Man City v Southampton: Goals to rival fans at the Etihad

Manchester City manager - Pep Guardiola
Pep Guardiola has upset a few Manchester City supporters this week
  • Manchester City vs Southampton
  • Sat 18 Sep, 15:00

The goals have been flowing at the Etihad this season and Paul Robinson doesn't expect that to change with the visit of Southampton on Saturday.

In their two league victories, the opening goal came in the seventh minute, and it only took them 16 minutes to score in the Champions League.

Back Over 4.5 Goals @ 3.613/5

Pep issues rallying cry

Pep Guardiola has been asking for more Man City fans in the ground for this fixture against Southampton, and if they keep on banging in the goals like they have been doing, attendances will rise sooner rather than later.

City have scored 16 goals in three home matches this term - a pair of 5-0 victories in the league and a 6-3 success in Europe on Wednesday.

The Etihad hasn't been empty either - far from it - but there were only 38,000 in the stadium against Leipzig, and they were around 7% under their 55,000 capacity for their two league victories.

Back to matters on the pitch now and while it's always hard to predict what team Pep will pick, it is likely that the front three will be Jesus, Torres and Grealish. Kevin de Bruyne made his return on Wednesday, but with 71 minutes under his belt, he will probably be given a role from the bench on Saturday.

Man City's chances of winning the Premier League

Steady progress for Southampton

The Saints lost two or three of their key players over the summer, and after an opening day 3-1 defeat at Goodison Park, I have to admit, I did fear the worst for them.

A 1-1 draw with Manchester United started what is currently a four match unbeaten run though, and while all three of the league games in that ended all square, Ralph Hasenhüttl will be relatively happy.

They face their stiffest test yet on Saturday afternoon however, in a fixture that they lost 5-2 last term.

Adam Armstrong has scored once since his move from Blackburn Rovers, and he will again lead the line in what could be a return to their 4-2-2-2 formation.

Short City not worth a bet

It is of little surprise that Man City are the 1.162/13 favourites for this clash, which is 2/13 in old money.

Manchester City

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Southampton

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Saturday 18 September, 15:00

Full stats

The hosts have been dominant at the Etihad this season, with 5-0 wins over Norwich and Arsenal coming as comfortably as they sound. They did conceded three to Leipzig during the week, but they didn't have their first choice side out, and they still won the match by a three goal margin.

In their two league victories, the opening goal came in the seventh minute, and it only took them 16 minutes to score in the Champions League.

Based on that, I can't even recommend the draw at 10.09/1 as a trading opportunity. Southampton to win the game at 22.021/1 sounds massive, but realistically speaking, it's probably about the right price.

Expect goals at both ends

There isn't much juice in the Over/Under 2.5 Goal Market either, as the clear frontrunner, Over, is trading at around the 1.434/9 mark. Under 2.5 is available to back at 3.211/5.

I do think that this one could be quite high-scoring, and I certainly wouldn't rule out a Saints goal. They netted against United and Everton, put eight past Newport County and scored two more at Newcastle.

Over 4.5 Goals looks like a decent option at 3.613/5, as does Both Teams to Score at 2.3211/8.

Bet Builder

For a punt at a bigger price than those two though, a Bet Builder on the Sportsbook is ideal.

Ferran Torres has been on fire this season, so him to score anytime is my first pick. Gabriel Jesus was bought as a goal-scorer, but he has three assists to his name so far this year, so him to get his fourth from the wide right is my second choice.

Add in a James Ward-Prowse shot (doesn't have to be on target), and BTTS, and you have yourself a 22/1 Bet Builder.

Key Opta Stat

Southampton's James Ward-Prowse has scored in his last two away league games against Man City, doing so in November 2019 and March 2021. The last player to score in three consecutive Premier League away games against Man City was Tim Cahill, doing so between 2008 and 2010.

2021/22 P/L (1pt each bet)

Wagered: 11pts
Returned: 9.9pts
P/L: -1.1pts

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