Premier League Opta Stats: Best bets for Matchday 13

• Tips for every Premier League Matchday 13 fixture

• Palace backed to shut out misfiring Man Utd

• Gunners have strong recent record at Stamford Bridge

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Brentford v Burnley: Back the Bees to win to nil

Brentford v Burnley
Saturday 29 November, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

The home side has won all four Premier League meetings between Brentford and Burnley, with the Bees winning theirs 2-0 and 3-0 respectively. 

Betfair Bet: Back Brentford to win to nil @ 7/52.40

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Man City v Leeds: Back Pep's men to pile on the goals

Man City v Leeds
Saturday 29 November, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Man City have won their last four Premier League games against Leeds, scoring 16 goals in the process.  It's as many victories as they had in their first 16 against the Whites in the competition (D5 L7). 

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Sunderland v Bournemouth: Back Black Cats to keep it tight again

Sunderland v Bournemouth
Saturday 29 November, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Sunderland are unbeaten at home in the Premier League so far this season (W3 D3), picking up just two fewer points in six games this term (12) than they did at home in the whole of their last campaign in the top-flight in 2016-17 (14 in 19 games).

No side's Premier League games have seen fewer goals this season than Sunderland's (25 - F14 A11). Just eight of these have come in the first half (F4 A4), also a league-low figure. 

Betfair Bet: Back Sunderland and Draw and Under 2.5 goals @ 6/42.50

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Everton v Newcastle: Back Grealish to undo Magpies again

Everton v Newcastle
Saturday 29 November, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Against no side does Everton's Jack Grealish have more Premier League assists than he has against Newcastle (4). Grealish also has the joint-most assists of any player in the Premier League this season (4), though all four came in his first three appearances in August. 

Betfair Bet: Back Grealish for an assist @ 11/43.75

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Tottenham v Fulham: Back Saturday night stalemate

Tottenham v Fulham
Saturday 29 November, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

No side have earned fewer away points than Fulham in the Premier League this season (1), while only Wolves (1) have earned fewer at home than Spurs (1). The Cottagers have lost their last five on the road in the Premier League, last having a longer run between January and April 2019 (7).

Betfair Bet: Back the Draw @ 12/53.40

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Crystal Palace v Man Utd: Eagles can shutout Reds blunt attack

Crystal Palace v Man Utd
Sunday 30 November, 12:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Crystal Palace have won three of their last four league games against Manchester United (D1), as many as they had in their previous 30 (W3 D6 L21). Man Utd have failed to score in each of their last four Premier League games against Crystal Palace. 

Only league leaders Arsenal (6) have conceded fewer goals than Crystal Palace (9) in the Premier League this season. It's the Eagles' fewest goals conceded 12 games into a league season since 1981-82 (also 9).

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Aston Villa v Wolves: Back Rogers to help hosts ease to win

Aston Villa v Wolves
Sunday 30 November, 14:05
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Aston Villa have won all four of their Premier League games played immediately after playing in Europe in midweek this season, the only side with a 100% winning record so far. Villa have lost just one of their last 24 Premier League home games (W15 D8), going down 3-0 against Crystal Palace in August.  

Morgan Rogers has been involved in five goals in his last seven Premier League games for Aston Villa (3  goals, 2 assists). Last time out against Leeds, he scored his first ever brace in the competition, as well as scoring from his first ever attempt from a direct free-kick.

Betfair Bet: Back Villa -1 and Rogers to score @ 15/44.75

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Nottm Forest v Brighton: Back in-form goalscorers in double

Nottm Forest v Brighton
Sunday 30 November, 14:05
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Danny Welbeck has scored seven goals in his last seven Premier League games, with only Erling Haaland (8) netting more than him since the first game in this run in September. It's already Welbeck's second highest scoring season with Brighton, following his 10 from last season. 

Morgan Gibbs-White has scored in each of his last three Premier League games, the first time he's done so in the competition. His goal against Liverpool last time out saw him become the first Nottingham Forest player to register both 20+ goals (20) and assists (27) in the competition.  

Betfair Bet: Back Welbeck and Gibbs-White to score @ 11/112.00

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West Ham v Liverpool: Back Hammers to deal another blow to Slot

West Ham v Liverpool
Sunday 30 November, 14:05
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

West Ham have won their last two Premier League home games (3-1 v Newcastle, 3-2 v Burnley) ending a run of nine games without a win at the London Stadium. They last won three in a row in May/August 2023, and last did so in the same season in October 2022.

Betfair Bet: Back West Ham and Draw @ 6/52.20

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Chelsea v Arsenal: Keep it simple and back the Gunners

Chelsea v Arsenal
Sunday 30 November, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat: 

Having lost six of their seven Premier League away games against Chelsea between 2013 and 2018 (D1), Arsenal are now unbeaten in their last six visits to Stamford Bridge (W3 D3). Just 43.5% of Chelsea's Premier League points this season have come in home games (10/23), with only Tottenham (28%) earning a lower share of their points at home.

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Now read Mark O'Haire's Notebook for his best bets this weekend

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