3-2 win over Leeds on Saturday. With a comfortable home win expected, the Citizens raced into a 2-0 lead and the game looked as good a over at that point. But Leeds came roaring back with two second half goals beofre their hearts were broken when Phil Foden scored a stoppage time winner.

City moved up to second in the table, four points behind Arsenal, before Sunday's games, and that's the position they occupy at the conclusion of Matchday 13, though they are now five points behind the Gunners after the stalemate at Stamford Bridge.

The Betfair traders seeming believe the title is between the four clubs mentioned with no other Premier League club trading at less than 125/1126.00.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Arsenal 2/51.40 9/43.25 5/23.50 2/51.40
Man City 11/43.75 7/24.50 8/19.00 5/23.50
Liverpool 22/123.00 7/42.75 22/123.00 10/111.91
Chelsea 28/129.00 15/28.50 40/141.00 15/28.50

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Premier League Top 4 Finish

Following their 2-0 win away to West Ham Liverpool were cut from 1/21.50 to 2/51.40 to record a Top 4 Finish this season. Arne Slot's men moved up to eighth in the table, level on points with Manchester United in seventh who came from behind to beat Crystal Palace 2-1 at Selhurst Park.

Despite the victory, United are a point bigger in the betting than this time last week - they lost at home to Everton on Monday night - and currently trade at 3/14.00 to finish in the top four.

Chelsea remain 8/131.61 in the market but Newcastle, Aston Villa and Brighton all shortened to 5/16.00 following weekend victories over Everton, Wolves and Nottinghan Forest respectively.

Crystal Palace drifted to 15/28.50 following their home defeat to Manchester United, and it's a clear gap to the next club in the market, Bournemouth, who are out to 16/117.00 after losing away to Sunderland.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Liverpool 2/51.40 1/161.06 1/21.50 1/331.03
Chelsea 8/131.61 8/151.53 6/42.50 8/151.53
Man United 3/14.00 3/14.00 5/16.00 15/82.88
Newcastle 5/16.00 3/14.00 15/28.50 3/14.00
Aston Villa 5/16.00 4/15.00 16/117.00 4/15.00
Brighton 5/16.00 16/117.00 16/117.00 5/16.00
Crystal Palace 15/28.50 25/126.00 25/126.00 13/27.50

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Premier League Top 6 Finish

With Arsenal, Man City, Liverpool and Chelsea all long odds-on to record a Top 6 Finish this season, Manchester United are the only other team to trade at odds-on after moving up to seventh in the table with their win at Crystal Palace.

The big winners this weekend were Newcastle, Villa and Brighton who all shortened in the market. The Magpies moved up to 13th in the table with a 4-1 win over Everton on Saturday and they can now be backed at 13/82.63 to finish in the top six.

Rather surprisingly, the Betfair traders continue to seemingly dislike Aston Villa who are now fourth in the table, six points ahead of Newcastle, yet trade at the bigger price of 13/82.63, the same price as Brighton who are up to fifth and are now the shortest prices they've been all season to finish in the top six.

Bournemouth are out to 9/25.50 following their defeat at Sunderland but the big losers are Tottenham, who continue to drift in various markets and are now the highest price they've been this season, 5/16.00, to finish in the top six having been as low as 1/12.00 earlier in the campaign.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Man United 17/201.85 4/51.80 6/42.50 4/71.57
Newcastle 11/82.38 10/111.91 2/13.00 10/111.91
Aston Villa 13/82.63 5/42.25 6/17.00 5/42.25
Brighton 13/82.63 9/25.50 5/16.00 13/82.63
Crystal Palace 9/43.25 17/29.50 17/29.50 2/13.00
Bournemouth 9/25.50 9/110.00 9/110.00 13/82.63
Tottenham 5/16.00 13/82.63 5/16.00 1/12.00

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Premier League Relegation

The top five clubs in the Relegation market - who occupy the bottom five positions in the table - all lost in Matchday 13 and they're now at least five points behind the team currently 15th in the table, Fulham (14/115.00 to go down).

Wolves remain 1/331.03 for the drop after their 1-0 defeat at Villa Park, a result which means they're still yet to record a Premier League win this season. Burnley shortened to 1/101.10 (later drifing to 1/91.11) following their defeat against Brentford on Saturday, while West Ham are the third team to trade at odds-on, 17/201.85, after Sunday's home defeat to Liverpool.

Leeds remain 5/42.25 in the market after an expected defeat at Man City but Nottingham Forest have shortened slightly to 5/16.00 after a 0-2 home defeat to Brighton, this coming just a week after thrashing Liverpool at Anfield.

Those five defeats for the clubs mentioned above mean it was a great weekend for Sunderland and Fulham, who recorded single-goal victories over Bournemouth and Tottenham respectively.

The Black Cats - who were red hot 2/91.22 favourites to be relegated when the market first opened in the summer - are now up to sixth in the table on 22 points, which is just four points fewer than the total that would have kept you up in last season's Premier League (Leicester finished 18th on 25 points). Sunderland can be backed at 10/111.00 to be relegated.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Wolves 1/331.03 3/14.00 3/14.00 1/331.03
Burnley 1/91.11 1/41.25 1/21.50 1/101.10
West Ham 17/201.85 5/16.00 5/16.00 1/31.33
Leeds 5/42.25 11/102.11 3/14.00 11/102.11
Nottm Forest 5/16.00 8/19.00 8/19.00 2/13.00
Sunderland 10/111.00 7/201.35 10/111.00 7/201.35
Fulham 14/115.00 7/18.00 14/115.00 5/16.00

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Premier League Top Goalscorer

Please note: The Top Goalscorer market hasn't been re-priced at the time of writing so the odds shown for 'current odds' are what they were last week. We can expect Igor Thiago to shorten however following a brace against Burnely, while Erling Haaland should be on the drift after drawing a blank against Leeds.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Haaland (14) 1/121.08 6/42.50 6/42.50 1/121.08
Thiago (11) 16/117.00 150/1151.00 150/1151.00 16/117.00
Gyokeres (4) 20/121.00 6/17.00 20/121.00 6/17.00
Mbuemo (5) 20/121.00 80/181.00 125/1126.00 20/121.00
Salah (4) 25/126.00 13/27.50 25/126.00 11/26.50
Pedro (4) 25/126.00 14/115.00 33/134.00 14/115.00
Semenyo (6) 33/134.00 150/1151.00 150/1151.00 17/118.00
Richarlison (5) 40/141.00 150/1151.00 150/1151.00 40/141.00

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Now read Mike Norman's preview of Fulham v Man City here.


Mike Norman

Sport fanatic with a particular love of football, golf, snooker and horse-racing

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