EFL League One & League Two

Saturday League One and League Two Tips: Contemplate Monk survival in 14/1 treble

  • Alan Dudman
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 4 min read
Garry Monk
Cambridge United and Garry Monk faces a must win game this weekend

Alan Dudman is hoping to end the EFL season on a high with a pair of Saturday 14/115.00 trebles on the final day...


League One

Leg 1: Lincoln v Portsmouth, Saturday 12:30: Back Lincoln

With Portsmouth up as champions (94 points) and a defeat after their celebrations by Wigan, Lincoln surely have to be the beat them to secure their play-off spot with a must-win game.

Win, lose or draw, the Imps have had a brilliant second-half of the season under Michael Skubala - who will be on the radar of a few other clubs no doubt, and their home defence of conceding just 15 goals at Sincil Bank is a huge plus.

Lincoln have lost just one of their last 19 league games (W12 D6), though that sole defeat did come in their last home match when losing against Wigan Athletic 2-1. Since the start of that run on January 13th, the Imps have lost fewer matches than any other team in the EFL.

For that reason and something still riding on their game, we can get 11/102.11 in the 90 minutes or the 23/202.15 outright.

KEY OPTA STAT: Portsmouth have won just two of their last 12 games which have fallen on the final day of the league season (D5 L5), though this season in League One Pompey have won more points away from home than any other team (44).

Back Lincoln @ 21/202.05

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Leg 2: Stevenage v Cheltenham, Saturday 12:30: Back Cheltenham

It's not often you would want to be backing Cheltenham at 13/82.63, and certainly not away from home, but the Robins have to go all out for the win to preserve their League One status with Burton and Cambridge both still possibles to go down.

Goal difference between the trio is very close too.

Stevenage have gone completely off the boil, and might still be reeling following Steve Evans' shock departure to the Rotherham hinterland and they've won just once in their last 11 matches.

Cheltenham have won two of their last three including a 2-0 win against Peterborough in midweek - admittedly against a team already safe with their play-off place.

KEY OPTA STAT: After losing each of their first five Football League away games at Stevenage from 2011 to 2019, Cheltenham Town won on their most recent visit to the Lamex Stadium 1-0 in April 2021.

Back Cheltenham @ 13/82.63

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Leg 3: Port Vale v Cambridge United, Saturday 12:30: Back Cambridge

Port Vale have lost 25 league games this season (W10 D10), only losing more in their Football League history in 1956-57 (28) and 2007-08 (26) with the Valiants relegated from the second tier and third tier in those campaigns respectively, and a season in League Two beckons for Darren Moore who has a tough job down the line after their relegation.

Cambridge have been poor this term and it was a strange job for Garry Monk to take and with 14 losses on the road this term, it's one of the worst records in League One.

How Monk plays the situation will be interesting, as a win guarantees their survival - playing for a point means they will have to watch other results.

The U's have won both of their last two league trips to Port Vale, this after failing to win any of their previous ten away outings against the Valiants in the Football League beforehand, and with the hosts losing four on the spin going into Saturday, they are easily opposable.

KEY OPTA STAT: Cambridge United have lost six of their last seven away league games (W1), failing to score in each defeat; only Blackpool and Shrewsbury (10 each) have lost more away games to nil in League One this season than the U's (9).

Back Cambridge @ 15/82.88

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Back the League One treble @ 14/115.00

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League Two

Leg 1: Forest Green v Notts County, Saturday 15:00: Back Langstaff to score first

Macaulay Langstaff was one of the winning bets last weekend with the only goal of the game against Colchester, and it might be worth chancing one final swansong with the 28-goal striker for Saturday against a wretched Forest Green team.

Langstaff has scored in each of the last four games and takes penalties and surely he will get a few chances here against a wretched Forest Green team that are already down and have an xA of 1.5 against a home xG of just 0.9. Indeed, the game earlier in the season finished 4-3 and Langstaff netted then.

County have an xG away from home at 1.42 and have 38 goals on the road and their league games this season have seen 174 goals in total (89 for, 85 against), the most in the fourth tier of English football since 1965-66 when Bradford Park Avenue's games saw 194 goals scored (102 for, 92 against) and Wrexham's matches saw 176 goals scored (72 for, 104 against).

KEY OPTA STAT: Notts County have won both of their two previous visits to Forest Green in League Two, winning 2-1 in both 2017-18 and 2018-19.

Back Langstaff first goalscorer @ 7/24.50

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Leg 2: Crawley Town v Grimsby Town, Saturday 15:00: Back Crawley

Crawley still have a chance to sneak into the final play-off spot and a win outright gives them a punchers' opportunity with the need for just one result going their way.

Surely Grimsby will be there for taking on just 49 points and their survival secure. It's been a bizarre season on the road for the Mariners with a whopping 11 away draws and just two wins - they don't score many either, which is why Crawley can get a result here.

Indeed, the visitors have won just two of their 22 away league games this season (D11 L9), the fewest of any side in League Two heading into this season's final matchday, and with 10 wins at home for Crawley this term, they can justify their price of 4/61.67.

KEY OPTA STAT: After their 3-2 win in September, Crawley could complete their first ever Football League double over Grimsby Town.

Back Crawley @ 13/201.65

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Leg 3: Gillingham v Doncaster Rovers, Saturday 15:00: Back Doncaster

Doncaster's surge at the end of the season has been remarkable. They hold fifth spot on 70 points, and there is not a cat in hell's chance anyone would have gone for that in the winter.

They have won an astonishing 10 on the spin, and Grant McCann must be in line for some sort of accolade with this run cobbled together - and it's almost as if they have nothing to lose if they secure that play-off spot. It is the joint-longest run in their history; no team in the history of the Football League from outside of the top-flight have ever finished a season with 11 consecutive wins (excluding play-offs).

After their 2-1 win in September, Doncaster could complete their first ever double over Gillingham in the Football League, in this the 36th such season the two sides have faced.

KEY OPTA STAT: Gillingham are unbeaten across their last 10 home league games (W3 D7) and will be looking to go 11 unbeaten at Priestfield Stadium for the first time since a run of 13 undefeated matches between April and November 2015.

Back Doncaster @ 10/111.91

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Back the League Two treble @ 14/115.00

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Alan Dudman

Alan is a long term member of the Betting.Betfair team and has been a broadcaster and writer for over 20 years.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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