Ali Maxwell from Not The Top 20 previews the televised Wednesday night Championship fixture between Stoke City and Leeds recommends a 6/1 Bet Builder...
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Leeds are as good as Leicester and Ipswich
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Teams' styles point to high-scoring game
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Constant threat Summerville value to score
Stoke v Leeds
Wednesday, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports Football
Both teams won over the weekend, with Stoke beating Sunderland 2-1 and Leeds roaring back from 0-2 down to beat Norwich.
Stoke's campaign has been more miss than hit - they lost seven of their first 11 games. Having beaten Sunderland on Saturday, Alex Neil's side should have increased confidence heading into this game, but he openly admits that The Potters are a work in progress, with every single member of their starting XI having been signed in the summer.
Leeds, on the other hand, are here to win now. Those fraught weeks in early August are well behind them - they've won six of their last nine, over two points per game, and their underlying performance data suggests they are hitting similar levels to front-runners Leicester and Ipswich.
The first leg of our Bet Builder is Leeds United to win at 10/111.91.
Stoke beat Sunderland in an open game that could have gone either way, and that may empower Neil to approach this game in a similar way, as Leeds play with an attacking mindset similar to Sunderland. However, that would play into Leeds' hands. Give Leeds space to attack into, and they will slice through you.
Leeds' attackers are in better form than Sunderland's - all four of Georginio Rutter, Joel Piroe, Daniel James and Crysencio Summerville are posing a huge threat. Second, Leeds are more solid defensively than Sunderland.
The more stretched the game becomes, the more it suits Leeds. With Patrick Bamford, Wily Gnonto and Jaiden Anthony coming off the bench on Saturday, they have quality in reserve. They've scored 11 goals in the last 30 minutes of matches.
Over 2.5 goals appeals at 3/41.75 for the second leg of the Bet Builder.
Lastly, the weekend's match-winner Crysencio Summerville is available at a similar price to score anytime, and it still represents great value at 100/304.30. The flying Dutchman projects as one of the league's most threatening players.
Before the weekend, he didn't have the goal return to reflect the level of chances he was having. While his two goals were both fantastic individual efforts, and difficult to replicate, I don't believe this was a once-in-a-season display from Summerville. There's plenty to suggest he's got more goals in him.
No player who's played more than 700 minutes has a higher xG per 90 figure than Summerville. Only Conor Chaplin and Morgan Whittaker take more shots per 90. Crucially, the right side of Stoke's defence is attack-minded. They didn't pick up Sunderland's Jack Clarke on Saturday, and he tapped home in acres of space.
The fact Summerville's price has held means that he is the perfect third leg for our Bet Builder, at [100/30 to score anytime].