Premier League Opta Stats: Best bets for all 10 Matchday 25 games

• Tips for every Premier League Matchday 25 fixture

• Friday night bet builder kicks off MD25 at 6/17.00 

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Leeds v Nottingham Forest: Back Calvert-Lewin and Gibbs-White at 6/17.00

Friday 6 February, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored nine Premier League goals this season, only twice before reaching double figures in a single campaign (13 in 2019-20, 16 in 2020-21). The last Englishman to score 10 league goals in their first season with Leeds United was Matt Smith in 2013-14 (12 in the Championship). 

Morgan Gibbs-White has either scored (3) or assisted (1) a goal in four of his last five Premier League appearances, while he also scored what proved to be Nottingham Forest's winner in the reverse fixture against Leeds in November. 

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Man Utd v Tottenham: Back Spurs in bet builder at 7/42.75

Saturday 7 January, 12:30
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Tottenham are unbeaten in their last eight meetings with Manchester United in all competitions (W5 D3). It's their longest ever run without defeat against them, while in the 21st century only Chelsea have gone longer against the Red Devils (12 between 2012 and 2017). 

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Arsenal v Sunderland: Back Gyokeres to strike

Saturday 7 February, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Four of Viktor Gyökeres' six Premier League goals for Arsenal this season have come against the promoted sides (3 vs Leeds, 1 vs Burnley). These four goals have come from just six shots (67% conversion rate), compared to just two goals from 29 shots against everyone else (7% conversion). 

Betfair Bet: Back Gyokeres to score @ 10/111.91

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Bournemouth v Aston Villa: Back goals 

Saturday 7 February, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Last season in the Premier League, only four teams' games saw fewer goals scored than Bournemouth's (104 - F58 A46). So far this season, the Cherries' games have had more goals than any other side (83 - F40 A43). 

Betfair Bet: Back over 3.5 goals @ 9/52.80

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Burnley v West Ham: Back Hammers to strike first 

Saturday 7 February, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Only Wolves (67%) have scored a higher share of their Premier League goals in the first half of games than West Ham this season (59% - 17/29), with the Hammers scoring more in the opening 15 minutes than any other side (8). 

Betfair Bet: Back West Ham to score the first goal @ 8/111.73

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Fulham v Everton: Back hosts for another home win 

Saturday 7 February, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Only the current top-three Premier League sides have more home wins this season than Fulham (7 in 12 games), who have already equalled their total from last season (W7 D5 L7). Only in 2005-06 (68%, won 13/19) do they have a better home win percentage than in 2025-26 (58%).  

Betfair Bet: Back Fulham @ 11/102.11

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Wolves v Chelsea: Back Pedro to score as Blues win comfortably

Saturday 7 February, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Wolves have failed to score in each of their last three Premier League and have drawn a blank in 13 of 24 games this season (54%). It's the highest ratio of games a team has failed to score in a season since Norwich in 2021-22 (22/38, 58%). 

João Pedro has scored five goals in his last eight Premier League appearances for Chelsea, including a goal in all three under Liam Rosenior so far. He is the first player to score in a Chelsea manager's first three games in charge, while the only player in Premier League history to score in a manager's first four overall games in the competition was Matt Le Tissier under Alan Ball in January/February 1994. 

Betfair Bet: Back Chelsea -1 and Pedro to score @ 3/14.00

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Newcastle v Brentford: Back goals at St James'

Saturday 7 January, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

There have been an average of 4.1 goals per game in Premier League meetings between Brentford and Newcastle (37 goals in 9 games), the highest ratio of any fixture to have been played as many times. 

Betfair Bet: Back over 3.5 goals @ 9/52.80

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Brighton v Crystal Palace: Back strugglers to draw

Sunday 8 February, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Since the start of December, only Wolves (6) and Burnley (5) have won fewer points in the Premier League than both Brighton and Crystal Palace (9 each), with the Eagles also having the joint-worst goal difference in that time (minus 10 - scored 8, conceded 18). 

Betfair Bet: Back the draw @ 12/53.40

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Liverpool v Man City: Back the Reds comeback in 17/118.00 shot

Sunday 8 February, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Manchester City are the only Premier League side in 2026 so far who have not conceded a single goal in the first half of a match, scoring six times themselves. However, they are also the only side who haven't scored a second half goal yet, conceding six goals. 

Since the start of last season, only three teams have picked up more points from losing positions in the Premier League than Liverpool (28), while only Brighton (42) have scored more goals in games where they've conceded the first goal than the Reds (41), who won 4-1 on MD24 after going 1-0 down to Newcastle. 

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Now Mike Norman's look ahead to Premier League Matchday 25 here.

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