Premier League Opta Stats: Best bets for Matchday 31

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With Betfair offering football punters the chance to Bet £10 and Get £10 on bet builders and accas this week it makes sense to check out the Opta stats and tips for all nine games and see if you there is anything you fancing combining. We've selected bet builders for three of the televised fixtures, starting on Friday night at the Vitality Stadium.

Bournemouth v Man Utd: Back Cherries in lively Friday night encounter

Friday 20 March, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last five Premier League games against Manchester United (W2 D3), scoring more goals in these five (13) than they did in their first 12 against the Red Devils in the division (10). 

Manchester United have lost just two of their eight away Premier League games against Bournemouth (W4 D2). Their last two visits to the Vitality Stadium have seen them come from behind to draw. 

Brighton v Liverpool: Back Reds to win to nil

Saturday 21 March, 12:30
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Liverpool have won 2-0 (Premier League) and 3-0 (FA Cup) against Brighton this season. They last won three games without conceding in a season against an opponent in 2021-22 (vs Arsenal), while Brighton last lost three without scoring in 2006-07 (vs Bristol City).

Betfair Bet: Back Liverpool to win to nil @ 10/34.33

Fulham v Burnley: Back Wilson to strike again

Saturday 21 March, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Harry Wilson has been involved in 15 Premier League goals for Fulham this season (9 goals, 6 assists). The last Welsh player with more in a single campaign was Aaron Ramsey in 2013-14 (18).

Betfair Bet: Back Wilson to score or assist @ 5/61.84

Everton v Chelsea: Back Pedro to extend scoring streak

Saturday 21 March, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Chelsea's João Pedro has been involved in eight goals in his last eight appearances away from home in all competitions (7 goals, 1 assist). His 11 away goals in total in all competitions this season is the most by a Chelsea player in a campaign since 2019-20 (Tammy Abraham, 12). 

Betfair Bet: Back Pedro to score @ 6/42.50

Leeds v Brentford: Back Bees and Thiago to fire

Saturday 21 March, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Four of the last six league games between Brentford and Leeds have been drawn, with both sides winning once each in that run. Brentford have lost just one of their last 13 Premier League games against newly promoted opponents (W11 D1), a 1-2 defeat at Sunderland in August 2025. 

Brentford's Igor Thiago has netted 19 Premier League goals this season and he could be the third Bees player to score 20 in a season, along with Ivan Toney in 2022-23 and Bryan Mbeumo in 2024-25 - should Thiago score, the Bees would have the most different players score 20+ goals in a season since they joined the league in 2021-22.

Newcastle v Sunderland: Back unders in Tyne-Wear derby

Sunday 22 March, 12:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

The reverse fixture between Newcastle and Sunderland in December had a combined xG of 0.54 (Sunderland 0.30, Newcastle 0.24), the second-lowest on record (from 2012-13) in a Premier League game, ahead of only Bournemouth v Burnley in December 2019 (0.30). The 11 shots in that game (5 Sunderland, 6 Newcastle) were also the lowest of any Premier League match since the start of 2023-24. 

Betfair Bet: Back Under 2.5 goals @ 10/111.91

Aston Villa v West Ham: Back Hammers in Double Chance

Sunday 22 March, 14:15
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Though they're unbeaten in six Premier League games overall against West Ham, Aston Villa have won just one of their last seven against them at Villa Park (D3 L3). 

Betfair Bet: Back West Ham and Draw @ 4/51.80

Tottenham v Nottm Forest: Back Richarlison to be Spurs' hero

Sunday 22 March, 14:15
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Nottingham Forest are winless in seven Premier League games (D4 L3), while only bottom side Wolves (15) have failed to score more in different games than Forest this term (14).

Despite starting fewer than half of their games (14/30), Richarlison has scored more than twice as many goals as any other Spurs player in the Premier League this season (9).  

Now read Mark O'Haire's best bets this weekend involving Liverpool, Aston Villa and West Ham