Everton have started the season in entertaining form and Dan Fitch is expecting more goals when they travel to Aston Villa...
"Everton have conceded in three of their four Premier League games, as well as in their EFL cup win over Huddersfield. They’ve also scored ten goals in those four league games, never finding the net less than twice."
Slow start for Villa and fixtures getting tougher
It's been a slow start to the season for Aston Villa and the fixtures are not getting any easier for them.
Dean Smith's side put in a good performance last weekend away at Chelsea and created plenty of chances, but they still lost 3-0. That leaves them with four points after four games (W1 D1 L2), despite having already played two of the three promoted clubs.
Currently twelfth in the Premier League, Aston Villa must now face in-form Everton, before travelling to Chelsea again, this time in the EFL Cup on Wednesday. They then have away trips to Manchester United and Spurs, before the international break. With Villa having transformed their team following the sale of Jack Grealish, it was always unrealistic to expect everything to click straight away, but really this team should have more points on the board than the four that they have accumulated.
Emiliano Martinez and Emiliano Buendia could be available having returned from quarantine. Long-term casualties Trezeguet and Keinan Davis remain out.
Negativity fading away at Everton
In contrast to their opponents, Everton can't have any complaints with their start to the new campaign.
Their 3-1 victory against Burnley on Monday night sent Everton up to fourth in the Premier League. They've made an unbeaten start, also beating Southampton and Brighton, as well as picking up an away draw at Leeds.
At the start of the campaign there was some negativity among the fanbase, at the appointment of the former Liverpool manager Rafa Benitez and the fact that the club's transfer business was much more modest than in recent seasons. Yet new signings Demarai Gray and Andros Townsend have made great starts to their Everton careers and if results continue to be this good, then any misgivings over the appointment of Benitez, as likely to fade away.
Benitez will be without three players for the trip to Aston Villa. Fabian Delph, James Rodriguez and Dominic Calvert-Lewin are all unavailable.
Value lies with the visitors
Aston Villa are the favourites at 2.56/4, with Everton at 3.1511/5 and the draw at 3.45.
On paper there's not a lot between these teams, but when you look at their respective form, it's clear that the value lies with the visitors. Everton are a big enough price that you can back them in the Draw No Bet market and still get odds as big as 2.26/5. The draw should also not be discounted at 3.45.
Goals are flowing for Everton
When Benitez was appointed, perhaps a defensive style of football was expected at Everton. The reality has been quite different. Though the Toffees are playing much more direct these days, it has not been unattractive and the goals have been flowing. At both ends.
Everton have conceded in three of their four Premier League games, as well as in their EFL cup win over Huddersfield. They've also scored ten goals in those four league games, never finding the net less than twice.
With Everton scoring an average of 2.5 goals per game themselves, over 2.5 goals looks big at 2.0421/20. Both teams to score is also worth considering at the shorter price of 1.814/5.
Villa's Danny Ings is the favourite to score at 2.77/4. For Everton, there looks to be great value in backing Gray to score again at 5.04/1. He's scored in each of his last three games for the Toffees.
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