Premier League Correct Score Predictor with Infogol: Tips for every fixture of GW4

Harry Kane Tottenham
Tottenham striker Harry Kane will aim to build on his goalscoring exploits for England

Using Expected Goals (xG) data from Infogol, Tom Victor provides Premier League result and scoreline predictions aa Spurs aim to preserve the only remaining perfect record...

"Last season's meeting at Selhurst Park ended all square after the visitors tried and failed to soak up second-half pressure, but Nuno's men are expected to have enough on Saturday."

Spurs to keep up perfect start

Crystal Palace v Tottenham. Hotspur
Saturday, 12:30
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League leaders Spurs might be occupying a slightly false position after three games, considering their worse expected goal difference than 18th-place Wolves, but a trip to Palace represents a game they should still win, according to Infogol's model. Last season's meeting at Selhurst Park ended all square after the visitors tried and failed to soak up second-half pressure, but Nuno's men are expected to have enough on Saturday.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 0-2 @ 10.009/1

Gunners to get off the mark

Arsenal v Norwich City
Saturday, 15:00
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The bottom two face off in north London, with both sides seeking to avoid setting the kind of record no one wants to hold. Neither team can have two many complaints about their trio of losses, but Infogol backs the hosts to come out on top in a game which ended 4-0 in their favour the last time it took place in the Premier League back in July 2020. A first league clean sheet of the campaign might also be in the offing.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-0 @ 8.6015/2

Brentford to suffer first Premier League defeat

Brentford v Brighton & Hove Albion
Saturday, 15:00
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Brentford's start hasn't been as tough as that of their fellow promoted sides, but five points remains an impressive haul. They have a chance to extend their unbeaten start to four games, but opponents Brighton will be no pushovers after staying far more in line with their xG than they did last season. The visitors are narrow favourites based on Infogol's model, and this looks set to be a game of few goals.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 0-2 @ 14.0013/1

Man City to pip Leicester on the road

Leicester City v Manchester City
Saturday, 15:00
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The outcome of this one may rest on the availability of Ederson, whose involvement is in doubt at the time of writing, but the numbers suggest a full-strength Man City should have enough to avenge the 5-2 defeat they suffered to Leicester early last season. The Foxes have perhaps been fortunate to take six points from their trio of games, but this will be a good early test of their top-four credentials.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 1-2 @ 9.6017/2

Man Utd to continue impressive run against Newcastle

Manchester United v Newcastle United
Saturday, 15:00
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Manchester United haven't lost at home to Newcastle United since 2013, winning nine of the 13 home and away meetings since Yohan Cabaye put them to the sword. Infogol doesn't expect things to be any different this weekend, with the visitors' 2.63 xGA average the second-worst in the entire league, and that's without the addition of Cristiano Ronaldo to the home side's front-line.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 3-0 @ 8.6015/2

BrunoFernandesUTD1280.jpg

West Ham to have a narrow edge at St Mary's

Southampton v West Ham United
Saturday, 15:00
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West Ham beat Southampton at home in May to guarantee a Europa League spot, but the reverse fixture was a tighter affair. There's not a lot to choose between two sides who came up to the top-flight together back in 2012, and while West Ham are considered the more likely winners after their fast start and big investment - new arrivals Kurt Zouma, Nikola Vlašić and Alex Král could make debuts - Infogol expects a tight contest.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 1-1 @ 7.807/1 or 1-2 @ 11.0010/1

Wolves to make up for lost time

Watford v Wolverhampton Wanderers
Saturday, 15:00
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While Wolves' performances have been solid, they'll be worried about the lack of goals and points from three tight early-season games. Bruno Lage will hope the international break has given his team a chance to work on some things, and they're narrowly favoured to get the best of a Watford side averaging just 0.57 xGF across their last two league games.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 0-2 @ 12.0011/1

Chelsea to put Villa to the sword

Chelsea v Aston Villa
Saturday, 17:30
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Chelsea are looking ominous so far this season, and the absence of the suspended Reece James against Villa is unlikely to knock them back too much. Last season's 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge helped accelerate Frank Lampard's departure as manager, and the arrival of Thomas Tuchel means the Blues enter this game with a more daunting home record, allowing them to feel confident of avenging the defeat they suffered at Villa Park in May.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 3-0 @ 8.808/1

Liverpool to leave Leeds winless

Leeds United v Liverpool
Sunday, 16:30
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Leeds created plenty when they hosted Liverpool in April, with a 1-1 draw the least they deserved, but the Reds look stronger than they did back then and will feel they can take the points. Both teams are at risk of being without their Brazil internationals, with Raphinha and Alisson both big losses if they end up being unavailable, but Infogol anticipates a tightly-contested game going the way of the visiting side.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 1-2 @ 9.6017/2

Everton to keep up fine start

Everton v Burnley
Monday, 20:00
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Everton weren't especially active on deadline day, but the addition of Salomón Rondón to a squad putting in some solid early displays isn't the worst thing. The Toffees were caught out early by the Clarets last season, eventually losing 2-1 at Goodison Park, but the visitors' unconvincing start to the campaign is enough to suggest a home win is the most likely outcome this time around.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under
Correct Score Prediction - Back the 2-0 @ 9.008/1

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