Luton v Aston Villa: Weigh in for Watkins in 17/2 Bet Builder

• Luton are leaking goals but still scoring them

• Back-to-form Villa are more reliable away now

• Ollie Watkins and Leon Bailey are in great form

• Read Betfair's new 90 Minute Payout offer here

Luton Town v Aston Villa
Saturday March 02, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

Luton leaking goals at worrying rate

Everton's points deduction being reduced from 10 to six has dropped Luton back in serious trouble and they go into the latest round of Premier League fixtures now four points behind fourth-bottom Nottingham Forest.

The Hatters have a game in hand at least and continue to show plenty of spirit but with just a third of the season to go, this is now no longer the time for plucky defeats.

At the start of February, Luton roared into a 4-2 lead at Newcastle and were looking good for a fourth straight win in all competitions after FA Cup successes at Bolton and Everton as well as a 4-0 thumping of Brighton in the Premier League.

But Newcastle hit back to force a 4-4 draw and Luton have since suffered four straight defeats. Alarmingly, they've also conceded 19 goals in their last five matches following a 6-2 home shellacking at the hands of Manchester City in the FA Cup on Tuesday night.

Villa looking good for top four

While Luton are going the wrong way, Aston Villa look to be coming on strong again after a recent blip which saw them lose an FA Cup replay to Chelsea (1-3) and suffer a second home defeat four days later to Manchester United in the Premier League (1-2).

An Ollie Watkins double got them back on the winning trail at Fulham and then they turned on the style to beat Nottingham Forest 4-2 at Villa Park last weekend.

Those back-to-back successes have made it 16 wins from 26 top-flight games for Unai Emery's side this season and they're now 1.991/1 on the exchange to finish fourth. Villa are currently five points ahead of fifth-placed Tottenham although Spurs have a game in hand.

That impressive tally of victories includes a 3-1 home win over Luton in October in the first meeting between the two sides.

Emery's side have improved on the road

Villa appeared to be settling into a pattern of being brilliant at home but flakey on the road in the early part of the season.

But after losing three of their first six away fixtures, the Villans have won four, drawn two and lost just one of their last seven on the road.

On those numbers they're deserved 1.784/5 favourites to beat a side that have lost eight of their 13 home games. Luton are 4.57/2 to get a much-needed three points while The Draw is also 4.57/2.

One starting point in terms of a bet is to note that Luton have scored in each of their last 13 Premier League games. Adding to that is that they've scored in 12 of their 13 home PL matches. In other words, we can almost pencil Luton in for a goal.

Villa have let in 20 away goals in the Premier League and, more recently, have conceded eight times in their last four mathes in all comps so it's fair to expect Luton's goal streak to continue.

Watkins and Bailey to star in Bet Builder

Only Erling Haaland and Mo Salah have scored more Premier League goals than Ollie Watkins this season.

Taking into account all games, it's worth noting that 11 of his 19 strikes in club colours have come away from home.

That makes him a very obvious but appealing bet to score here and a Watkins goal can definitely be included in a Bet Builder.

