English Premier League Tips

Premier League Prices: Man City shorten to 11/10 in title race after Arsenal scare

  • Mike Norman
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 3:00 min read
Premier League Betting Odds

The top three in the Premier League all won this weekend, while Liverpool welcomed back Mo Salah and returned to winning ways, though it was bad news for the trio of clubs in the relegation zone. Mike Norman updates the lastest odds...

  • Man City shorten to 11/102.11 for title

  • Liverpool back to winning ways with Salah back in favour

  • Bottom three all lose again

  • Safe Sub is here for the 2025-26 season - read all about it!


Matchday 16 Results

  • Chelsea 2-0 Everton
  • Liverpool 2-0 Brighton
  • Burnley 2-3 Fulham
  • Arsenal 2-1 Wolves
  • Crystal Palace 0-3 Man City
  • Nottm Forest 3-0 Tottenham
  • Sunderland 1-0 Newcastle
  • West Ham 2-3 Aston Villa
  • Brentford 1-1 Leeds
  • Man United v Bournemouth (playing Monday, read our preview here)

Latest Standings

Teams P W D L GF GA PTS xGF xGA xGD EXP FCST
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71 27 85 0 0 0
2 Man City 38 23 9 6 77 35 78 0 0 0
3 Man Utd 38 20 11 7 69 50 71 0 0 0
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56 49 65 0 0 0
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63 53 60 0 0 0
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58 54 57 0 0 0
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42 48 54 0 0 0
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52 46 53 0 0 0
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55 52 53 0 0 0
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58 52 52 0 0 0
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47 51 52 0 0 0
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 53 55 49 0 0 0
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47 50 49 0 0 0
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49 56 47 0 0 0
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41 51 45 0 0 0
16 Nottm Forest 38 11 11 16 48 51 44 0 0 0
17 Spurs 38 10 11 17 48 57 41 0 0 0
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46 65 39 0 0 0
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38 75 22 0 0 0
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27 68 20 0 0 0
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Premier League Winner

There's no change at the top of the table in terms of points and positions as Arsenal remain out in front thanks to an incredibly fortunate 2-1 win over rock bottom Wolves on Saturday night.

The Gunners were way below their best and required an own goal to take the lead midway through the first half, but they were pegged back in the 90th minute before another Wolves own goal handed Mikel Arteta's men the three points in stoppage time.

Despite maintaining a two point lead at the top of the table Arsenal drifted to 5/61.84 in the Premier League Winner market on Sunday after Man City ran out impressive 3-0 winners at Crystal Palace. The Citizens stay second in the table but their odds to win the title shortened from 13/102.30 last week to 11/102.11 this week.

Aston Villa's impressive form continued with a 3-2 win over West Ham at the London Stadium. Unai Emery's men had to twice come from behind but a Morgan Rogers brace ensured Villa stay third in the table, just three points behind Arsenal, and they are now 28/129.00 clear third favourites in the title race.

Both Liverpool and Chelsea got back to winning ways on Saturday, each recording 2-0 home victories with Mo Salah back in the Reds squad being the big story. They can be backed at 33/134.00 and 40/141.00 respectively to win the title.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Arsenal 5/61.84 9/43.25 5/23.50 2/51.40
Man City 11/102.11 7/24.50 8/19.00 11/102.11
Aston Villa 28/129.00 66/167.00 300/1301.00 28/129.00
Liverpool 33/134.00 7/42.75 33/134.00 10/111.91
Chelsea 40/141.00 15/28.50 50/151.00 15/28.50

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Premier League Top 4 Finish

Liverpool's victory over Brighton has them sixth in the table, just two point behind Chelsea in fourth, and they are now 4/71.57 from 4/51.80 to record a Top 4 Finish. The Blues also shortened after the win over Everton, and they can be backed at 10/111.91.

Aston Villa are the shortest price they've been all season to finish in the top four at even money, while Manchester United - who host Bournemouth on Monday night - remain a similar price to what they were seven days ago at 3/14.00.

Crystal Palace and Newcastle have both drifted in the market following disappointing defeats on Sunday. Palace were well beaten at home to Man City while Newcastle were shocked by newly-promoted Sunderland in the Tyne-Wear derby, losing 1-0 thanks to a Nick Woltemade own goal.

