English Premier League Tips

Arsenal v Manchester City: Use Betfair Build-Ups to back Haaland to out-shoot Havertz

  • Mike Norman
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 2:00 min read
Arsenal's Kai Havertz
Kai Havertz is likely to have less shots on target than Erling Haaland says Mike

Arsenal host Mancheter City in the big Premier League clash of the weekend, and Mike Norman is using Betfair Build Ups to back Erling Haaland to register more shots on target than Kai Havertz...


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Arsenal v Manchester City
Sunday, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports Football

Match Ups - Haaland to have more SoT than Havertz

True, Manchester City are away from home. True, he's playing against a defence that has conceded nine less goals than his own team this term. But at an even money price, Erling Haaland looks a decent bet to register more shots on target than Arsenal striker Kai Havertz on Sunday.

The stats don't lie. And what they tell us is quite damning for Arsenal's number 29.

In 20 Premier League appearances this season the German has registered just 19 shots on target, so on average, less than one per game.

The general perception is that Havertz gets loads of chances for the Gunners, but can't hit a barn door with a banjo. That might be a bit harsh because as the stats below show, he's actually scored eight times from those 19 shots on target. The problem is, he's had 48 shots in total, so he makes the keeper work less than 40% of the time.

Player vs Player

English Premier League

29

Kai Havertz

Arsenal

English Premier League

9

Erling Haaland

Man City

Havertz Haaland

Appearances 23 31

Goals 9 22

Shots 53 109

Shots on target 21 60

Assists 3 3

Chances created 17 29

Passes 501 375

Fouls 38 24

Fouls won 23 13

Yellow cards 5 2

Red cards 0 0

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Haaland on the other hand is averaging over two shots on target per game (2.26 to be exact), and this is in a City side that were woefully below their best for around two months of the season.

The Norwegian has registered an incredible 92 shots at goal this term with 52 of them being on target, meaning he makes the keeper work around 57% of the time he gets a shot away. That's significantly higher than Havertz.

Two other key factors as to why we believe Haaland to be a good bet at 1/12.00 to beat Havertz in this Match Up is that the Man City man will be on penalty duty (Havertz won't be as long a Odegaard is on the field), and also he's extremely likely to play the full match, whereas the Gunners man often makes way for a substitute.

This should be a closely-fought game, and it's hard to imagine one team dominating the other. If that's the case, and both teams get an equal amount of chances, then Haaland to have more shots on target than Havertz is the way to play.


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Mike Norman avatar

Mike Norman

Sport fanatic with a particular love of football, golf, snooker and horse-racing

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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