Bet Builder Tips: Back Andy Robson's 10/1 best bet in Olympiacos v Fiorentina

• Olympiacos man has 31 goals this season

• Quini v Gonzalez may be the battle of the night

• Look to Serbian CB to hit the foul count

Olympiacos v Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 29th
Europa Conference League
20:00

Leg #1 - Ayoub El Kaabi to score anytime

Ayoub El Kaabi has been influential going forward for Olympiacos this season, scoring 31 goals in 44 appearances across all competitions. A significant proportion of these goals have come since his return from the African Cup of Nations, with the Moroccan striker netting 21 times across his 24 appearances since the beginning of February.

Olympiacos' talisman has provided a constant threat in this season's Europa Conference League, registering an average of 1.9 shots on target per game, and because of his quality and persistence, El Kaabi has netted ten times across his eight Europa Conference League appearances.

Olympiacos will be hoping to capitalise on a Fiorentina defence that has conceded an average of 1.88 goals per game across their last eight outings in all competitions, and with El Kaabi's exceptional scoring record, I expect him to be the man to help his side achieve this.

Leg #2 - Quini to commit 2+ fouls

Quini has found himself on the wrong side of the referee on plenty of occasions when called upon this season, committing an average of 2.6 fouls per game in the Greek Super League, as well as an average of 2.0 fouls per start in European competitions.

The Spanish defender, who has committed an average of 2.5 fouls per game in his last four appearances across all competitions, will be involved in a key battle with Fiorentina winger Nicolas Gonzalez. Defending against the Argentinian winger will be no easy task for Quini, with Gonzalez having drawn an average of 2.5 fouls per game in this season's knockout stages.

Leg #3 - Nicolas Gonzales to have 1+ shots on target

Although injuries have limited his availability, Nicolas Gonzalez has been key for Fiorentina this season, establishing himself as the Tuscan side's top goalscorer across all competitions.

Gonzalez has looked sharp in front of goal in Serie A this season, accumulating an average of 1.6 shots on target per league game, and has also impressed going forward in the Europa Conference League, finding the target 1.3 times per outing.

The Argentinian wideman has been in fine form in recent weeks, netting five goals across his last eight appearances, and during these fixtures, Gonzalez is taking an average of 3.63 shots per game, and finding the target 2.13 times per game.

Gonzalez has hit the target in each of his last eight appearances in all competitions, and everything points towards Fiorentina's dangerman registering at least one shot on target here.

Leg #4 - Nikola Milenkovic to commit 1+ fouls

Fiorentina's Nikola Milenkovic is not shy of getting stuck in and has consequently struggled to keep his tackles clean throughout this campaign.

The Serbian defender has committed an average of 1.1 fouls per game in Serie A, with that figure jumping to 1.9 fouls per 90 in the Conference League.

The central defender has been a persistent fouler in recent weeks, committing a minimum of one foul in five of his last six starts in all competitions. Indeed, iOt is also worth noting that Milenkovic has fouled nine times across his last four Europa Conference League starts.

Milenkovic will face the difficult task of dealing with an interchangeable Olympiacos front three of Daniel Podence, Kostantinos Fortounis and Ayoub El Kaabi, with the trio drawing a collective average of 4.3 fouls per game in the Europa Conference League knockout stages.

Now read Lewis Jones' Euro 2024 piece with Betfair's free bets in mind!

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