Premier League Opta Stats: Best bets for Matchday 33

---

Brentford v Fulham - Back Cottagers for at least a point

Saturday 18 April, 12:30, Live on TNT

The Opta Stat: 

Fulham have won each of their last three league games against Brentford, more than they had in their first 14 21st century meetings with the Bees (W2 D4 L8). Brentford, meanwhile, have drawn each of their last four Premier League matches, having only drawn four of their first 28 games in 2025-26 (W13 D11). The Bees have only drawn five league games in a row once before, doing so in March/April 1957. 

Only Erling Haaland (22) has scored more Premier League goals this season than Brentford's Igor Thiago (21). The last Brazilian player to score more in a season in one of Europe's big-five leagues was Neymar for Barcelona in 2015-16 (24). 

The Bet: Back Fulham and Draw and BTTS 'yes' @ 5/42.25

---

Newcastle v Bournemouth - Back Cherries to sour old manager's Saturday

Saturday 18 April, 15:00

The Opta Stat: 

Newcastle have lost four of their last five home Premier League games (W1), while overall they've lost six at St. James' Park this season, their most in one campaign under Eddie Howe. They last suffered more home league defeats back in 2020-21 (8). Bournemouth have only conceded five goals in their last seven away Premier League matches (W3 D4) - they conceded 23 goals in their seven away games beforehand (D3 L4). 

---

Leeds v Wolves - Back Whites to march on towards safety

Saturday 18 April, 15:00

The Opta Stat: 

Leeds have won their last four Premier League games against Wolves - only against Sunderland (6), Tottenham Hotspur (6) and West Ham (5) have they won more consecutively in the competition.   

The Bet: Back Leeds and Under 2.5 goals @ 11/53.20

---

Tottenham v Brighton - Back Seagulls to defeat De Zerbi

Saturday 18 April, 17:30, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Brighton have won two of their last four away league games against Spurs (L2), including a 4-1 victory last season. They'd only won one of their first nine visits between 1977 and 2020 (D2 L6). Brighton have scored 14 goals in their last five Premier League games against Spurs (2.8 per game), having scored just 10 in their first 12 against them in the competition (0.8 per game).

Tottenham are the only Premier League side without a win in 2026, winning none of 14 games (D5 L9). It's their second-longest winless league run in their history, only having a longer stretch without a win between December 1934 and April 1935 (16 games).

---

Chelsea v Man Utd - Back honours even at the Bridge

Saturday 18 April, 20:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Chelsea vs Manchester United has been drawn more often than other fixture in Premier League history (27). Just seven of those 27 draws have been 0-0, also making it the fixture with the most score draws in the competition (20). 

The Bet: Back Draw and Both Teams to Score @ 10/34.33

---

Listen to the Football...Only Bettor Saturday preview

---

Aston Villa v Sunderland - Back Black Cats to mount second-half comeback

Sunday 19 April, 14:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Since the start of February, only Newcastle (9) have dropped more points from winning positions than Aston Villa (7) in the Premier League. They've won just two of their last five games when going ahead (D2 L1), having won 23 of their previous 24 when leading beforehand (D1).

The Bet: Back Aston Villa/Draw @ 12/1

---

Everton v Liverpool - Back Toffees to avoid defeat

Sunday 19 April, 14:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Everton have won just one of their last 14 Premier League home games against Liverpool, though 10 of those games have finished level (L3).

The Bet: Back Everton and Draw and Beto to score @ 5/23.50

---

Nottm Forest v Burnley - Back Forest to shutout Clarets

Sunday 19 April, 14:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in their last four Premier League games (W1 D3), their joint-longest unbeaten run of the season. Forest last enjoyed a longer run in December/January in the 2024-25 campaign (8 games).  

Burnley have only managed 297 shots in 32 Premier League games this season - the fewest of any side - an average of 9.3 per game. Among teams to play 30+ games under a single manager since 2003-04, the Clarets under Scott Parker have had the joint-fewest attempts of any team under one manager, along with Paul Clement's Swansea side and Chris Wilder at Sheffield United.

The Bet: Back Forest to win to nil @ 6/42.50

---

Man City v Arsenal - Back Gunners to take at least a point from crucial clash

Sunday 19 April, 16:30, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last five Premier League games against Man City (W2 D3), having lost 12 in a row against them before this.

---

Crystal Palace v West Ham - Back Bowen to strike for Hammers

Monday 20 April, 20:00, Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

West Ham have won three of their last five Premier League away games against Crystal Palace (L2), scoring at least twice in all five of those matches. Jarrod Bowen has also scored in each of his last two league games against Crystal Palace.

The Bet: Back West Ham to score over 1.5 goals and Bowen to score @ 7/24.50

---

Listen to Football...Only Bettor Sunday preview

---

Now get Alan Shearer's predictions for every Premier League fixture

---