Southampton v Arsenal: Duo can blast Gunners into round five

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta can guide his team to another FA Cup win
Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta

Arsenal have a superb record in the FA Cup and they can march on with victory at Southampton, says Dave Tindall...

"Emile Smith Rowe has been a real hit in recent games and the No.32 has netted twice in his last nine matches, the latest in the FA Cup."

Emile Smith Rowe to score anytime and Arsenal to win in Same Game Multi at 7.3

Southampton v Arsenal
Saturday, 12:15
BT Sport 1

Saints injuries could hamper progress

In theory, Southampton are in ideal position for a good FA Cup run.

They're in the top half of the Premier League table and on track to gain over 60 points if they maintained their current record of 1.61pts per game.

However, that could mean boss Ralph Hasenhüttl has his eyes on Europe via a high league finish. He gave a hint about that in midweek when asked to comment on stories linking Danny Ings with a move to a Champions League club.

"If he wants Champions League football, he must score 10-15 more goals for us and we can go there. It's not impossible, I don't think," said the Saints boss.

Southampton set up their tie with Arsenal after a 2-0 home win over Shrewsbury, a victory sealed by a superb late strike from James Ward-Prowse.

Saints have a number of injuries to key players though and Hasenhüttl may give some youngsters a chance once more. He did that against Shrewsbury with Daniel Nlundulu firing in their first goal.

Win would be good omen for Arsenal

If omens are your thing, a victory for the Gunners could point to yet another final appearance.

They've won all four FA Cup ties against Southampton and went on to lift the trophy in three of those, the last time in 2017. The 2003 meeting was the final itself, Robert Pires scoring the only goal of the game.

Arsenal have a special relationship with this competition and have gone on to win it five more times since beating Saints 18 years ago.

That run includes four of the last seven which has taken them top of the all-time win charts with 14 FA Cup triumphs.

Perhaps there's a feeling that they're timing their run perfectly again. Mikel Arteta's side were in awful form a couple of months ago but have put together a run of six unbeaten, including four wins.

One of those victories was an extra-time success over Newcastle in round three. They rode their luck at times in that one before Emile Smith Rowe and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang netted after 109 and 117.

Gunners clear favourites

Looking at the head-to-heads, Southampton have won just one of their last nine meetings with Arsenal in all competitions.

Arsenal have come out on top five times in that period and they're clear favourites at 2.47/5 to win again.

Southampton have won five of nine at home in the Premier League this term and that includes a recent 1-0 success over Liverpool. That's looking less amazing now it has to be said!

They're 3.259/4 to dump Arsenal out in 90 minutes while The Draw is 3.412/5.

The recent showdown ended 1-1 at The Emirates while Arsenal won 2-0 on their most recent visit to St. Mary's back in June.

Unders looks justified and numbers point to a clean sheet

Three of the last four games between this pair have featured fewer than three goals and Under 2.5 is the favourite here at 1.824/5.

Starting with that 1-1 draw these two played out last month, Saints have scored just four goals in seven games and half of those came against League One Shrewsbury.

As for Both Teams to Score, it's failed to land in Southampton's last six games and also in Arsenal's last five.

On those numbers, playing 'No' at the odds-against price of 2.111/10 looks more than fair. However, I'll carry that element over into the next section...

Impressive Smith Rowe worth a bet in Same Game Multi

Emile Smith Rowe has been a real hit in recent games and the No.32 has netted twice in his last nine matches, the latest in the FA Cup.

He's 4/1 to score anytime which is worth a look but I'll combine that with a Gunners victory. Smith Rowe to score anytime and Arsenal to win in the Same Game Multi is 7.3.

I'll also go for the same option with Aubameyang, who is something of a specialist in this competition.

He's scored in all four of his FA Cup appearances and has six in total.

The Gabon striker netted in the 1-1 draw against Southampton last month and, after a strangely poor run, now has three in three.

Aubameyang to score anytime and Arsenal to win in the Same Game Multi is 4.03.

Opta stat

Southampton have won just three of their last 17 FA Cup matches against Premier League opponents, beating Blackpool in 2010-11, and Watford and West Brom en route to the semi-final in 2017-18.

Staked: 44.50pts
Returned: 29.32pts
P/L: -15.18pts

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