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Manchester United confirmed qualification for next season's Champions League with a 3-2 success over rivals Liverpool last weekend and the Red Devils will look to rubber-stamp third-place in the Premier League with a positive performance away at Sunderland on Saturday. Michael Carrick's men are odds-on to deliver top honours.
I'm happy to swerve the main markets at the available prices and instead invest focus on a pair of props. Casemiro has scored five goals in his last 12 outings with the Brazilian becoming an influential member of the Man Utd side, in and out of possession. The holding midfielder has hit the target in nine of his most recent 14 matches.
Dig a little deeper and Casemiro has landed a Headed Shot on-Target in seven of those aforementioned 14 fixtures and a repeat looks too big to dismiss at 5/23.50 quotes. After all, he's avergaing a very healthy 0.75 shots per-90 with his head across the Red Devils' past 20 EPL contests.
Meanwhile, Sunderland striker Brian Brobbey should be capable of giving Man Utd's rearguard a tough afternoon. The physical frontman has committed at least three fouls in three of his last nine appearances, collecting five cards in that same sample. Up against Ayden Heaven and Harry Maguire, Brobbey is 7/52.40 to commit 2+ Fouls.
Back Casemiro to have 1+ Headed Shot on-Target @
Brighton were beaten at Newcastle last time out, though the Seagulls remain just two points off the top-six coming into MD36. Albion have posted W6-D1-L2 from their past nine EPL outings and having returned W8-D6-L3 at the Amex this season, are understandably short-priced favourites to overcome rock-bottom Wolves on Saturday.
Wolves snapped a three-game winless and scoreless streak by sharing the spoils against Sunderland last weekend. But the Old Gold have consistently struggled on their travels (W0-D5-L12), notching just seven times in 17 away days. It therefore makes sense to oppose the visitors with Brighton to win and Under 3.5 Goals paying 2.3411/8.
Neither side have been involved in regular high-scoring shootouts - a massive 15 of Brighton's 17 home dates and 15 of Wolves' 17 away days have produced Under 3.5 Goals across the campaign thus far.
Back Brighton to win and Under 3.5 Goals @
It's advantage Arsenal in the title race after Manchester City lost control of Monday night's contest at the Hill-Dickinson Stadium. The Citizens' second-half collapse against Everton has left Pep Guardiola's posse trailing five points behind the league leaders with a game in-hand as we enter the final furlong.
Back at The Etihad, a response is expected from Man City. The hosts have delivered 25 home league wins in 35 here since the start of last season and should be capable of enhancing that impressive record against Brentford.
The Bees won't be easy meat. However, Keith Andrews' crew have performed considerably better at their Gtech Stadium base compared to on the road. Only three sides have lost more away games than Brentford (nine in 17) with the visitors losing the xG battle in 11 of those dates and shipping 2+ goals on 12 occasions on their travels.
We can support Man City to win and Under 4.5 Goals at a reasonable 10/111.91 on Saturday evening - 19 of the aforementioned 25 home triumphs arrived alongside Under 4.5 Goals, whilst 30 of the Citizens' 34 EPL games this season have delivered fewer than five goals, as have 30 of 35 Brentford battles.
Back Man City to win and Under 4.5 Goals @
Now read today's Premier League tips and previews here.