English Premier League - Top 5 Goalscorers

Player	Team	Goals Scored
Mohamed Salah	Liverpool	28
Alexander Isak	Newcastle	23
Erling Haaland	Man City	21
Chris Wood	Nottm Forest	20
Bryan Mbeumo	Brentford	19
Yoane Wissa	Brentford	19
Ollie Watkins	Aston Villa	16
Cole Palmer	Chelsea	15
Matheus Cunha	Wolves	15
Jean-Philippe Mateta	Crystal Palace	14
Jørgen Strand Larsen	Wolves	14
Luis Díaz	Liverpool	13
Raúl Jiménez	Fulham	12
Liam Delap	Ipswich	12
Justin Kluivert	Bournemouth	12
Jarrod Bowen	West Ham	12
Kevin Schade	Brentford	11
Brennan Johnson	Tottenham	11
Kaoru Mitoma	Brighton	10
Cody Gakpo	Liverpool	10
Danny Welbeck	Brighton	10
Nicolas Jackson	Chelsea	10
Evanilson	Bournemouth	10
João Pedro	Brighton	10
Alex Iwobi	Fulham	9
Antoine Semenyo	Bournemouth	9
Jamie Vardy	Leicester	9
Tomás Soucek	West Ham	9
Harvey Barnes	Newcastle	9
Iliman Ndiaye	Everton	9
James Maddison	Tottenham	9
Kai Havertz	Arsenal	9
Leandro Trossard	Arsenal	8
Morgan Rogers	Aston Villa	8
Bruno Fernandes	Man Utd	8
Jacob Murphy	Newcastle	8
Eberechi Eze	Crystal Palace	8
Gabriel Martinelli	Arsenal	8
Rodrigo Muniz	Fulham	8
Beto	Everton	8
Dominic Solanke	Tottenham	8
Ismaïla Sarr	Crystal Palace	7
Morgan Gibbs-White	Nottm Forest	7
Dango Ouattara	Bournemouth	7
Dejan Kulusevski	Tottenham	7
Noni Madueke	Chelsea	7
Son Heung-Min	Tottenham	7
Phil Foden	Man City	7
Mikel Merino	Arsenal	7
Amad Diallo	Man Utd	7
Jhon Durán	Aston Villa	7
Omar Marmoush	Man City	7
Anthony Elanga	Nottm Forest	6
Alejandro Garnacho	Man Utd	6
Dominik Szoboszlai	Liverpool	6
Enzo Fernández	Chelsea	6
Emile Smith Rowe	Fulham	6
Anthony Gordon	Newcastle	6
Yankuba Minteh	Brighton	6
Mateo Kovacic	Man City	6
Marcus Rashford	Man Utd	6
Diogo Jota	Liverpool	6
Harry Wilson	Fulham	6
Bukayo Saka	Arsenal	6
Bruno Guimarães	Newcastle	5
Josko Gvardiol	Man City	5
Nikola Milenkovic	Nottm Forest	5
Alexis Mac Allister	Liverpool	5
Marc Cucurella	Chelsea	5
Christian Nørgaard	Brentford	5
Callum Hudson-Odoi	Nottm Forest	5
Jordan Ayew	Crystal Palace	5
Facundo Buonanotte	Leicester	5
Darwin Núñez	Liverpool	5
Georginio Rutter	Brighton	5
Rayan Aït-Nouri	Wolves	4
Daniel Muñoz	Crystal Palace	4
Sandro Tonali	Newcastle	4
Declan Rice	Arsenal	4
Thomas Partey	Arsenal	4
Pedro Neto	Chelsea	4
Fabian Schär	Newcastle	4
Lucas Paquetá	West Ham	4
Bernardo Silva	Man City	4
Mohammed Kudus	West Ham	4
Rasmus Højlund	Man Utd	4
Stephy Mavididi	Leicester	4
Joelinton	Newcastle	4
Kevin De Bruyne	Man City	4
Ethan Nwaneri	Arsenal	4
Paul Onuachu	Southampton	4
Dwight McNeil	Everton	4
Sam Szmodics	Ipswich	4
Ryan Sessegnon	Fulham	4
Richarlison	Tottenham	4
Virgil van Dijk	Liverpool	3
João Gomes	Wolves	3
Youri Tielemans	Aston Villa	3
