Premier League Tipsheet: Eight tempting bets for Saturday from 4/5 to 12/1

• Toffees set to relieve misery on South Coast

• Palmer to be the difference again

• Bees to expose Reds real issues

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Newcastle v West Ham (12:30) - Gordon's grin

The Magpies have failed to win a Saturday, 12.30 kick-off in eight attempts, last doing so in the spring of 2021 at home to West Ham.

That contest ended 3-2 and goals can be expected here as well, with Eddie Howe's men scoring in every home fixture this term. The Hammers meanwhile haven't kept a clean sheet since January 2nd.

Highlighting the likeliest goal-scorers inevitably leads us to Alexander Isak, the Swede has been in fertile form either side of a recent groin problem, while Anthony Gordon has fired eight of his nine league strikes at St James' Park.

Regarding the visitors, the suspended Edson Alvarez is a big loss in the middle with West Ham failing to win any of the four games he has previously missed. However, Newcastle should beware of another late sucker-punch.

In the corresponding fixture, Kudus equalized with moments to spare. A fifth of West Ham's league goals this season have been notched beyond the 80th minute.

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Bournemouth v Everton (15:00) - Knock, knock

The Cherries are halfway through a tour of the lower echelons of the top-flight, so far dispensing with Burnley and Luton - the latter in dramatic fashion after over-turning a three-goal deficit - and sharing the spoils with Sheffield United.

Next up they face a Toffees side winless in 11, in some part due to a wastefulness that borders on the plain silly. At Old Trafford before the international break, 23 attempts on Andre Onana's goal amounted to nothing, continuing a trend that's seen them rack up 65 shots and create seven big chances in their last five away games, all for the dismal reward of a single goal.

Historically there are goals in this fixture - 3.5 per 90 from 13 Premier League meetings - so the understandable temptation is to fancy Dominic Solanke, scorer of 36.6% of Bournemouth's league haul, or Antoine Semenyo, who has been exceptional of late.

Gut instinct though says that the door must open for Everton at some point, from so much knocking.

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Chelsea v Burnley (15:00) - Cole the wonderboy

With David Datro Fofana unable to face his parent club it's hard to see where the Clarets can threaten Chelsea's recent revival, the Ivorian's two goals in two helping Vincent Kompany's side secure some precious points before the break.

A pot-shot from distance is a possibility and indeed Burnley have scored the second highest number of goals from outside the box this term. Failing that, Wilson Odobert might offer up something on the counter, or there's always the faint hope that a set-piece falls their way.

It's the visitors who should be most concerned about the latter, however. No side have conceded more from corners this season (11).

No, this feels like a home banker, especially with Nicolas Jackson converting regularly and Cole Palmer being sensational on a weekly basis. In his last 10 outings, the 21-year-old has either scored or assisted every 72.6 minutes.

What impresses about Chelsea since mid-Feb is how lethal they've become, as demonstrated by eight of their 12 attempts against Newcastle landing on target.

In that game, Palmer had a shot on target in each half. Backing the wonderboy to do likewise, at the expense of a porous defence, is a logical shout.

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Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace (15:00) - Hosts with the least

Palace may still be blowing hot, cold and room temperature under new gaffer Oliver Glasner but at least their xG is improving, with 2.42 amassed against Burnley and 2.37 versus Luton. Crucially though, both of these commitments to attack were mounted in front of a raucous Selhurst Park crowd.

Away from South London, they remain a distinctly unthreatening proposition, for all that Eberechi Eze's talents and stats impress. In 2024 alone they have shipped in five at Arsenal, four at Brighton and three at Spurs, creating no big chances in any of them.

Routinely they set up to nullify on the road despite having seemingly forgotten how to do so.

Forest therefore are fancied here, but tentatively so given their poor return in 2024 of just five points from 27.

A safer punt has the hosts ending up with a low corner count. With so much of their attacks carved out centrally it's resulted in just 3.7 corners per 90 this season.

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Sheff Utd v Fulham (15:00) - False hope

The Blades put up an admirable fight at Bournemouth in their last outing, and perhaps we're starting to see what typically happens when a side secretly accepts they are destined to drop. Caution is thrown to the wind. Pride kicks in. They play with a touch more freedom.

It feels far too early in the campaign for that phenomenon to occur, however.

Besides, the enormous elephant in the room is that United have hemorrhaged 16 goals in their last three home games, without reply. Remarkably, 11 were converted in the first-half.

Which is pertinent because the Cottagers have scored 2+ times in the opening 45 minutes of games on three occasions since February. In stark contrast, the doomed hosts have conceded 32 before the break in 2023/24, which is just three fewer than they conceded across the entirety of last season in the Championship.

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Tottenham v Luton (15:00) - Sad Hatters

Injuries have cruelly impacted on the Hatters' fight to stay up, forcing Rob Edwards to continually reshuffle an already small pack. The goals of Elijah Adebayo have been sorely missed in 2024 and heading to North London, Alfie Doughty's chances of featuring are minimal. Pinging seven assists over from the left, the 24-year-old has been a revelation this season.

Worse yet, no team have conceded more from high turnovers in 2023/24 and that falls right into Tottenham's wheelhouse, the hosts executing a league-high 300 of them across the campaign.

James Maddison is an obvious player to watch for Postecoglou's men, the midfielder averaging 2.7 chances per 90 and getting back to his scheming best post-injury. The England international is clearly a fan of facing promoted sides, contributing 19 goal involvements in 16 against them.

Elsewhere, Reece Burke may struggle to deal with the darting runs into the channels from Son Heung-min. The defender has encountered similar fare against Watkins and Mateta in recent weeks and was booked each time.

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Aston Villa v Wolves (17:30) - Derby drama

Wolves boast an excellent record against the 'big six' and that extends to their travels too, as recent victories at Spurs and Chelsea attest. This may be a good time to face Villa who were looking a little wearied going into the international break. Minus the energy of John McGinn here that could still be a factor.

The presence of Douglas Luiz in the middle potentially negates this and it's worth noting the Brazilian has scored all nine of his league goals this term at Villa Park. Leon Bailey meanwhile is the player in form for the Villans.

Discipline is the way to go when it comes to this Saturday's all-Midlands dust-up, their last meeting producing four cautions and a red card. Both teams are in the bottom six of the fair play table.

Villa meanwhile have won the fourth highest number of corners in 2023/24 and as for goals, their games have conjured up four per 90 since late January.

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Brentford v Man United (20:00) - Red herring

It's apt that United won out over the Bees last October after trailing, Scott McTominay scoring a brace of late goals. Brentford have dropped more points than anyone from winning positions in 2023/24.

It's an Achilles Heel that has cost Thomas Frank's men dear, their 17 defeats this term surpassed only by Burnley and Sheffield United. Each loss loudens the conversation around relegation.

Yet there are positives for the home side going into this weekend, not least that Bryan Mbeumo is available again after a lengthy absence. For the first time in a long time Frank has Mbeumo, Toney and Wissa to select from, the latter finding the target in three of his last four games.

If you believe that United's dramatic victory over Liverpool in the cup was a red herring, and that substantial problems still reside with Erik ten Hag's side, namely at the back, then now is when there is real value in backing against them.

Furthermore, for all their concerns, Brentford have only failed to score once at the Gtech all season long.

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Read Now: Jack Critchley's Good Friday Championship tips here

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