George Elek from Not The Top 20 hit a 7/1 winner on this column before the international break, and is here to preview the Championship televised fixture on Saturday between West Brom and Ipswich, but he isn't promising a goal fest...
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Ipswich have won the corner count in all of their last four games
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Five of Ipswich's eight away league games have seen under 2.5 goals
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Three of West Brom's last five matches have been 0-0 at half-time
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West Bromwich Albion v Ipswich Town
Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports Football
What a rare treat - a televised 17:30 kick-off in the EFL and it's one with plenty at stake for both sides.
West Brom have implanted themselves in the play-off conversation after a five-game unbeaten run. A 2-1 defeat at Southampton meant that came to an end, but there was little wrong with the performance, with Baggies winning the xG 2.12-1.08 according to FotMob.
Ipswich were in the midst of their own mini-wobble, drawing away games at Birmingham and Rotherham, before a 3-2 win over 10-man Swansea got their promotion challenge back on track. Leeds' march towards the top two is bad news for Kieran McKenna's side, although Leicetser's clear fallibility suggests that the title remains up for grabs, despite earlier contrary reports.
Leg 1: Ipswich most corners
Given that they are a relentlessly attacking side, it's no real surprise that Kieran McKenna's team are dominant in this market. They've out-cornered their opposition in all of their last four matches and eight of their last nine, which questions whether they should ever be the outsiders in this market.
West Brom have a decent corner record themselves, but haven't had registered more in two of their last three. Corberan also likes to set his team up to frustrate when level or ahead, so the away side may well have the territorial advantage which helps lead to corners.
Leg 2: Under 2.5 goals
Portman Road has been the place to go for goals this season, but Ipswich's record away from home is much more cagey. Only three of their trips on the road have yielded over 2.5 goals, keeping three clean sheets.
Half of WBA's home games have seen under 2.5 goals, including two 0-0s. One of these was against the free-scoring Plymouth Argyle in a game of weirdly low chances, showing how adept the pragmatic Corberan is at stunting a potent attack.
Leg 3: Half-Time Draw
The half-time draw selection always follows-on nicely from an under 2.5 pick, meaning the bet-builder will be live at half-time if it's either 1-1 or, ideally, 0-0. Three of West Brom's last five home games have been goalless at half-time, so this feels like a big runner if we run with the idea that this may not be a goal fest.
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