Pape Sarr	Tottenham	3
Marc Guéhi	Crystal Palace	3
Carlos Baleba	Brighton	3
Joshua Zirkzee	Man Utd	3
Trent Alexander-Arnold	Liverpool	3
Curtis Jones	Liverpool	3
Joe Aribo	Southampton	3
Abdoulaye Doucouré	Everton	3
Dean Huijsen	Bournemouth	3
Omari Hutchinson	Ipswich	3
Jota Silva	Nottm Forest	3
Jadon Sancho	Chelsea	3
Eddie Nketiah	Arsenal	3
Gabriel Magalhães	Arsenal	3
Marcus Tavernier	Bournemouth	3
Jérémy Doku	Man City	3
Christopher Nkunku	Chelsea	3
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	Everton	3
Jack Hinshelwood	Brighton	3
Amadou Onana	Aston Villa	3
George Hirst	Ipswich	3
Trevoh Chalobah	Crystal Palace	3
Pablo Sarabia	Wolves	3
Ross Barkley	Aston Villa	3
Gabriel Jesus	Arsenal	3
Niclas Füllkrug	West Ham	3
James McAtee	Man City	3
Michael Keane	Everton	3
Donyell Malen	Aston Villa	3
Marco Asensio	Aston Villa	3
Milos Kerkez	Bournemouth	2
Nathan Collins	Brentford	2
Mikkel Damsgaard	Brentford	2
Elliot Anderson	Nottm Forest	2
Adama Traoré	Fulham	2
Murillo	Nottm Forest	2
William Saliba	Arsenal	2
Aaron Wan-Bissaka	West Ham	2
James Justin	Leicester	2
Mateus Fernandes	Southampton	2
Cameron Archer	Southampton	2
Ola Aina	Nottm Forest	2
Ryan Yates	Nottm Forest	2
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde	Wolves	2
Yasin Ayari	Brighton	2
Tyler Dibling	Southampton	2
Ezri Konsa	Aston Villa	2
Andreas Pereira	Fulham	2
Pedro Porro	Tottenham	2
Bilal El Khannouss	Leicester	2
Emerson	West Ham	2
Jan Bednarek	Southampton	2
Matthijs de Ligt	Man Utd	2
Matt Doherty	Wolves	2
Martin Ødegaard	Arsenal	2
Ryan Christie	Bournemouth	2
Gonçalo Guedes	Wolves	2
Simon Adingra	Brighton	2
David Brooks	Bournemouth	2
Yves Bissouma	Tottenham	2
Rodrigo Bentancur	Tottenham	2
Julio Enciso	Brighton	2
Tom Cairney	Fulham	2
Rodrigo Gomes	Wolves	2
Ethan Pinnock	Brentford	2
Hwang Hee-Chan	Wolves	2
Jaden Philogene	Aston Villa	2
Lisandro Martínez	Man Utd	2
Adam Armstrong	Southampton	2
Jake O'Brien	Everton	2
Riccardo Calafiori	Arsenal	2
Fábio Carvalho	Brentford	2
Enes Ünal	Bournemouth	2
Tariq Lamptey	Brighton	2
Mathys Tel	Tottenham	2
John Stones	Man City	2
Nico O'Reilly	Man City	2
Keane Lewis-Potter	Brentford	1
Moisés Caicedo	Chelsea	1
Dan Burn	Newcastle	1
Lewis Cook	Bournemouth	1
Calvin Bassey	Fulham	1
Neco Williams	Nottm Forest	1
Taylor Harwood-Bellis	Southampton	1
Vitalii Mykolenko	Everton	1
Levi Colwill	Chelsea	1
Maxence Lacroix	Crystal Palace	1
Jan Paul van Hecke	Brighton	1
James Tarkowski	Everton	1
Jack Harrison	Everton	1
John McGinn	Aston Villa	1
Wout Faes	Leicester	1
Leif Davis	Ipswich	1
Sam Morsy	Ipswich	1
Vitaly Janelt	Brentford	1
Jack Taylor	Ipswich	1
Ashley Young	Everton	1
Carlos Soler	West Ham	1