Palace are now fifth in the table and can be backed at 15/28.50 to finish in the top four while the Magpies remain 12th and are trading at 17/29.50.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Liverpool 4/71.57 1/161.06 4/51.80 1/331.03
Chelsea 10/111.91 8/151.53 6/42.50 8/151.53
Aston Villa 1/12.00 4/15.00 16/117.00 1/12.00
Man United 3/14.00 3/14.00 5/16.00 15/82.88
Crystal Palace 15/28.50 25/126.00 25/126.00 9/25.50
Newcastle 17/29.50 3/14.00 17/29.50 3/14.00

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Premier League Top 6 Finish

After appearing in the Top 6 Finish odds table below for the first time this season seven days ago, Everton drifted out from 9/25.50 to 6/17.00 following their defat to Arsenal.

Also on the drift are Tottenham who lost heavily at Nottingham Forest on Sunday afternoon. Thomas Frank's men can't seem to get any consistency this season, mixing good away form with poor home results and then switching to a bad result on the road following back-to-back home victories.

Spurs are out to 7/18.00 to finish in the top six this term, and that's the biggest price they've been all season having hit a low of 1/12.00 earlier in the campaign.

Palace, Newcastle and Brighton also drifted after their Matchday 16 defeats, so we can expect Manchester United to shorten significantly if thy get the better of Bournemouth on Monday night.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Chelsea 1/51.20 1/91.11 4/91.44 1/91.11
Aston Villa 2/91.22 5/42.25 6/17.00 2/91.22
Man United 17/201.85 4/51.80 6/42.50 4/71.57
Crystal Palace 2/13.00 17/29.50 17/29.50 6/42.50
Newcastle 5/23.50 10/111.91 5/23.50 10/111.91
Brighton 10/34.33 9/25.50 5/16.00 13/82.63
Everton 6/17.00 10/111.00 14/115.00 9/25.50
Tottenham 7/18.00 13/82.63 7/18.00 1/12.00

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Premier League Relegation

The number of candidates to be relegated appear to be getting smaller by the week and we now have just five teams trading at under 14/115.00 in the Relegation market.

Even with 22 games to go, Wolves appear done and dusted and are trading at an un-backable price despite putting up a decent fight in losing 2-1 at Arsenal. Burnley have shortened to 1/401.03 to go down after suffering a seventh successive defeat, losing at home 2-3 to Fulham on Saturday.

While Wolves and Burnley appear to have mountains to climb to avoid the drop, West Ham are just three point behind Leeds despite their home defeat to Aston Villa. The Hammers are 4/71.57 to go down while Leeds can be backed at 11/43.75 following their 1-1 draw at Brentford. Nottingham Forest drifted to 13/27.50 after their 3-0 win over Tottenham.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Wolves 1/5001.00 3/14.00 3/14.00 1/5001.00
Burnley 1/401.03 1/41.25 1/21.50 1/401.03
West Ham 4/71.57 5/16.00 5/16.00 1/31.33
Leeds 11/43.75 11/102.11 3/14.00 11/102.11
Nottm Forest 13/27.50 8/19.00 8/19.00 2/13.00

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Premier League Top Goalscorer

At the time of writing the Top Goalscorer market hasn't been re-priced but it's all over bar the shouting effectively. Erling Haaland's brace at Crystal Palace stretched his lead to six over Brentford's Ivan Thiago, and he's 10 clear of everyone else.

Only a long-term injury can stop Haaland from winning his third Premier League Golden Boot in four seasons at Man City.

*Please Note: Prices below are as they were after Matchday 15.

Team Current Odds Pre-Season Odds Sportsbook High Sportsbook Low
Haaland (17) 1/101.10 6/42.50 6/42.50 1/121.08
Thiago (11) 8/19.00 150/1151.00 150/1151.00 8/19.00
Ekitike (7) 33/134.00 17/118.00 33/134.00 17/118.00
Mateta (7) 40/141.00 50/151.00 100/1101.00 33/134.00
Semenyo (6) 40/141.00 150/1151.00 150/1151.00 17/118.00

*Please Note: Pre-Season, Sportsbook High and Sportsbook Low Odds date back to Friday 15 August, the day the new Premier League season commenced. Any fluctuation in odds prior to 15 August are not recorded.


Now read Mike Norman's preview of Man United v Bournemouth here.


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Mike Norman avatar

Mike Norman

Sport fanatic with a particular love of football, golf, snooker and horse-racing

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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