Premier League Opta Stats: Best bets for Matchday 23

• Tips for every Premier League Matchday 23 fixture

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West Ham v Sunderland: Back Hammers in bet builder

Saturday 24 January, 12:30
Live on TNT

The Opta Stat:

Sunderland are looking to complete the Premier League double over West Ham for just the second time, previously doing so in 2010-11 when the Hammers were relegated. West Ham have lost just one of their last 21 Premier League home games against promoted sides (W16 D4) and are unbeaten in 12 since a 2-1 loss to Brentford in October 2021.  

West Ham haven't kept a clean sheet in any of their 17 Premier League games under Nuno Espírito Santo. Only three managers have gone longer from the start of their career with a club before - Brian Laws (18 with Burnley in 2009-10), Paul Lambert (21 with Norwich in 2011-12) and Ruud van Nistelrooy (21 with Leicester last season).

 

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Burnley v Tottenham: Back Spurs for another away win 

Saturday 24 January, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Tottenham are unbeaten in their last 13 Premier League away games against promoted sides (W11 D2) since a 3-1 loss at Leeds in May 2021.  

Betfair Bet: Back Tottenham @ 21/202.05

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Fulham v Brighton: Back Jimenez to strike first in home win 

Saturday 24 January, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Fulham are unbeaten in all five of their Premier League home games against Brighton (W4 D1), having lost three in a row against them in the Championship beforehand. 

All five of Raúl Jiménez's Premier League goals have put Fulham one goal ahead in the match this season, the highest such 100% record of any player this term.

Betfair Bet: Back Jimenez to score first and Fulham to win @ 13/27.50

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Man City v Wolves: Back Semenyo to continue strong start

Saturday 24 January, 15:00

The Opta Stat:

Antoine Semenyo has been involved in 14 goals in his last 16 home appearances in all competitions (10 goals, 4 assists), scoring and assisting a goal in his only game for Man City at the Etihad Stadium so far. 

Betfair Bet: Back Semenyo to score or assist @ 4/61.67

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Bournemouth v Liverpool: Back

Saturday 17 January, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Only Sunderland's Premier League games have seen fewer first half goals (18) than Liverpool's this season (19 - F10 A9). However, Liverpool's games have seen more goals scored after half time than any other side (43 - F23 A20). 

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Brentford v Nottm Forest: Back Thiago goal in bet builder

Sunday 25 January, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Only the current top three sides Arsenal (29) Man City (26) and Aston Villa (25) have earned more home points than Brentford in the Premier League this season (24). The Bees have lost just once at home all season (W7 D3) and are unbeaten in their last seven at the Gtech Community Stadium (W5 D2). 

Igor Thiago's 16 goals for Brentford this season is already the most by a Brazilian player in a single Premier League campaign. The last South American player to net more was Sergio Agüero in 2018-19 (21).

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Crystal Palace v Chelsea: Back Blues to sink Eagles

Sunday 25 January, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Since Oliver Glasner's first Premier League match in charge of Crystal Palace, only three teams have dropped more points from winning positions than they have (39) - they've gone ahead twice in four games in 2026, failing to win either game (D1 L1). 

Since the start of the 2022-23 season, only Arsenal (97) have won more points in Premier League London derbies than Chelsea (73), while only West Ham (38) have picked up fewer than Crystal Palace (45) in that time.

Betfair Bet: Back Chelsea and both teams to score @ 11/43.75

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Newcastle v Aston Villa: Back Guimaraes to Score

Sunday 25 January, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Bruno Guimarães has been involved in nine Premier League goals at St James' Park this season (7 goals, 2 assists), the most of any Newcastle player. The last Magpies central midfielder involved in more in a season was Georginio Wijnaldum in 2015-16 (11 goals, 2 assists). 

Betfair Bet: Back Guimaraes to score 10/34.33

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Arsenal v Man Utd: Back Fernandes in bet builder

Sunday 18 January, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Manchester United's Bruno Fernandes has created the most chances in the Premier League this season (62), while he also has the most assists (9). He ranks first for chances created both in open play (40) and from set plays (22) and his current ratio of 3.4 chances created per 90 minutes is the best by a Man Utd player since Ryan Giggs in 2008-09 (3.7). 

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Everton v Leeds: Back Everton to win to nil

Monday 26 January, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

The Opta Stat:

Since the start of November, Everton have kept more clean sheets than any other Premier League side (7). Despite this, the Toffees have faced the fifth-most shots (184) in the division in that time - it's 10 more than Leeds have faced, but they have five more clean sheets than the Whites (2).

Only Burnley (5) and Wolves (3) have fewer away Premier League points in the Premier League this season than Leeds United (6 - W1 D3 L7) and only Bournemouth (30) and Burnley (27) have conceded more goals than the Whites (24). Leeds' only clean sheet in their last 22 away games was at reigning champions Liverpool on New Year's Day this year in a 0-0 draw.  

Betfair Bet: Back Everton to win to nil @ 3/14.00

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Now get Alan Shearer's predictions for every matchday 23 fixture

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