Ibrahima Konaté	Liverpool	1
Jurriën Timber	Arsenal	1
Pervis Estupiñán	Brighton	1
Yukinari Sugawara	Southampton	1
Jens Cajuste	Ipswich	1
Manuel Ugarte	Man Utd	1
Ian Maatsen	Aston Villa	1
Jacob Ramsey	Aston Villa	1
Savinho	Man City	1
Rico Lewis	Man City	1
Harry Maguire	Man Utd	1
Flynn Downes	Southampton	1
Taiwo Awoniyi	Nottm Forest	1
Matty Cash	Aston Villa	1
Matheus Nunes	Man City	1
Lesley Ugochukwu	Southampton	1
Kamaldeen Sulemana	Southampton	1
Boubacar Kamara	Aston Villa	1
Jacob Greaves	Ipswich	1
Mats Wieffer	Brighton	1
Leon Bailey	Aston Villa	1
Djed Spence	Tottenham	1
Casemiro	Man Utd	1
Ben Johnson	Ipswich	1
Chris Richards	Crystal Palace	1
Bobby De Cordova-Reid	Leicester	1
Myles Lewis-Skelly	Arsenal	1
Justin Devenny	Crystal Palace	1
Patson Daka	Leicester	1
Conor Chaplin	Ipswich	1
Tosin Adarabioyo	Chelsea	1
Evan Ferguson	Brighton	1
Conor Coady	Leicester	1
Jack Grealish	Man City	1
Brajan Gruda	Brighton	1
Matt O'Riley	Brighton	1
Jack Stephens	Southampton	1
Crysencio Summerville	West Ham	1
Caleb Okoli	Leicester	1
Ramón Sosa	Nottm Forest	1
Orel Mangala	Everton	1
Cristian Romero	Tottenham	1
Reece James	Chelsea	1
Harvey Elliott	Liverpool	1
Mario Lemina	Wolves	1
Will Smallbone	Southampton	1
Kasey McAteer	Leicester	1
Nathan Broadhead	Ipswich	1
Mason Mount	Man Utd	1
Jakub Kiwior	Arsenal	1
Carlos Alcaraz	Southampton	1
Daniel Jebbison	Bournemouth	1
Danny Ings	West Ham	1
Wilson Odobert	Tottenham	1
Emmanuel Agbadou	Wolves	1
Michail Antonio	West Ham	1
Lewis Miley	Newcastle	1
William Osula	Newcastle	1
Axel Disasi	Chelsea	1
Marshall Munetsi	Wolves	1
Luis Sinisterra	Bournemouth	1
Reiss Nelson	Arsenal	1
João Félix	Chelsea	1
Nico González	Man City	1
Tyrique George	Chelsea	1
Ben Chilwell	Crystal Palace	1
Ferdi Kadioglu	Brighton	1
Romain Esse	Crystal Palace	1
Matheus França	Crystal Palace	1
Bernd Leno	Fulham	0
Matz Sels	Nottm Forest	0
David Raya	Arsenal	0
Jordan Pickford	Everton	0
Maximilian Kilman	West Ham	0
Dean Henderson	Crystal Palace	0
Noussair Mazraoui	Man Utd	0
Ryan Gravenberch	Liverpool	0
Tino Livramento	Newcastle	0
Idrissa Gueye	Everton	0
Emiliano Martínez	Aston Villa	0
Tyrick Mitchell	Crystal Palace	0
Mark Flekken	Brentford	0
Antonee Robinson	Fulham	0
Illia Zabarnyi	Bournemouth	0
Bart Verbruggen	Brighton	0
André Onana	Man Utd	0
Dara O'Shea	Ipswich	0
Kyle Walker-Peters	Southampton	0
Nicolás Domínguez	Nottm Forest	0
Daichi Kamada	Crystal Palace	0
Nélson Semedo	Wolves	0
Diogo Dalot	Man Utd	0
Andy Robertson	Liverpool	0
Konstantinos Mavropanos	West Ham	0
Lucas Digne	Aston Villa	0
Jefferson Lerma	Crystal Palace	0
Will Hughes	Crystal Palace	0
Ilkay Gündogan	Man City	0
André	Wolves	0
