English Premier League

Premier League & FA Cup Opta Stats: Back 40/1 goalscorer tip and 15/1 Wembley Bet Builder

Everton defender James Tarkowski
All 3 of Tarkowski's goals for Everton have been assisted by Dwight McNeil

Ollie Watkins was a great price at the Emirates in a 5/23.50 winner, whilst we were rewarded with out attempt at getting a very short City side up to backable odds v Luton. Find out this weekend's Opta stats bets which also includes two options in the FA Cup semi-finals...

  • Back Gallagher to be fouled, not commit them

  • Ait-Nouri hopefully plays in advanced role

  • Huge 40/141.00 potential at Goodison Park

  • 15/116.00 Bet Builder on offer at Wembley

  • Claim your completely free Acca or Bet Builder here!

Luton Town v Brentford

Tight and cagey first half

The Opta Stat:

"Since drawing 2-2 with Tottenham at half-time in their opening Premier League game this season, Brentford haven't scored more than once in the first half in any of their last 32 league games. Indeed, they've not scored in the opening 45 minutes in any of their last five, with 10 of their last 11 goals coming after the interval. Luton, meanwhile, have scored a league-high 39% of their Premier League goals in the final 15 minutes of games this season (18/46). The goals scored in this time have ultimately been worth seven extra points to the Hatters (11 points gained with goals scored, 4 points lost with goals conceded)."

The Betfair Bet:


Get £20 in Free Bets when you place a £5 bet on the Sportsbook (T&Cs apply).

Sheffield United v Burnley

Can either side hold on to a lead?

Chris Wilder, Sheffield United coach.jpg

The Opta Stat:

"Since a 1-0 win against Brentford, Sheffield United are winless in seven home league games (D3 L4), conceding at least twice in each match. Only twice has a team conceded 2+ goals in eight consecutive Premier League home games - Wolves in 2011-12 (11) and Norwich in 2019 (9). On the other hand, Burnley have dropped 24 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season, with only Brentford (30) losing more."

The Betfair Bet:

Manchester City v Chelsea

Back Gallagher to be fouled, not to foul

The Opta Stat:

"Against Everton last time out, Conor Gallagher was involved in 11 fouls - commiting three himself and winning eight. Indeed, across his last 12 appearances for Chelsea, Gallagher has won 29 fouls, at an average of 2.4 per game."

The Betfair Bet:

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Arsenal

If he's fit, we go one more time

The Opta Stat:

"Rayan Aït-Nouri has scored three goals in his last five appearances in all competitions for Wolverhampton Wanderers - only one fewer than he netted in his first 105 games for the club (4). Indeed, he has managed seven shots on target across his last five games, and at least one in each appearance, totalling 14 attempts across those games. Indeed, he had two shots in the first half last time out against West Ham before being substitued through injury."

The Betfair Bet:

Everton v Nottingham Forest

As famous as Shearer and Sutton

The Opta Stat:

"Including penalties, Nottingham Forest have scored both the joint fewest total goals (6) and lowest percentage of goals (14%) from set pieces this season. Meanwhile, they've also conceded the highest total goals (25) and highest percentage (43%) of goals from set pieces this term. Indeed, Everton have generated the highest xG in the Premier League from set-pieces this season (16.06), with only Arsenal (18) netting more such goals than the Toffees (15). James Tarkowski meanwhile, has scored three goals in an Evertons shirt, all of which have been assisted by Dwight McNeil."

The Betfair Bet:

Aston Villa v Bournemouth

It is simple, combine the two in goal heavy game

solanke getty.jpg

The Opta Stat:

"Dominic Solanke has netted 17 Premier League goals this season, the most ever by a Bournemouth player in a single top-flight campaign. His eight away goals are also the most by a player since Callum Wilson in 2018-19 (nine). Indeed, Ollie Watkins' tally of 19 Premier League goals this season is the joint most by an Aston Villa player in a single campaign, along with Christian Benteke in 2012-13. The last Villa player to score 20 goals in a top-flight season was Peter Withe in 1980-81 (20), a campaign in which they won the title."

The Betfair Bet:

Crystal Palace v West Ham United

Odds-against for Eze

The Opta Stat:

"Eberechi Eze has been involved in six goals in his last nine Premier League appearances for Crystal Palace (5 goals, 1 assist). Since the start of last season, Eze has more goals and assists combined than any other Palace player (17 goals, 6 assists). Indeed, he netted the only goal at Anfield last time out as Palace welcomed back both Eze and Olise into the starting XI."

The Betfair Bet:

Coventry City v Manchester United

Simms and Wright are worth backing

The Opta Stat:

"Having failed to score in any of his first four FA Cup appearances, Ellis Simms has netted five goals in his last two in the competition. His five goals this term is the most by a Coventry player in a single FA Cup campaign since 1986-87, when Keith Houchen scored five as the Sky Blues lifted the trophy. Indeed, he and teammate Haji Wright both had 3+ shots on target at Molineux, with Wright averaging over three shots per 90 this season in the Championship. Simms and Wright have scored 24 goals between them in 2024, with Coventry the highest scoring side in the FA Cup this season (19)."

The Betfair Bet:

Fulham v Liverpool

Do not rule of Salah

The Opta Stat:

"Only Martin Ødegaard (68) and Bruno Fernandes (59) have created more chances from open play in the Premier League this season than Liverpool's Mohamed Salah (58). He's created 4+ open play chances in five different games this season, with Roberto Firmino the last Reds player to do so more times in one season (10 in 2016-17)."

The Betfair Bet:

Opta Stats P/L 2023-24 -

(Single Recommended bet of the week)

Stake: 26pts
Return: 26.1
P/L: +0.1
ROI: +-

(Overall Column)

Stake: 276pts
Return: 276.1
P/L: +0.1
ROI: +-

Now read Lewis Jones' Man City v Chelsea preview, with 22/1 tip!

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