English Premier League Tips

Premier League Tipsheet: Seven bets for Saturday from 5/6 to 13/1

  • Stephen Tudor
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 4:00 min read
Eddie Howe, Newcastle boss
Howe has got the Magpies flying high again

Ste Tudor highlights where the goals and three points will likely be found to get this weekend started.

  • Chelsea's crisis to deepen

  • Eagles continue to soar

  • City to punish poor Leicester


Aston Villa v Newcastle (12:30) - Form teams collide

Having briefly had their wings clipped mid-campaign, the Magpies are flying high again, boasting five wins in five, two of which have necessitated comebacks to secure the points.

In Alexander Isak they possess a striker in blistering form, converting every 95 minutes since returning from injury at the start of the year. Across 2022/23 only Erling Haaland has a better minutes per goal ratio in the top-flight.

Intriguingly, Newcastle have also picked up a handy habit of scoring late, notching five in recent weeks beyond the 80th minute.

Villa meanwhile prefer to do their business early, scoring 36.5% of their season's tally inside 25 minutes. They too have a forward in fine fettle, with Ollie Watkins bagging nine in 11.

Moreover, the hosts are very much on the up under Unai Emery, accruing 19 points from the last 21 available and scoring in all 17 games since the Spaniard arrived.

Aston Villa/Draw is worth a punt @

13/1

Chelsea v Brighton (15:00) - Blunt blues

Since Chelsea last found the back of the net Harry Kane has become England's leading goal-scorer, Ed Sheeran has topped the charts for the gazzilionth time, and Logan Roy has died. It's been just shy of a month. On the pitch, well over six hours.

The succession drama in the Stamford Bridge dug-out meanwhile sees Frank Lampard re-installed and one of the club's favourite sons is charged with finding a solution to a striking shortfall that has seriously impacted on the Blues all season.

Frank Lampard, Everton.jpg

They have the fifth worst conversion rate in the league. They have only scored one league goal in the first half at home in 2022/23.
Should the Seagulls be fired up from last weekend's refereeing debacles - and they surely will - they absolutely have the ways and means to deepen Chelsea's identity crisis.

Kaoru Mitoma and Solly March have each been sensationally good of late, sharing 10 direct goal involvements between them in their last six outings, and what especially impresses about Brighton is how they adhere to their progressive football regardless of the circumstances, regardless of the fixture.

In their last five away games, Roberto De Zerbi's men have averaged 15.6 shots per 90, 4.8 on target.

Mitoma to score or assist and Brighton to have 5 or more shots on target offers up

11/4

Everton v Fulham (15:00) - One-nil to whoever

The Cottagers are fading and dramatically so, their race seemingly run with a good chunk of the season still to play.

Minus their prolific totem Mitrovic, Marco Silva's side are still creating chances but sorely lack any end product and worse yet, goals are beginning to be leaked at the back. Since beating Brighton, courtesy of a smash-and-grab, back in mid-February Fulham have conceded two goals per game. Prior to that it was 1.2.

Not that they have to overly concern themselves about that at Goodison. Everton have scored more than once in only 13% of their fixtures this term with all three of their wins orchestrated by Sean Dyche ending 1-0.

Add in too that the corresponding clash at Craven Cottage finished 0-0 and surely goals will be at a premium on Merseyside.

Go for under 1.5 goals @

9/5

Southampton v Crystal Palace (15:00) - Roy's boys

Where did Palace's second-half display come from last Sunday? Having been devoid of confidence or ideas up front for much of the season, the Eagles blasted four goals in an exhilarating 16 minutes at Elland Road and given how generous the Leeds defence was - and how gratefully the chances were snapped up - it brought to mind free meals being handed to starving men.

Factor in also, Palace's shot-in-the-arm win over Leicester a week before and undoubtedly Roy Hodgson's temporary reappointment has had an immediate and profound effect.

Roy Hodgson.jpg

Free of the suffocating pressure that comes with a relegation fight the visitors should be backed to continue their resurgence at St Marys, against a side whose outlook appears bleak indeed.

Winless in five, the Saints have found themselves behind more often than any other side this term, a demoralizing 25 times.

No to BTTS and card-magnet Cheick Doucoure to be booked is a shout @

11/2

Tottenham v Bournemouth (15:00) - Hit, miss and repeat

With such a congested field fighting the drop, inconsistency may be enough this season and that seems to apply to Bournemouth at present, rising to 15th courtesy of four wins and four losses in their last eight. Draws are the enemy and a point is no longer deemed 'precious' at this late juncture.

Here though, it's their turn to leave empty-handed after a terrific win at the King Power last week because even if Spurs have their problems right now, at home they're looking like a ruthless proposition. Indeed, with five wins in five they have the best home form in the top-flight post-January.

Moreover, Son Heung-min is starting to get his groove back while Harry Kane continues to be Harry Kane. The three-time Golden Boot winner has fired six in six, previously scoring seven in nine against the Cherries.

It's worth noting that no side has won fewer corners this season than the visitors.

An #OddsOnThat featured bet backing Tottenham to win, Tottenham most corners and Bournemouth most cards tempts @

9/4

Wolves v Brentford (15:00) - Bees full stop

Consecutive losses for the Bees places punctuation after their remarkable run that dates back to the autumn. How they fare at Molineux will reveal if it's a comma or full stop.

In truth, the clues have been there for a while that Thomas Frank's side have been labouring, with goals from open play drying up. Seven of their last 12 have come from corners, free-kicks and penalties while at the back only one clean sheet in their last nine is a cause for concern.

As for Wolves, five of their eight victories this term have ended 1-0 which highlights their fortitude and crucially they have patience too. Eight of their last 10 goals have been converted after the break.

If only they could resolve a disciplinary issue that has seen them receive twice as many red cards (six) as anyone else.

Roll the dice on Wolves to win the second half but pick up over 2.5 cards @

13/2

Man City v Leicester (15:00) - Fox-hunting

The appointment of Dean Smith until the end of the season has hardly inspired confidence that the Foxes can avoid the drop. As Max Liu reveals here, bettors are backing Leicester more than ever to plummet.

And surely, winless in eight and without a clean sheet since November, that slow and awful process will continue at the Etihad, against a quite brilliant side firmly in their pomp and with yet another title in their crosshairs.

Only four days ago, Pep Guardiola's men constructed arguably their finest Champions League performance to date in besting Bayern Munich 3-0 and that result means they have blasted, tapped home, and headed 24 goals in their last five outings.

Frankly, when they're in this sort of form all bets are off when it comes to margins of victory.

Julian Alvarez is worthy of consideration. A player set to feature due to City's hectic schedule and a player with five from his last four starts.

Back Alvarez to score anytime @

5/6

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Stephen Tudor avatar

Stephen Tudor

Stephen Tudor has written extensively about football and sports betting for well over a decade.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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