Joe Willock	Newcastle	0
Malo Gusto	Chelsea	0
Robert Sánchez	Chelsea	0
Jack Clarke	Ipswich	0
Toti Gomes	Wolves	0
Yehor Yarmoliuk	Brentford	0
Boubakary Soumaré	Leicester	0
Sepp van den Berg	Brentford	0
Kepa	Bournemouth	0
Sander Berge	Fulham	0
Jarrad Branthwaite	Everton	0
Sasa Lukic	Fulham	0
Aaron Ramsdale	Arsenal	0
Joachim Andersen	Crystal Palace	0
Victor Kristiansen	Leicester	0
Santiago Bueno	Wolves	0
José Sá	Wolves	0
Wilfred Ndidi	Leicester	0
Alisson Becker	Liverpool	0
Lewis Hall	Newcastle	0
Nick Pope	Newcastle	0
Archie Gray	Tottenham	0
Lucas Bergvall	Tottenham	0
Mads Hermansen	Leicester	0
Edson Álvarez	West Ham	0
Tyler Adams	Bournemouth	0
Jean-Clair Todibo	West Ham	0
Alphonse Areola	West Ham	0
Rúben Dias	Man City	0
Morato	Nottm Forest	0
Jesper Lindstrøm	Everton	0
Sean Longstaff	Newcastle	0
Lewis Dunk	Brighton	0
Ederson	Man City	0
Manuel Akanji	Man City	0
Kobbie Mainoo	Man Utd	0
Timothy Castagne	Fulham	0
Tommy Doyle	Wolves	0
Kieran Trippier	Newcastle	0
Adam Smith	Bournemouth	0
Destiny Udogie	Tottenham	0
Ryan Manning	Southampton	0
Pau Torres	Aston Villa	0
James Ward-Prowse	West Ham	0
Kristoffer Ajer	Brentford	0
Mathias Jensen	Brentford	0
Guglielmo Vicario	Tottenham	0
Oliver Skipp	Leicester	0
Christian Eriksen	Man Utd	0
Guido Rodríguez	West Ham	0
Harry Winks	Leicester	0
Kenny Tete	Fulham	0
Issa Diop	Fulham	0
Axel Tuanzebe	Ipswich	0
Vladimír Coufal	West Ham	0
Leny Yoro	Man Utd	0
Joël Veltman	Brighton	0
Adam Wharton	Crystal Palace	0
James Garner	Everton	0
Wataru Endo	Liverpool	0
Kalvin Phillips	Ipswich	0
Alex Scott	Bournemouth	0
Mads Roerslev	Brentford	0
Cameron Burgess	Ipswich	0
Kostas Tsimikas	Liverpool	0
Conor Bradley	Liverpool	0
Wes Burns	Ipswich	0
Tim Iroegbunam	Everton	0
Timo Werner	Tottenham	0
Jannik Vestergaard	Leicester	0
Arijanet Muric	Ipswich	0
James Bree	Southampton	0
Aaron Cresswell	West Ham	0
Callum Wilson	Newcastle	0
Ben White	Arsenal	0
Radu Dragusin	Tottenham	0
Ben Davies	Tottenham	0
Marcos Senesi	Bournemouth	0
Raheem Sterling	Arsenal	0
Luke Woolfenden	Ipswich	0
Craig Dawson	Wolves	0
Jorginho	Arsenal	0
Roméo Lavia	Chelsea	0
Kyle Walker	Man City	0
Álex Moreno	Nottm Forest	0
Victor Lindelöf	Man Utd	0
Diego Gómez	Brighton	0
Oleksandr Zinchenko	Arsenal	0
Wesley Fofana	Chelsea	0
Adam Lallana	Southampton	0
Tyrone Mings	Aston Villa	0
Ollie Scarles	West Ham	0
Jarell Quansah	Liverpool	0
Adam Webster	Brighton	0
Lukasz Fabianski	West Ham	0
Cheick Doucouré	Crystal Palace	0
Nathaniel Clyne	Crystal Palace	0
Stefan Ortega	Man City	0
Luke Thomas	Leicester	0
Alex Palmer	Ipswich	0
Harrison Reed	Fulham	0
Ibrahim Sangaré	Nottm Forest	0
Julián Araujo	Bournemouth	0
Emil Krafth	Newcastle	0
