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Spurs to get the weekend off to a nice winner
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A fit Sterling is one to have onside
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Liverpool's Salah loves the AMEX
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Can Brentford help us to 16/117.00 Old Trafford bet?
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Check out new 90 Minute Payout feature on all football
Luton Town v Tottenham Hotspur
Spurs could pepper Luton goal
The Opta Stat:
"Tottenham have had more shots than any other Premier League side this season (138), with their average of 19.7 shots per game their highest on record in a single campaign (since 1997-98). They've had at least 20 efforts in three of their last four league games, as many times as they had done in their previous 28."
The Betfair Bet:
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Burnley v Chelsea
Sterling on the money
The Opta Stat:
"Both of Chelsea's Premier League wins this season have been to nil (3-0 v Luton, 2-0 v Fulham), with the Blues winning just two of their last 26 league games when conceding at least once (D7 L17). Indeed, after a run of conceding at least once in 11 consecutive Premier League games (21 goals conceded), Chelsea have now kept a clean sheet in three of their last five (2 goals conceded). They've not kept back-to-back league clean sheets since a run of three in February. Raheem Sterling has been involved in 18 goals in his last 17 Premier League games against promoted sides (14 goals, 4 assists), netting a brace in his last two such appearances against Nottingham Forest in May and Luton Town this season."
The Betfair Bet:
Everton v Bournemouth
Dyche on the brink?
The Opta Stat:
"Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored three goals in his last three games for Everton in all competitions, more than he had in his previous 21 (2). He's looking to score in four consecutive appearances for the Toffees for the first time since September/October 2020. However, Everton have lost all four of their Premier League home games this season; only four teams in top-flight history have ever lost their first five on home soil in a single campaign - Manchester United in 1930-31, Portsmouth in 2009-10, Bolton Wanderers in 2011-12 and Newcastle United in 2018-19. Everton have only managed 11 goals in their last 17 Premier League home games, never netting more than once in a match in that run."
The Betfair Bet:
Fulham v Sheffield United
Blunt Blades to keep on struggling
The Opta Stat:
"Sheffield United have won just two of their 31 Premier League away games against London sides (D8 L21), beating Chelsea 2-1 in October 1992 and Crystal Palace 1-0 in February 2020. Since that victory against Crystal Palace, they've lost on their last eight visits to the capital in the top-flight by an aggregate score of 20-3. Indeed, Fulham have scored just five goals in their seven Premier League games this season (0.7 per game). They had scored 12 goals by this stage last season (1.7 per game), while they averaged 1.4 goals per game across the season as a whole last term."
The Betfair Bet:
Manchester United v Brentford
Ten Hag clings on... for now
The Opta Stat:
"Manchester United have conceded first in each of their last three home Premier League games (W1 L2). Only twice previously have they conceded the opening goal in four consecutive Premier League matches at Old Trafford, doing so in February/March 2014 (W1 D1 L2) and July/September 2020 (W1 D2 L1). Brentford have won just one of the five Premier League games in which they've taken the lead this season (D4), drawing each of their last three such matches. Indeed, no side has dropped more points from winning positions in the Premier League this term than the Bees (8)."
The Betfair Bet:
Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest
Tame opening half expected
The Opta Stat:
"Just one of Crystal Palace's seven Premier League goals so far this season has come before half-time, both the lowest total and lowest in terms of percentage this term (14%). However, they've also only conceded once in the opening 45 minutes so far this season. Indeed, three of Nottingham Forest's eight Premier League goals this season (37.5%) have been scored by substitutes, as many sub goals as they netted in the competition last season (3/38 - 7.9%)."
The Betfair Bet:
Brighton & Hove Albion v Liverpool
Back the big names in the big games
The Opta Stat:
"Brighton's seven Premier League games this season have produced 33 goals (F19 A14). Only Manchester United in 2001-02 (35), Arsenal in 2009-10 (34) and Manchester City in 2019-20 (34) have seen more goals in their opening seven games to a Premier League season. Indeed, Solly March has either scored (2) or assisted (3) five of Brighton's last eight Premier League goals against Liverpool, netting a brace and setting up a Danny Welbeck goal in this exact fixture last season. Liverpool's Mohamed Salah, meanwhile, has only been involved in more Premier League goals against Man Utd (14) and West Ham (13) than he has against Brighton (6 goals, 6 assists in 12 apps), with seven of these coming in his six appearances at the Amex Stadium.
The Betfair Bet:
West Ham United v Newcastle United
Bowen's on fire...
The Opta Stat:
"Jarrod Bowen has been involved in eight goals in his last nine Premier League appearances for West Ham, scoring six and assisting two. However, he's only faced Tottenham (8) more often in the top-flight without scoring than against Newcastle (7), though he does have three assists against the Magpies."
The Betfair Bet:
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Aston Villa
Wat-kan Wolves do about Ollie
The Opta Stat:
"Only Erling Haaland (23) and Harry Kane (17) have scored more Premier League goals than Aston Villa's Ollie Watkins in 2023 (16). He was directly involved in four of Villa's six goals against Brighton last time out, netting a hat-trick and assisting Jacob Ramsey's strike. He's also scored the opening goal in each of Villa's last two Premier League games."
The Betfair Bet:
Arsenal v Manchester City
Time to side with history
The Opta Stat:
"Arsenal have lost their last 12 Premier League games against Manchester City, scoring just five times and conceding 33 against them in that time. Indeed, the Gunners haven't kept a clean sheet in any of their last 16 Premier League games against Manchester City, since a 2-0 away win in January 2015. It's their longest run without a league shutout against an opponent since a run of 30 against Manchester United between 1953 and 1968. Erling Haaland - who was involved in four of Manchester City's seven league goals against Arsenal last season - has scored in each of his last four Premier League appearances in London. The only player to score in five in a row in the capital (for a team outside of London) is Ruud van Nistelrooy, who did so between September 2002 and September 2003."
The Betfair Bet:
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Read Saturday Championship Opta Stats: Ten bets including an 11/5 anytime goalscorer
Recommended bets
Back Spurs to have 20 or more shots v Luton @ 13/53.60Opta Stats P/L (Recommended bet of the week)
Stake: 7pts
Return:11.5
P/L: +4.5