Football Tips: Build your weekend acca with our best bets from across Europe

Brighton manager Graham Potter
Graham Potter's Brighton will go four points clear of Newcastle with a win

Charlie Mullan has studied the stats to bring you his best bet from each of the top five European leagues to help you build your weekend acca...

"The last three meetings between Brighton and Newcastle on the south coast have produced a total of three goals. And two of the last three clashes have ended goalless"

Back under 2.5 goals at 8/13

More nerves than goals at the Amex

Under 2.5 goals in Brighton v Newcastle at 8/13

Brighton have the fewest home wins of any team in the Premier League and the Seagulls will regard their clash with Newcastle as a game they cannot afford to lose. Newcastle, without a win in their last five, will see this as a game they have to win if they are to ease their relegation fears.

With so much at stake, both managers could be forgiven for approaching this fixture with caution. Graham Potter's Brighton have won just once in the 14 league games played at the Amex while the Magpies have struggled on the road with just four points picked up from a possible 27 away from St James' Park.

The last three meetings on the south coast have produced a total of three goals and two of them have ended goalless so under 2.5 goals might be the best bet in this game which is priced at 8/13.

One goal could be enough to secure a vital win. Brighton have conceded the opening goal in two of their last 10 games while Steve Bruce's side have scored the opening goal once in their last five games.

Roma and Napoli to serve up derby delight

Over 2.5 goals in Roma v Napoli at 8/13

The latest chapter of the Derby Del Sole takes place in the Italian capital when Napoli travel to the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday evening. It's a fixture that rarely disappoints and the last time Rome witnessed a goalless draw between these two giants of Italian football was in February 1980. Since then, the 32 clashes have produced at least one goal.

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If this game finishes with just one goal scored, it will be a surprise. There is very little between Roma and Napoli who have 50 points each and are battling it out for a top four spot with goal difference keeping fifth-placed Napoli ahead of the home side.

The fixture has been chosen to end the weekend's action in Italy which usually means goals are expected. Six of the last 11 Serie A games played on a Sunday night have seen three or more total goals scored. Napoli won the reverse fixture 4-0 at the Stadio San Paolo four days after the death of Diego Maradona, who led the Naples club to their only two titles in the 1980s.

That was the fourth successive meeting in which three or more goals has paid out while eight of the nine meetings in Roma have produced a minimum of three goals. The odds of over 2.5 goals for this weekend's clash is priced at 8/13.

Goal-shy Hertha to struggle against Leverkusen

Under 2.5 goals in Hertha Berlin v Leverkusen at 19/20

There have been 12 goalless draws in the Bundesliga this season and Hertha Berlin have been involved in three of them, and one of those came in the reverse fixture at Bayer Leverkusen. Currently in the relegation play-off spot, Hertha's future in the top flight is hanging by a thread while the visitors need the points to stay in the battle to secure a place in next season's Champions League.

Scoring goals has been an issue for Hertha, who have failed to score in four of their last six contests. Bruno Labbadia's side have managed just eight first half goals in 25 Bundesliga games this season and they face a side who have conceded the fewest number of league goals (nine) before half-time.

Leverkusen have failed to score in each of the last three meetings with Hertha, but this is a great opportunity for Peter Bosz's side to end that poor run against a side that has won one of their last 11. Leverkusen's approach in away games has been conservative with their last four league trips away from the BayArena producing two total match goals or fewer.

All five of Hertha's wins in the Bundesliga this season have come in games with three or more goals, so it would be in Leverkusen's interest to try and keep this a low-scoring contest and under 2.5 goals is available at 19/20.

Sevilla to beat Valladolid in familiar fashion

Sevilla to win to nil v Valladolid at 15/8

Confidence should be high for Sevilla who travel to the Estadio Jose Zorrilla after winning eight of their last 10 La Liga matches while the home side have won just one of their last 10 games. Victory for Valladolid would end a barren run of eight games without beating Sevilla.

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On their last visit to the north west of Spain, Sevilla won to nil thanks to Ever Banega's 13th minute penalty and that has become their trademark way of winning. Julen Lopetegui's side have won 17 league games this campaign and 13 of them have been without their opponents scoring a goal and Sevilla are 15/8 to win to nil in this contest.

Valladolid have lost 11 times in the league this campaign and nine of those have been without scoring a goal and it's hard to see the home side troubling fourth-placed Sevilla who have kept clean sheets in seven of their last nine outings.

When your leading scorer has four goals from 23 league games, it's hardly a shock to see the home side sitting three points above the relegation zone. Sean Weissman is Valladolid's top marksman and three of his four goals have come on home soil including what turned out to be the winner against Getafe.

Metz and Rennes to continue low scoring trend

Under 2.5 goals in Metz v Rennes at 1/2

The battle for fifth spot in Ligue 1 and a place in next season's Europa League is a race worth watching as the business end of the season approaches. Five teams are separated by just four points and Metz and Rennes are two of those clubs right in the mix. Metz are three points behind Marseille who are currently fifth while Rennes are one point behind their hosts.

Rennes won the reverse fixture 1-0 thanks to Clement Grenier's second half goal and another low scoring affair could be in store this weekend. That game at Roazhon Park was the tenth time in the last 11 meetings that has failed to produce three of more goals.

And if that hasn't convinced you that under 2.5 goals is worth considering at 1/2, Rennes' last eight visits to Metz have seen two goals or fewer scored. Recent form also points to a slow burner with under 2.5 goals scored in six of Metz' last seven home games and in Rennes' last three Ligue 1 fixtures.

***

The fivefold pays out at just under 22.021/1 on the Sportsbook (correct at time of publication)

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