Bet of the Day: Wales v Denmark: Back Bellamy bounce to continue

Bellamy boosted by Norway win

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Sunday 04 October, 19:45
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Wales boss Craig Bellamy is experienced enough to know that criticism and sometimes vitriol can accompany a poor run of results when you're a manager, but it's clear that some of the abuse he has received during a long winless streak stung. Wales started the Nations League campaign with scoreless defeats in Portugal and Denmark, but a rousing 2-1 success against Norway has given the team hope of avoiding relegation back to League B.

Now they face Denmark again, and Bellamy declared that he didn't recognise his team when they surrendered to a 2-0 loss in Copenhagen, as they failed to cope with the Scandinavians' intense press. Wales haven't lost a competitive home game since last October, when they went down 4-2 to Belgium in the World Cup qualifiers, and as they did against Norway they will hope to use the crowd to their advantage.

Defender Joe Rodon and winger Harry Wilson have been out since the start of this international break, and are still sidelined.

Danes competitive, but short on points

Denmark boss Brian Riemer went into these Nations League fixtures under pressure after failing to qualify for the World Cup, and although his team has only collected three points from three games, they have at least given Norway and Portugal a run for their money. A topsy-turvy 3-2 loss in Oslo preceded a 4-2 home defeat against a Portuguese team that showed it can blossom without Cristiano Ronaldo.

The Danes are certainly more impressive in attack than they are in defence. Napoli striker Rasmus Hojlund has scored against Norway and Portugal, while Brentford playmaker Mikkel Damsgaard has two goals and an assist across his three appearances.

Denmark are without Manchester United winger Patrick Dorgu because of injury.

Wales v Denmark Tip 1 - Danes to be frustrated

Given Denmark's disappointing away form over the past year, I can't be backing them at odds-on here, even against a depleted Wales. I'll back Wales/Draw, with Over 1.5 Goals (that has landed n all of Denmark's Nations League games so far) and Ethan Ampadu to commit 2+ fouls. Leeds midfielder Ampadu has committed seven fouls across his three Nations League matches.

This treble potentially pays out at 12/53.40.

Wales v Denmark Tip 2 - Damsgaard to deliver again

Mikkel Damsgaard has been Denmark's outstanding player in recent games, producing a steady stream of goals and assists. I'll back him to score or assist here at 13/82.63.

Now read our other Nations League tips here!