Emiliano Buendía	Aston Villa	0
Jeffrey Schlupp	Crystal Palace	0
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall	Chelsea	0
Micky van de Ven	Tottenham	0
Igor Julio	Brighton	0
Luis Guilherme	West Ham	0
Kieran Tierney	Arsenal	0
Ali Al-Hamadi	Ipswich	0
Abdul Fatawu	Leicester	0
Ross Stewart	Southampton	0
Michael Kayode	Brentford	0
Patrick Dorgu	Man Utd	0
Massimo Luongo	Ipswich	0
Caoimhín Kelleher	Liverpool	0
Philip Billing	Bournemouth	0
Lloyd Kelly	Newcastle	0
Martin Dúbravka	Newcastle	0
James Hill	Bournemouth	0
Ben Brereton	Southampton	0
Nathan Wood	Southampton	0
Diego Carlos	Aston Villa	0
Andy Irving	West Ham	0
Nathan Aké	Man City	0
Yunus Konak	Brentford	0
Carlos Forbs	Wolves	0
Mikey Moore	Tottenham	0
Nathan Patterson	Everton	0
Armando Broja	Everton	0
Willian	Fulham	0
Miguel Almirón	Newcastle	0
Ricardo Pereira	Leicester	0
Joe Gomez	Liverpool	0
Jakub Stolarczyk	Leicester	0
Welington	Southampton	0
Kevin Danso	Tottenham	0
Antony	Man Utd	0
Danilo	Nottm Forest	0
Lamare Bogarde	Aston Villa	0
Ryan Fraser	Southampton	0
Paris Maghoma	Brentford	0
Solly March	Brighton	0
Josh King	Fulham	0
Jorge Cuenca	Fulham	0
Charlie Taylor	Southampton	0
Sam Johnstone	Crystal Palace	0
Ben Mee	Brentford	0
Mykhailo Mudryk	Chelsea	0
Renato Veiga	Chelsea	0
Fraser Forster	Tottenham	0
Harry Clarke	Ipswich	0
Igor Thiago	Brentford	0
Luke Shaw	Man Utd	0
Sven Botman	Newcastle	0
Andrés García	Aston Villa	0
Toby Collyer	Man Utd	0
Jonny Evans	Man Utd	0
Conor Townsend	Ipswich	0
Christian Walton	Ipswich	0
Willy-Arnaud Boly	Nottm Forest	0
Odsonne Édouard	Crystal Palace	0
Filip Jørgensen	Chelsea	0
Federico Chiesa	Liverpool	0
Antonín Kinsky	Tottenham	0
Abdukodir Khusanov	Man City	0
Chido Obi	Man Utd	0
Jeremy Monga	Leicester	0
Mark Travers	Bournemouth	0
Yerson Mosquera	Wolves	0
Alex McCarthy	Southampton	0
Kosta Nedeljkovic	Aston Villa	0
Benoît Badiashile	Chelsea	0
Chiedozie Ogbene	Ipswich	0
Séamus Coleman	Everton	0
Harry Amass	Man Utd	0
Rico Henry	Brentford	0
Nasser Djiga	Wolves	0
Harry Toffolo	Nottm Forest	0
Hamza Choudhury	Leicester	0
Jakub Moder	Brighton	0
Sergio Reguilón	Tottenham	0
Josh Acheampong	Chelsea	0
Youssef Chermiti	Everton	0
Armel Bella-Kotchap	Southampton	0
Woyo Coulibaly	Leicester	0
Albert Grønbæk	Southampton	0
Altay Bayindir	Man Utd	0
James Milner	Brighton	0
Joe Lumley	Southampton	0
Harrison Armstrong	Everton	0
Marc Guiu	Chelsea	0
Max Aarons	Bournemouth	0
Rodri	Man City	0
Ayden Heaven	Arsenal	0
Kim Ji-Soo	Brentford	0
Will Lankshear	Tottenham	0
Pedro Lima	Wolves	0
Robin Olsen	Aston Villa	0
Tyrell Malacia	Man Utd	0
Ben Winterburn	Bournemouth	0
Carlos Vinícius	Fulham	0
Ben Godfrey	Ipswich	0
