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It's now six Premier League defeats in-a-row for Chelsea where they have scored just one goal. It doesn't make for pretty reading given they've conceded three goals in four of their last five and further back have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 13 league games.
Liverpool have won four of their last six Premier League games at Anfield and despite the continued absences of Ekitike and Salah, if Chelsea can be beaten at home by Nottingham Forest's second team, then they have to be opposed again.
Crucially for Liverpool, arguably their best player this season in Dominik Szoboszlai is available and the stats back him up, as no player has more goals and assists combined (23) across all competitions this season for the Reds.
It's now four wins in six games for Brighton, who are two points behind sixth place Bournemouth in the race for Europe and will more than fancy their chances against bottom of league Wolves this weekend.
The visitors are winless away from home this season, suffering 12 defeats and scoring just seven goals. Their average of 0.41 goals per-game on the road is only beaten by Norwich City in the 2019/20 season where they managed just seven in the entire season (0.37 per-game). However, this is more than reflected in Brighton's odds of 1/41.25 to win the game.
Backing Brighton and Under 3.5 goals at 23/202.15 could be an option, but Wolves shipping three goals at relegation threatened Leeds and four goals at West Ham concerns me.
It's also worth noting that Brighton have only won five of their last 16 Premier League games against sides in the relegation zone so there's more than enough reasons to pass on this game from a betting standpoint.
Have Fulham checked out of this seasons Premier League? They've failed to score in five of their last seven Premier League games and mustered just two shots in the first half last weekend against Arsenal in a match that was over at half-time with them trailing 3-0.
Bournemouth meanwhile are unbeaten in their last 15 league games and are currently in the driving seat for a sixth place finish, though they are only one point clear of Brentford.
Only the top two in Arsenal and Man City have lost fewer Premier League games than Bournemouth's seven this season so it's an easy decision to back the away side with the security of the draw.
Back Bournemouth draw no bet
No side has won more points than Michael Carrick's Manchester United with 32 since their former player took charge in the middle of January. He's won 10 of his 14 games in-charge with just two defeats. However, based on expected points, United are just the sixth best side in-comparison, suggesting some level of over performance.
One theme that has been prevalent in Carrick's matches is the amount of goals with a total of 43 at an average of 3.07 per-game. With nine of Sunderland's last 15 league matches having banked Over 2.5 goals winners, it's worth backing another here.
Man City's title hopes suffered a huge setback after they threw away their lead at Everton on Monday night to only leave with a draw. However, they get the opportunity to put the pressure back on Arsenal by playing first this weekend before the Gunners travel to West Ham on Sunday.
Brentford are continuing to have a terrific season under Keith Andrews and sit just one point off sixth place. The Bees have lost the joint fourth most games away from home this season (nine) so 1/31.33 Man City are fancied to get the job done but in what form will it come?
Pep Guardiola's side have struggled to score hatful's against Brentford with their return of 13 goals in nine games - an average 1.40 goals per-game - the lowest against any opponent the Spaniard has faced.
Therefore, backing Under 4.5 goals alongside a home win looks the way to go. 10 of City's 12 home wins have come in this manner and the reverse game finished 1-0 to the Manchester side.
Back Man City to win and Under 4.5 goals
Back Liverpool, Bournemouth draw no bet, Over 2.5 goals in Sunderland v Man Utd and Man City and Under 4.5 goals