English Premier League

Fulham v Liverpool Premier League tips: How to back Mo Salah in a 5/2 Bet Builder

Mo Salah during Atalanta v Liverpool
Mo Salah is looking to add to the goal he scored against Atalanta in midweek

Tom Victor's Big Match Focus looks at Fulham v Liverpool as the visitors look to keep their Premier League title hopes alive...


Fulham v Liverpool
Sunday, 16:30
Sky Sports Main Event

Last week's surprise defeat to Crystal Palace means Liverpool have it all to do in the final six games of the Premier League season.

Opta's model puts the Reds' title chances at just 11.5% ahead of the business end of the run-in. In real terms, that means even maximum points between now and May won't be enough if either Arsenal or Manchester City manage the same.

All Liverpool can do is win their games, starting with Fulham on Sunday. That might not be straightforward, though, with Marco Silva's side beating Arsenal at Craven Cottage in December and impressing in last weekend's win at West Ham.


Liverpool's recent upper hand

The last few meetings between these teams have been dominated by Jürgen Klopp's side. Liverpool have won eight of the last 11, with Fulham's only win in that time coming courtesy of a Mario Lemina goal in 2021 when Liverpool were forced to use a makeshift centre-back pairing of Rhys Williams and Nat Phillips.

English Premier League - Both Teams to Score

Team Games BTTS %
Luton 38 31 82
Tottenham 38 27 71
West Ham 38 26 68
Liverpool 38 26 68
Brighton 38 25 66
Aston Villa 38 25 66
Brentford 38 25 66
Chelsea 38 25 66
Wolves 38 25 66
Nottm Forest 38 25 66
Burnley 38 24 63
Crystal Palace 38 23 61
Bournemouth 38 23 61
Newcastle 38 23 61
Man City 38 23 61
Sheff Utd 38 22 58
Man Utd 38 21 55
Fulham 38 18 47
Arsenal 38 16 42
Everton 38 15 39
Full stats

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Liverpool, who are 11/20 to win on Sunday, needed two late goals from Wataru Endo and Trent Alexander-Arnold to get the job done in the reverse fixture. They also overcame Fulham in the League Cup semi-finals, though the second leg ended all-square after the Reds won narrowly at Anfield.

Fulham are 4/15.00 to win, and if they do so it would mark the first time in more than a year that Liverpool have lost successive league games. The London side have only won successive league games on two occasions this season, and they haven't won three or more on the bounce since January 2023, but could still be worth looking at both teams to score at 40/851.47 after the seven-goal thriller last time out.

Back both teams to score @ 40/851.47

Bet here

A chance to catch up with xG

Liverpool and Fulham both underperformed their xG last weekend, albeit with different outcomes. Fulham only scored twice against West Ham from a season-high of 3.29 xG but that was enough for victory, while Liverpool suffered after their 2.81 xG didn't produce a single goal against Palace.

That Liverpool tally is the highest from a team that failed to score in a Premier League game this season. It also came hot on the heels of dropped points at Old Trafford, where the Reds posted an xG total of 3.57 to their opponents' 0.71 but fell foul of missed chances to only draw 2-2.

After Liverpool failed to mount a miracle comeback against Atalanta, they are left to focus on the league and shoot for maximum points. Outscoring their opponents might be the best avenue, after a run of just one clean sheet in 11 league games, and Klopp's team are 11/82.38 to score more than 1.5 goals in West London.

English Premier League - Top 5 Shots

Team Played Shots On target Av/Game
Liverpool 38 790 20.8
Man City 38 693 18.2
Arsenal 38 657 17.3
Tottenham 38 584 15.4
Brighton 38 561 14.8
Newcastle 38 551 14.5
Man Utd 38 550 14.5
Chelsea 38 549 14.4
Bournemouth 38 542 14.3
Aston Villa 38 515 13.6
Everton 38 507 13.3
Fulham 38 501 13.2
Brentford 38 473 12.4
Crystal Palace 38 456 12
Nottm Forest 38 451 11.9
West Ham 38 450 11.8
Burnley 38 433 11.4
Luton 38 432 11.4
Wolves 38 429 11.3
Sheff Utd 38 365 9.6
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The visitors' hopes could well hinge on how well Mohamed Salah performs, with the Egyptian having just two goals and no assists in the league since returning from his latest injury. His season-long numbers are far healthier, though, with 36 goal involvements in all competitions at a rate of one every 74.4 minutes, and he's 1/12.00 to score his 18th league goal of the season against Fulham.

Back Mohamed Salah to score @ 1/12.00

Bet here

Fulham v Liverpool prediction

Salah has also created 58 chances from open play this season in the league. That's the third-highest tally in the competition, despite him only starting 24 games, and he's 2/13.00 to register an assist this time out.

Fulham's hero last weekend was Andreas Pereira, who scored twice in a Premier League game for the first time in his career. Since the start of last season, no other Fulham player can match the Brazilian's 20 goal involvements, and he's 9/43.25 to score or assist on Sunday.

There's a completely free Acca or Bet Builder this weekend, and we have our eye on the Bet Builder market. We're looking at Mohamed Salah to score any time, both teams to score and more than 3.5 goals, which can be backed at close to 5/23.50.

Back Salah to score, BTTS and more than 3.5 goals @ 5/23.50

Bet here

Now read more Premier League tips here!


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Tom's P/L for the 2023-24 season

Staked: 68.00pts

Returned: 53.12pts

P/L: -14.88pts

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