Premier League Saturday Tipsheet: Back a four-fold acca at 10/1

• Goals expected at Bournemouth, Newcastle and Leeds

• Low scoring matches at Turf Moor and Anfield

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Bournemouth v Sunderland Tip - Back goals, goals, goals

Bournemouth v Sunderland
Saturday, 12:30
Live on TNT Sports

Is Sunderland's season petering out or are they putting all their eggs in the FA Cup basket? It's now three Premier League defeats in-a-row, although two of them were versus Arsenal and Liverpool. It's too early to suggest then that tools are being downed by the Black Cats and they still remain a healthy 11 points clear of the drop, coincidentally level on points with rivals Newcastle.

Bournemouth's mid-season blip seems well and truly over after an unbeaten seven game run so it's perhaps no surprise they are odds-on favourites here. I think it will be more competitive than the odds suggest so the best route here is to back goals. Fifteen of Bournemouth's last 23 games have seen Over 2.5 goals and it's now six of the last seven for Sunderland. The reverse fixture finished 3-2 and I'm hoping for more of the same.

Burnley v Brentford Tip - Back tight clash at Turf Moor

Burnley v Brentford
Saturday, 15:00

Are Burnley making a late surge at staying up? After a commendable draw at Chelsea and coming back from 2-0 down to win at Crystal Palace, they've now only lost two of their last seven games. Brentford have only won two of their last six in the league and only stuttered past non-league Macclesfield, meaning the 3/41.75 on the away side looks unattractive. Seven of the Bees' last eight games have finished under 2.5 goals and that's the way to go here when it's priced as the underdog.

Turf Moor has been low scoring all season with nine of Burnley's 13 home games featuring fewer than three goals.

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Liverpool v West Ham Tip - Back Reds' win with room to spare

Liverpool v West Ham
Saturday, 15:00

Liverpool laboured to a 1-0 win last time out against fourth bottom Nottingham Forest and they could be in for something similar here against third bottom West Ham. Florian Wirtz should be back and arguably the Reds' worst performance of the season can be attributed to his absence. Liverpool have won seven of their last 10 games across all competitions and come up against a West Ham side with just three wins since mid-November - all against sides in the bottom four of the 10 game form table.

So how do we back 4/111.36 Liverpool? By adding Under 4.5 goals to make it into a generous 10/111.91 shot. Seventy-four per cent of Liverpool matches have finished Under 3.5 goals and it's a similarly high 70% for the Hammers. With Under 4.5 goals, it provides the security of another goal.

Newcastle v Everton Tip - Back goals on Tyneside

Newcastle v Everton
Saturday, 15:00

It's been goals galore in Newcastle's matches since the end of January. In their eight games across all competitions, there's been a whopping 36 at an average of 4.50 per-game, with all eight going Over 2.5 goals and all eight seeing Both Teams scoring. It's very much in keeping with their season, with 15 of their last 20 Premier League games seeing three more goals (75%) and further back 29 of their last 40 matches in all competitions (73%).

At home, 69% of their matches have produced winners with no other team having a better hit rate. Everton's games haven't quite been so goal heavy but six of their last nine matches have gone Over 2.5 goals based on the total xG and the reverse fixture finished 4-1 to the Toon Army.

Leeds v Man City Tip - Back Saturday night goals

Leeds v Man City
Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports

Arsenal's 4-1 win at Tottenham saw them re-extend their lead at the top of the league to five points, albeit having played a game more. This is generally the time of the season where Man City hit top form and they have been showing signs of it for a while, having gone unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 Premier League matches. They've scored at least two goals in their last five and will fancy their chances against a Leeds backline that have shipped two or more in half of their last 22 games.

The goal line is set at 2.75 and that looks very attackable. Fifteen of Leeds' last 23 matches have seen Over 2.5 goals and the reverse fixture featured plenty of goals at both ends, with the Cityzens just running out 3-2 winners.

Stinch's Acca - Back my best bets in a 4-fold at 10/1

Now read Mark O'Haire's best bets for MD28