Aston Villa v Sunderland - Side with the visitors
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Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports
Aston Villa are in a very nice position. They are through to the semi-finals of the Europa League where they will play Nottingham Forest. And that will be the priority of European connoisseur Unai Emery, not that the league needs too much focus.
The Villans start the weekend in fourth, seven points clear of sixth with 18 points left to play for. They are 1/161.06 on to finish in the top five and qualify for the Champions League next season.
So, in other words, the league isn't a priority and at 5.69/2, I'll be taking Sunderland to win here.
Villa have won 10 of 16 games on their own patch in the top flight this term but have lost four of their last nine games there (Everton, Brentford, Newcastle, Chelsea).
The Black Cats are not the best travelers but their form has picked up since Granit Xhaka returned.
They've gone three away games unbeaten, drawing at Bournemouth and winning at Elland Road and St James' Park.
Back Sunderland to win
Everton v Liverpool - Take the Toffees
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Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports
Liverpool's 4-0 two-legged Champions League quarter-final defeat to PSG is going to have lasting damage for a few reasons.
It could spell the end of Arne Slot. His decisions recently in terms of tactics and personnel have been very puzzling, especially in this clash.
He opted for a back five in Paris alongside a man-to-man press and it didn't work.
At Anfield, a half fit Alexander Isak started, Alexis Mac Allister played in the 10 with Florian Wirtz shoved out to the left and Hugo Ekitke on the right. Mohamed Salah and Rio Ngumoha were left on the bench.
The Reds played a lot better than they did in the first leg but that will be little consolation. Besides, the evening was marred further as Ekitke was stretchered off with what looks like a season ending injury.
It means Liverpool will head to the Hill Dickinson Stadium without their best striker and their best keeper.
Giorgi Mamardashvili clearly doesn't instill confidence in his back four like Alisson does. The Georgian has started seven league games, conceded 12 goals and kept two clean sheets.
The Reds have lost four of their last five in all competitions. I wouldn't be in a rush to back them here, besides Everton are hot on their heels and in with a shot of playing European football next season.
That said, with six wins across 16 games (D4 L6), the Toffees new ground isn't exactly a fortress. They have won their last two games there without conceding (Burnley, Chelsea) and considering Liverpool's form, schedule and injury issues, backing the hosts to win at 3.309/4 with the Exchange is worth a punt.
Also, since Virgil van Dijk got injured at Everton he's been booked in three out of four trips to Goodison. He wasn't carded in the last derby at the Toffees old ground and might not continue this rash-streak at a different venue. Nonetheless, his card price could be worth a look on Sunday.
Back Everton to win
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Nottingham Forest v Burnley - Back Clarets at big price
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Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports
Burnley can be backed at 7.413/2 with the Exchange to win at the City Ground. They are an industry best price of 6/17.00 with the Sportsbook but as short as 19/45.75 with some firms. At first glance, it seems a touch big.
For context, they went off shorter at Fulham, Everton, Sunderland, West Ham, Wolves, Aston Villa and Tottenham (back in August).
This issue is, the Clarets lost all bar one of those games and did so by an aggregate scoreline of 18-7. Scott Parker's side have been a lot more consistent recently though. They've picked up points in half of their last 16 league games (W1 D7 L8).
Hosts Nottingham Forest are three points above the drop but four unbeaten in the league (W1 D3). They have only won one of their six league games since Vitor Pereira took charge and haven't won a league game on their own patch since mid-December (D5 L3).
Burnley have only won twice away all season but at the prices, I think they have to be backed with the Exchange.
Back Burnley to win
Manchester City v Arsenal - Time to back the Gunners again?
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Sunday, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports
This fixture at the Etihad really puts the Super into Sunday. I am sure everyone is well aware of the context but a quick refresher won't do any harm.
Manchester City are six points behind Arsenal with a game in-hand, a home win on Sunday would make it three and then the Cityzens go to Turf Moor next Wednesday. Win that, and it's level on points heading into the final five games of the season.
It is worth noting, Arsenal's goal-difference is three goals better off than City's and the Gunners have the better schedule with Newcastle (H), Fulham (H), West Ham (A), Burnley (H) and Crystal Palace (A) left to play.
In the league, after Burnley, City play Everton (A), Brentford (H), Bournemouth (A), Crystal Palace (H) and Aston Villa (H).
Amongst that, City have their FA Cup semi-final with Southampton and Arsenal play Atletico Madrid in the Champions League semi-final.
It's all very exciting.
Anyway, at 4.57/2 with the Exchange Arsenal could be the bet.
They were the favourites at a neutral venue in the League Cup final - granted they lost - but that was the first defeat against City since Pep Guardiola's side beat them 4-1 in April 2023 (W3 D3).
Back Arsenal to win
No hanky panky with this Yankee
Naturally, I'll be backing a Yankee (x11) alongside these singles. It's 11 bets with the stake split evenly across the doubles, trebles and four-fold.
With 1.1pts on the Yankee, we will have the singles and every combination of doubles upwards covered in case everything goes our way.
The four-fold currently pays out at a little over 502/1503.00 with the Sportsbook.
Back Sunderland, Everton, Burnley and Arsenal Yankee (x11)