Dane Scarlett	Tottenham	0
Oscar Bobb	Man City	0
Jake Evans	Leicester	0
Jay Robinson	Southampton	0
Gustavo Nunes	Brentford	0
Scott McTominay	Man Utd	0
Marcus Harness	Ipswich	0
Neto	Bournemouth	0
Jason Steele	Brighton	0
Sam Amo-Ameyaw	Southampton	0
Daniel Podence	Wolves	0
Billy Gilmour	Brighton	0
Dan Bentley	Wolves	0
Samuel Edozie	Southampton	0
Matt Targett	Newcastle	0
Eric da Silva Moreira	Nottm Forest	0
Frank Onyeka	Brentford	0
Hákon Valdimarsson	Brentford	0
Danny Ward	Leicester	0
Joel Ward	Crystal Palace	0
Asher Agbinone	Crystal Palace	0
Maxwel Cornet	Southampton	0
Caleb Kporha	Crystal Palace	0
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey	Man City	0
Martial Godo	Fulham	0
Lewis Orford	West Ham	0
Eiran Cashin	Brighton	0
Tyler Fredricson	Man Utd	0
Julio Soler	Bournemouth	0
Jay Stansfield	Fulham	0
Chiquinho	Wolves	0
Mason Holgate	Everton	0
Jeremy Sarmiento	Brighton	0
Chadi Riad	Crystal Palace	0
Ryan Trevitt	Brentford	0
Brandon Austin	Tottenham	0
Roman Dixon	Everton	0
George Edmundson	Ipswich	0
Boubacar Traoré	Wolves	0
Kaelan Casey	West Ham	0
Jayden Meghoma	Brentford	0
Vítezslav Jaros	Liverpool	0
Alfie Pond	Wolves	0
Takehiro Tomiyasu	Arsenal	0
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji	Arsenal	0
Ronnie Edwards	Southampton	0
Alfie Dorrington	Tottenham	0
Divin Mubama	Man City	0
Will Alves	Leicester	0
Remy Rees-Dottin	Bournemouth	0
Jayden Danns	Liverpool	0
Zain Silcott-Duberry	Bournemouth	0
Vitor Reis	Man City	0
Mathis Amougou	Chelsea	0
Shumaira Mheuka	Chelsea	0
Mateus Mané	Wolves	0
Harry Howell	Brighton	0
Michael Golding	Leicester	0
Joachim Kayi-Sanda	Southampton	0
Steven Benda	Fulham	0
Cieran Slicker	Ipswich	0
Valentín Barco	Brighton	0
Andrew Omobamidele	Nottm Forest	0
João Virgínia	Everton	0
Jaidon Anthony	Bournemouth	0
Carlos Miguel	Nottm Forest	0
Carl Rushworth	Brighton	0
Jenson Metcalfe	Everton	0
Hamed Traoré	Bournemouth	0
Mark O’Mahony	Brighton	0
Neal Maupay	Everton	0
Joe Gauci	Aston Villa	0
Myles Peart-Harris	Brentford	0
Ben Nelson	Leicester	0
Thomas Cannon	Leicester	0
Issa Kaboré	Man City	0
Rob Holding	Crystal Palace	0
Naouirou Ahamada	Crystal Palace	0
John Ruddy	Newcastle	0
Alex Murphy	Newcastle	0
Tommy Setford	Arsenal	0
Salah-Eddine Oulad M'hand	Arsenal	0
Sil Swinkels	Aston Villa	0
Oliwier Zych	Aston Villa	0
Daniel Iversen	Leicester	0
Remi Matthews	Crystal Palace	0
Cesare Casadei	Chelsea	0
Franco Umeh-Chibueze	Crystal Palace	0
Alfie Devine	Tottenham	0
Kaden Rodney	Crystal Palace	0
Ethan Wheatley	Man Utd	0
Tom Heaton	Man Utd	0
Matt Turner	Crystal Palace	0
Kadan Young	Aston Villa	0
Will Dennis	Bournemouth	0
Ismeal Kabia	Arsenal	0
Maldini Kacurri	Arsenal	0
