English Premier League Tips

Brighton v Arsenal: Three opta stats and three bets for Wednesday

  • Max Liu
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 3:00 min read
Brighton v Arsenal Tips and Stats Preview
Get three Opta stats and three bets for Brighton v Arsenal

Arsenal are aiming to take three more points in the Premier League title race when they go to Brighton on Wednesday evening. We've got three opta stats and three tips for the latest game in Arsenal's title challenge...


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Wednesday 4 March, 19:30 kick-off
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Arsenal lead the Premier League tite race by five points going into this round - albeit having played a game more than Manchester City 7/42.75 - after grinding out a 2-1 victory over Chelsea at the weekend. The Gunners are 2/51.40 to win the title after that result made it consecutive London derby victories, following the previous weekend's 4-1 win at Tottenham.

Now trip to the south coast awaits on Wednesday evening. The good news for Mikel Arteta's men is that they haven't lost any of their last five visits since 2020-21 (W3 D2). 

Teams P W D L GF GA PTS xGF xGA xGD EXP FCST
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71 27 85 0 0 0
2 Man City 38 23 9 6 77 35 78 0 0 0
3 Man Utd 38 20 11 7 69 50 71 0 0 0
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56 49 65 0 0 0
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63 53 60 0 0 0
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58 54 57 0 0 0
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42 48 54 0 0 0
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52 46 53 0 0 0
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55 52 53 0 0 0
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58 52 52 0 0 0
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47 51 52 0 0 0
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 53 55 49 0 0 0
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47 50 49 0 0 0
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49 56 47 0 0 0
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41 51 45 0 0 0
16 Nottm Forest 38 11 11 16 48 51 44 0 0 0
17 Spurs 38 10 11 17 48 57 41 0 0 0
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46 65 39 0 0 0
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38 75 22 0 0 0
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27 68 20 0 0 0
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Opta

The Seagulls have won their last two in the league after having only won one of their previous 13 beforehand (D6 L6). Another encouraging fact for Fabian Hurzeler's team going into this match is that they have won two of their last four Premier League home games against the team starting the day top of the table (D1 L1), both by a 3-2 scoreline.

Get tips for every Premier League match, including this one, in the Opta stats preview.


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Bet #1 - Back more Gunners' goals on the road

The Stat

Between August and December in the Premier League this season, Arsenal scored just 11 goals in nine away games, an average of 1.2 per game. Since the turn of the year they've netted 14 goals in six on the road, an average of 2.3 per game.

The Bet


Bet #2 - Back a point apiece and goals for all

The Stat

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 19 evening (7pm or later) Premier League matches (W14 D5) since a 2-0 home loss to West Ham in December 2023. However, all three of those games so far in 2026 have finished level (0-0 v Liverpool, 1-1 v Brentford, 2-2 v Wolves). 

The Bet


Find out what Mark O'Haire is backing in Brighton v Arsenal


Bet #3 - Back a former Gunner to find the back of the net

The Stat

Brighton's Danny Welbeck has scored 10 Premier League goals this season, matching his best ever tally previously set in 2024-25. One more goal would make him only the third player to score more than 10 goals in a Premier League season for the very first time while aged 35 or older when doing so, after Gary McAllister in 1990-00 (35) and Zlatan Ibrahimovic in 2016-17 (35). The former-Arsenal man would love to achieve that feat on Wednesday.

The Bet


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