Championship league leaders Norwich take on toiling Huddersfield at Carrow Road in Tuesday night's live second-tier action. Mark O'Haire shares his best bet...
"It’s a selection that’s paid out in 21/39 (54%) of Norwich’s outings this season, including 21 of their 25 triumphs"
Norwich v Huddersfield
Tuesday April 6, 19:45
Norwich denied late on
Norwich boss Daniel Farke has said there'll be no hangover from Good Friday's frustrating 1-1 draw at Preston as they prepare to take on Huddersfield this midweek. The Canaries have now been pegged back late on in their last two Championship matches either side of the recent international break as they bid to seal a Premier League return.
Farke labelled Preston's deflected 95th minute equaliser a 'sucker punch' but wants Norwich to deliver a knockout blow when they host the Terriers at Carrow Road. City boast a commanding 15-point cushion to third place and the German said, "It won't be difficult to pick them up. We need to add a few more points and the next chance is Huddersfield."
With a host of international players returning late, Farke's preparation was disrupted ahead of the trip to Deepdale. The Norwich coach is now waiting on Emi Buendia following an ankle injury at Preston; however, Max Aarons and Dimitris Giannoulis are expected to return, although fellow defender Andrew Omobamidele impressed on his full debut.
Huddersfield hold high-flyers
Huddersfield edged closer to Championship survival by earning a scrappy share of the spoils in a 1-1 stalemate with promotion hopefuls Brentford on Saturday. Lewis O'Brien took advantage of a mix-up between Bees goalkeeper David Raya and defender Mads Roerslev to put the Terriers ahead after seven minutes but it was largely backs-to-the-wall thereafter.
Town had little reason for complaint at the final score. The hosts were out-shout 3-15 across the 90 minutes and Brentford were firmly on top for the last hour, forcing Carlos Corberan's side to scrap and fight to gain every small and cynical advantage they possibly could, although the Huddersfield supremo was disappointed with the goal his side conceded.
Corberan said, "The team defended well against a team with a lot of good attacking options, so I think the point was a fair result, but the way we conceded the goal is disappointing." The Huddersfield boss switched things up with his approach, opting for a 4-2-3-1 system and suggested a four-man defence could be here to stay in the near future, including Tuesday.
Norwich come into this clash looking to secure a first league double over Huddersfield since the duo were down in League One back in 2009/10. The Canaries were 1-0 winners at the John Smith's Stadium last September but that aforementioned League One victory here a decade ago is their only taste of success at Town in their past six visits (W1-D2-L3).
Norwich 1.412/5 have suffered a league-low five losses (W25-D9-L5) with the Canaries proving particularly impressive since October's international break. Daniel Farke's outfit have W24-D8-L3 over their last 35 tussles with the hosts also posting a seriously strong unbeaten 17-game streak at their Carrow Road base (W12-D5-L0), their best since 1987.
Huddersfield 9.208/1 have earned only three league victories since Christmas, picking up 15 points from a possible 54 (W3-D6-L9) with Carlos Corberan's charges falling into the relegation battle reckoning. The Terriers have won only once in their past 14 away league outings (W1-D4-L9) and have been beaten in six of seven trips to top-nine teams this term.
Norwich's strong defensive numbers have meant the Canaries have proven an unreliable source for goal-hungry punters. In fact, 24/39 (62%) of City's Championship contests have featured fewer than three goals with Daniel Farke's troops seeing only 2.18 goals per-game on average in 2020/21, yet Under 2.5 Goals is trading at 2.1011/10 on Tuesday night.
In contrast, season-long trends suggest Huddersfield have been one of the second-tier's better sides to follow for goals. Nevertheless, a systematic switch in 2021 has ensured a lower goals trends when following the Terriers. Indeed, 10 of Town's past 15 have produced a maximum of two goals, including six of the last seven.
With that in mind, I'm happy to take up the attractive 1.9720/21 available on Norwich to win and Under 3.5 Goals in the Same Game Multi. It's a selection that's paid out in 21/39 (54%) of Norwich's outings this season, including 21 of their 25 triumphs and appears a smart solution for keeping the skinny 1.412/5 favourites onside at Carrow Road.
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