Asmir Begovic	Everton	0
Tony Yogane	Brentford	0
Scott Carson	Man City	0
Imari Samuels	Brighton	0
Josh Nichols	Arsenal	0
Odysseas Vlachodimos	Newcastle	0
Jack Fletcher	Man Utd	0
Marcus Bettinelli	Chelsea	0
Tyler Morton	Liverpool	0
Killian Cahill	Brighton	0
Harvey Davies	Liverpool	0
Wes Foderingham	West Ham	0
Jacob Wright	Man City	0
Jayce Fitzgerald	Man Utd	0
Zach Marsh	Crystal Palace	0
Callum Bates	Everton	0
Josh Wilson-Esbrand	Man City	0
Ruairi McConville	Brighton	0
Ben Broggio	Aston Villa	0
Tom Edozie	Wolves	0
Luke Cundle	Wolves	0
Max Kinsey	Bournemouth	0
Callum Olusesi	Tottenham	0
Malachi Hardy	Tottenham	0
Jacob Slater	Brighton	0
Ezra Mayers	West Ham	0
Lucá Williams-Barnett	Tottenham	0
Samuel Amissah	Fulham	0
Treymaurice Nyoni	Liverpool	0
Amara Nallo	Liverpool	0
Joseph O'Brien-Whitmarsh	Southampton	0
Godwill Kukonki	Man Utd	0
Henry Cartwright	Leicester	0
Bastien Meupiyou	Wolves	0
Maeson King	Tottenham	0
Samuel Rak-Sakyi	Chelsea	0
Max Alleyne	Man City	0
Archie Harris	Bournemouth	0
Spike Brits	Man City	0
Benjamin Arthur	Brentford	0
Thomas Wilson-Brown	Leicester	0
James McConnell	Liverpool	0
Zach Abbott	Nottm Forest	0
Alfie Whiteman	Tottenham	0
Jamaldeen Jimoh	Aston Villa	0
Wes Okoduwa	Wolves	0
Dominic Sadi	Bournemouth	0
Daniel Adu-Adjei	Bournemouth	0
Matai Akinmboni	Bournemouth	0
Martin Sherif	Everton	0
Callan McKenna	Bournemouth	0
Damola Ajayi	Tottenham	0
Yang Min-Hyeok	Tottenham	0
Jack Porter	Arsenal	0
Joe Knight	Brighton	0
Tawanda Chirewa	Wolves	0
Elyh Harrison	Man Utd	0
Julian Eyestone	Brentford	0
Dante Cassanova	Tottenham	0
Isaac Heath	Everton	0
Aaron Anselmino	Chelsea	0
Wayne Hennessey	Nottm Forest	0
Coby Ebere	Everton	0
Sékou Koné	Man Utd	0
Jack Moorhouse	Man Utd	0
Iwan Morgan	Brentford	0
Hubert Graczyk	Man Utd	0
Ishé Samuels-Smith	Chelsea	0
Benjamin Fredrick	Brentford	0
Genesis Antwi	Chelsea	0
Dermot Mee	Man Utd	0
Sean Neave	Newcastle	0
Jimi Gower	Arsenal	0
Leo Shahar	Newcastle	0
Charlie Tasker	Brighton	0
Freddie Simmonds	Brighton	0
Olabade Aluko	Leicester	0
Jack Henry-Francis	Arsenal	0
Tom King	Wolves	0
Somto Boniface	Ipswich	0
Tom Taylor	Ipswich	0
Brayden Clarke	Arsenal	0
Jamaal Lascelles	Newcastle	0

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Leon Bailey set up Watkins' early strike against Forest last week and the Jamaican winger looks bang in form.

He has seven assists in the PL this season and if Luton leave gaps and push forward, Bailey can make hay.

So, to simplify everthing, in a game that should feature goals, I like Villa to outscore Luton, with Watkins and Bailey key figures in an away win.

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