League One Tips: Go with the draws this weekend and Pompey on Sky

• Alan Dudman previews three matches this weekend with a Bet Builder 8/1 selection

• Wednesday travel to Derby in a huge Saturday match

• Wycombe and Portsmouth the Sky selected game for Sunday

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Difficult to see beyond the draw at Pride Park

Derby County v Sheffield Wednesday
Saturday 3rd December, kick-off 12:30

It's back to League One action following the FA Cup last weekend, and a word for third tier followers that due to the World Cup, several matches are on Friday evening, early kick-offs on Saturday and a game on Sky on Sunday - which comes up later.

One of the Saturday matches has to be included, as two Championship-bound teams in Derby and Sheffield Wednesday lock horns like rutting stags, and I am hoping to profit again from Derby (unlike the Cup) as I included them in my previous League One instalment to draw against Pompey. They duly did, so we netted the 3.2011/5 win, although having played the 0-0 Correct Score, I really ought to have dutched with the 1-1 too, so that was one that potentially got away.

Both are good defensively, and often in these big games, both managers are far from cavalier. Wednesday on the road are proving very difficult to beat this season; and they have collected 19 points so far away from Hillsborough with just two losses and one draw. Away from home, if you are title contender, I'd rather be winning and losing than too many draws.

The 'goals against' column for the Owls is just five - the best away defence in the division by one goal. Derby and Barnsley have both conceded six.

Delving deeper in Wednesday's away form, they have kept six clean sheets and seven of the nine have been Under 2.5 Goals. It was always going to be trading as favourite, but part of me thought it would be a little shorter than the 1.8810/11 on offer.

Derby's xg numbers for and against are 1.74 and 1.30, which compared to Sheffield Wednesday's 1.97 and 1.45 means they have been outperformed on those figures. But it's the big games that are worth tapping into. Darren Moore's team when faced with quality opposition on the road in Peterborough (early season) and Plymouth, lost both 2-0 and 2-1.

The Rams recently played out a 0-0 at home to Exeter but did open up Bristol Rovers like a can of beans in a 4-2, but there is zero chance that Moore will be quite so open as Joey Barton.

I like the Both Teams To Score 'No' bet for this one on the Sportsbook, which at 11/10 is the bigger of the two. The draw certainly comes into play again, and of course the option to trade out with a tight first half should be attainable.

Wednesday have won just one of their last 26 league visits to Derby (D11 L14), a 2-0 win back in April 2006, but I think they will be hard to beat here.

KEY OPTA STAT: Derby have alternated between a draw (3) and a win (2) in their last five league games, drawing 0-0 at Portsmouth last time out.

Forest Green look awful favourites for Saturday

Forest Green Rovers v Cambridge United
Saturday 3rd December, kick-off 12:30

I opposed Forest Green last weekend in the FA Cup at a stupidly short price against non-league Alvechurch, and they had a bit of a fright winning just 2-1 and I spoke to a good pal of mine who was commentating on the game, and while we both agreed Rovers are poor, he said Alvechurch played nowhere near as well as they did in the previous round when knocking out Cheltenham.

It still makes me want to get away from Forest Green as quickly as possible, and the market is a bit of a guess-up here, as neither exactly are good betting propositions. The hosts are bottom with just 14 points while Cambridge are hovering just above them on 20 points - and the U's are the outsiders of the pair.

Opta stats reveal that Cambridge United have lost all three of their away Football League matches against Forest Green Rovers, with this their first game against them in League One, so their record in that sense is hardly one to inspire, and they have only won twice on the road all season.

However, Ian Burchnall's team have kept just one clean sheet in their last 22 league games, doing so in a 1-0 win against Bolton in October, and I wouldn't want to be backing the Green at 2.588/5 - which is a rank bad price.

Mark Bonner's team are struggling to score goals, and in all competitions from their last six games (and two against non-league Curzon), they have scored more than one in a match on just one occasion.

The encouragement came in the derby loss at Peterborough - a contrast in styles if ever there was. They were outplayed in the first-half, but went route one and direct in the second period and almost fashioned a goal thanks to some shoddy defending from the Posh. A replication of that performance should give us a chance with the U's.

Playing the Bet Builder for this, I am tempted to go with the BTTS 'No' and Draw at around 8/1 on the Sportsbook. And for layers, the 2.56/4 on the hosts is a good price to take on. I just cannot see goals in this as the hosts overall this term are 0.95xG and Cambridge are equally unimpressive from home and away at just 1.15xG.

KEY OPTA STAT: Cambridge have lost seven of their last nine league games (W1 D1), also failing to score on seven occasions in this run.

Can we net our third winning draw of the weekend on Sky?

Wycombe Wanderers v Portsmouth
Sunday 4th December, kick-off 12:30
Live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Football

The local press has built up Sunday's live game for Portsmouth as a chance to finally show their promotion credentials. In terms of recent form, they are nowhere near that at the moment, and following a good start, Danny Cowley's men have won just once in their last nine League One matches and have slipped out of the top six.

It's been an alarming dip in form and it's why the layers are probably keen to take them on this weekend as the outsider of the two at 2.8415/8. I wouldn't be surprised to see the price more nearer 3.02/1 come Sunday and the concern is the amount of draws.

I am rather draw-heavy on the selections this weekend, and it's the way to go with this one too. Pompey have struggled with players out such as Tom Lowery, Louis Thompson, Joe Morrell, Joe Rafferty and Marlon Pack, and my fellow columnist Kev Hatchard recently commentated on their game against Derby for Talksport and told me they never looked like ever scoring.

Playing the 0-0 here is a good starting point for a trade, and the hosts are winless in their last three league games against Portsmouth (D1 L2), failing to score in every game, and hoping for something similar should garner a nice profit on a back-to-lay with that bet.

Wycombe's symmetrical record of W3 D3 L3 at Adams Park means we can zone in on that middle part; and between the pair, Wanderers have conceded 11 at home and Pompey just 10 on the road.

KEY OPTA STAT: After winning six of seven home league games (D1) between March and July, while also keeping a clean sheet each time, Wycombe have won just two of their last eight at Adams Park (D3 L3), keeping just one clean sheet.