Football Tips

Wales v Mexico: Hosts can continue impressive unbeaten home run

Wales attacker Gareth Bale
Wales were beaten in Belgium on Wednesday night

"Mexico are without one of their key players in Raul Jimenez, which certainly weakens their attack, and there have to be question marks against the team's sharpness."

Wales host Mexico this weekend in an international friendly and Simon Mail thinks the home side can hold their own against the high-ranking visitors...

Wales v Mexico
Saturday, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

Wales have eyes on Czech Republic

Wales started their World Cup qualifying campaign with a 3-1 defeat in Belgium on Wednesday. Robert Page, who continues to act as caretaker boss in Ryan Giggs' absence, watched his side take the lead against the world's top ranked side after a superb team goal was finished by Harry Wilson. But Belgium took control and secured the win with goals from Kevin De Bruyne, Thorgan Hazard and a penalty by Romelu Lukaku.

Although Wales face Mexico in a friendly this weekend, the priority will be Tuesday night's crucial qualifier at home to the Czech Republic.
Page is likely to mix up his side with the intention of ensuring his players are fresh for the vital group game. Wales will almost certainly be without Joe Allen after the midfielder was forced off after just seven minutes in Belgium with a knee injury.

Mexico face long trip to Europe

Mexico make the long trip to Cardiff for this international friendly with their first game of 2021. Gerardo Martino's side are the ninth ranked team in the world and have only lost once since he took charge at the start of 2019. Mexico are on a seven-match unbeaten run and claimed back-to-back wins over South Korea and Japan in November.

Goals from Hirving Lozano and Raul Jimenez earned a 2-0 victory in Japan. But Martino must cope without Wolves striker Jimenez. The forward, who is such a vital part of their side, has not played since suffering a fractured skull in November. Jimenez took part in non-contact training in the buildup with Mexico but he is not yet ready to return on the pitch.

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Draw offers most appeal

Wales are 3.8514/5 for victory this weekend but there is no interest in siding with the outsiders. Wales have never beaten Mexico in four attempts and are unlikely to be at full throttle for this match. Page could give some fringe players an opportunity with one eye looking ahead to facing the Czech Republic.

Mexico are favourites to win in Cardiff but the visitors look short enough at 1.981/1. Mexico are without one of their key players in Jimenez, which certainly weakens their attack, and there have to be question marks against the team's sharpness.

The draw is available at 3.3512/5 and is the most appealing of the options. Two of the four previous games between the sides, including the last match in 2018, have ended level and it would be no surprise if the teams cancelled each other out. Caution is advised when it comes to friendlies, with doubts surrounding team selection, and a small play on the draw is recommended.

Wales to continue strong home record

Wales are unbeaten in 10 home matches, stretching back to 2018, and the hosts can continue this impressive record by avoiding defeat. Five of their last six home games have also seen no more than two goals. Their defence has been the foundation to their success in qualifying for the rescheduled Euro 2020. Backing Wales in the double chance market with under 2.5 goals is a Same Game Multi option worth considering at 2.45.

Follow Simon's bets on Twitter @watfordtipster

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