Alan Dudman returns with his League One selections, and he fancies Hull to keep their fabulous run going at the top....
"It's three clean sheets and 10 goals scored in that sequence of four games, and Tuesday's 1-3 success at Peterborough was labelled as a "title decider". It was a strange game as Posh completely dominated in patches."
Can we get a Hull tip right?
Hull City v Oxford United
Saturday 13th March, kick-off 15:00
My dreadful record with Hull continued on Tuesday, but I'm determined to get them right. With four wins on the spin, top with 65 points, surely they are a good bet at 2.021/1 then?
It's three clean sheets and 10 goals scored in that sequence of four games, and Tuesday's 1-3 success at Peterborough was labelled as a "title decider". It was a strange game as Posh completely dominated in patches.
Hull's goals are coming from Mallik Wilks, and with him playing in a No9 role alongside Keane Lewis-Potter, the pair have racked up a total of 29 between them. Their delivery is excellent too from set-pieces.
Oxford have been drawing too many matches but arrested that on Tuesday with a 1-2 win at Swindon, and they have only lost two of their last 19, so there's an argument to say Oxford perhaps are a little overpriced.
Robinson has said he'll be looking to impose his game on Hull this weekend, but I am going to stick with the Tigers to continue this impressive run and maintain their grip at the top of the table.
KEY OPTA STAT: Hull have won their last two home games by the same scoreline of 2-0.
Back Jimmy's Burton to keep run going
Crewe v Burton
Saturday 13th March, kick-off 15:00
A clash of styles awaits between Crewe and Burton, but I quite fancy the visitors to get a result here, and they look overpriced at 3.8514/5.
Brewers' boss Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink has emphatically turned around the fortunes of the club with a dazzling run of 15 points from their last five games, an amazing sequence that has now pulled the Albion to 37 points. That seemed as unlikely as anything two months ago.
Hasselbaink has ditched the passing game and got them organised superbly defensively with an emphasis on giving hardly anything away. It worked a treat at Wimbledon on Tuesday, despite having just 39% of the ball, and the Dons hardly had a sniff of a chance. Veteran defender Michael Bostwick got the only goal of the game with a well worked throw-in and a wonderful half-volley finish.
Expect a 4-4-2 and long ball from Albion, but they won't give much away, which makes them interesting again on the Draw No Bet @ 2.89/5.
KEY OPTA STAT: Burton have won their last five matches in League One, scoring eight and conceding just two.
Gills can grab a result on the road
Swindon Town v Gillingham
Saturday 13th March, kick-off 13:00
Swindon's troubles continue with a hapless run of three defeats on the spin and I wonder if John Sheridan will last the season out as manager. The Robins are in the danger zone and they face an opponent this Saturday with hardly any pressure on them.
That can be a good thing, or a bad thing, but we aren't quite at that stage of the season where prices flip around purely on a side at the bottom that needs a result.
Gillingham boss Steve Evans all but ruled out a go at the playoffs following Tuesday's defeat at Fleetwood, a game he seemed to enjoy the performance of the referee who he described as "pathetic".
Evans has promised to make changes and they'll be fairly direct here, but they recently scored three against both Ipswich and MK Dons, and we'll also throw in the BTTS as Swindon tend to hit that target with five from their last six.
KEY OPTA STAT: Gillingham have won five of their last 10 league games with Swindon.
Alan Dudman's P&L
League One 2020/21: -9.07pts
FA Cup 2020/21 (1pt): +12.42pts
2017/18 to 2019-2020: +42.24pts
*League One bets to a 0.5pt stake