English Premier League Tips

Premier League Tipsheet: The best bets from Saturday's magnificent seven

  • Stephen Tudor
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 4.00 min read
Harry Kane, Spurs
Kane has often been the scourge of the Emirates
  • Strikers to reign in NLD
  • Palace need a reset for rest of season
  • Seagulls won't be scared of Anfield test
  • Everton must overcome awayday blues

Arsenal v Tottenham (12:30) - The usual suspects


Strikers typically grab the headlines in this fixture with 15 of the last 20 NLD goals scored by forwards. Nine of that number have come from Harry Kane and Son Heung-min.

No player has ever scored more in a North London Derby than Kane, while in recent times his partner-in-crime has also come to the fore, with six direct goal involvements in the last five meetings.

For Arsenal, Gabby Jesus is flying, scoring or assisting every 87 minutes this term, and for all of the weighty narratives that loom large over this game we should focus only on the sharp ends. There, we won't go too far wrong.

As for the manner of the goals to come, only Manchester City have converted more from inside the box than Arsenal, while Spurs have seven headed goals to their name, a league high. Max Liu meanwhile believes early drama is likely.

Back Kane to have one or more headers on target @

3.7

Bournemouth v Brentford (15:00) - Toney triggered

It remains to be seen how psychologically damaging Brentford's 3-0 loss to Arsenal has been on a side that was tearing into this season at full pelt. Against the Gunners, Thomas Frank's men were outclassed and uncharacteristically subdued.

What this Saturday does represent is a chance for Ivan Toney to take out his frustrations on a much-improved Bournemouth after getting no international minutes this past fortnight. The Bees striker has scored five from just 17 attempts this term, a 29.4% conversion rate that is right up there.

If they have been clinical up front, the visitors have been porous at the back, and with the Cherries finding the back of the net in recent weeks an entertaining - if difficult to call - contest awaits.

A bet builder of BTTS and Toney to have two or more shots on target is decent value at around

3.5

Crystal Palace v Chelsea (15:00) - Righting wrongs

By the time Saturday afternoon rolls around, it will be four weeks since Palace last played a competitive fixture, and though Patrick Vieira will have lost some personnel to international duty, he will have relished the opportunity to get his men on the training pitches, amending a season that has gone awry.

Sourcing goals from midfield will have been on the agenda. Palace are one of only two clubs - Everton being the other - who have yet to benefit from a midfielder finding the target.

Getting the ball into dangerous wide areas is another wrong to be righted. Palace have put in the fewest crosses this term and with speedsters Zaha and Eze at their disposal, that is criminal.

Improving work-rate is another must. No team around them in the table have put in fewer tackles.

As for Chelsea, they boast a formidable record against the Eagles, winning their last ten encounters across all comps but with this being Graham Potter's first league game in charge, the formation and performance will be as revealing as the result.

If selected, a revived Kai Havertz poses a threat. For club and country, the German has scored three in his last four outings.

Back Havertz to score anytime @

3.0

Mitrovic, Fulham.jpg

Fulham v Newcastle (15:00) - No forwards in sight



Alexander Isak will be a big miss for the visitors, after starting his North-East adventure brightly and elsewhere fitness and availability in their attacking ranks is Newcastle's big consideration prior to heading to the capital this weekend.

Allan Saint-Maximin and Chris Wood are serious doubts, while Callum Wilson and Bruno Guimaraes should both feature even though neither will be up to full speed.

It's the possible absence of Aleksandar Mitrovic that most impacts on this game's build-up however, the powerful Serb scoring his 50th goal for his country mid-week but also picking up an ankle problem. The 28-year-old has scored every 82 minutes at Craven Cottage in this calendar year and has notched 66.7% of Fulham's goals in 2022/23.

Newcastle's five draws in seven is a clue to how this one might play out, and with so much attacking talent injured, or compromised, don't discount a low-scoring stalemate at that.

Backing the score-draw is a decent shout @

4.3

Liverpool v Brighton (15:00) - Baptism or a bang?



At first glance, Anfield is a real baptism of fire for new Brighton boss Roberto De Zerbi, but scratch around and there are plenty of causes for optimism.

Last season, the Seagulls held the Reds to a 2-2 draw, doubling the hosts' shots on target tally in the process. A year earlier, they left Merseyside with the points, again surpassing Liverpool in the shot stats.

That Jurgen Klopp's men have picked up a habit for conceding first - five times already this term - is also worthy of note, especially against a side that took the lead on 15 occasions last season and didn't lose once. This time out, it's four wins from four in this regard for a team that defends narrow and compact when in front, inviting deliveries from out wide and trusting their towering centre-backs to deal with them.

No team has put in more crosses than Liverpool in 2022/23 so expect that to be a pattern should De Zerbi's tenure start with a bang.

Take a punt on Brighton having four or more shots on target @

2.1

Southampton v Everton (15:00) - Goals at a premium

The Toffees' away record under Frank Lampard has been consistently dire, winning just one in 12, while their record at Southampton is little to write home about, winning just two in 12.

A singular victory this term is also an obvious concern but at least with so many draws Everton can legitimately claim to be on a five-game unbeaten run and that can be construed as progress. Ninety-minutes at St Marys will give that contention some substance or destroy it.

As for the Saints, they're a hard team to pin down at present, and because the same applies to this contest it's probably shrewd to play it safe and head to the under/over market.

Neither side have been prolific, nor do they possess a goal-scorer who has bagged more than two but defensively they're both reasonably sound. Subsequently, combined, their fixtures have offered up a meagre 1.6 goals per game going back to mid-August.

Under 1.5 goals offers up a tempting

3.4

West Ham v Wolves (15:00) - Breaking point

Surely something has to give in this one.

The Hammers have yet to score in a first-half while Wolves are the only top-flight side still to net in the second period. Both teams have dramatically underperformed against their xG, a shortcoming epitomized by Jarrod Bowen - so prolific last season - firing blanks from 15 attempts. Pedro Neto and Daniel Podence meanwhile have each racked up 12 chances this term without providing an assist.

For one of these teams, it's going to click soon and time is of the essence before full-blown crisis hits.

A bet builder of Bowen to score or assist, under 2.5 goals, and West Ham to win the second half offers up

11.3

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Stephen Tudor avatar

Stephen Tudor

Stephen Tudor has written extensively about football and sports betting for well over a decade.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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