Betfair Official Blog

Although Portsmouth have lost three of their last four in the league at Fratton Park, one was against Man Utd and the other two came at the end of last season when all the club's focus was trained on the FA Cup. Even with those three defeats, they have lost only eight matches at home since the start of the 2006/07 season, going W11-D3-L5 against teams in the bottom half (including a draw and a loss to Man U).

Spurs' win in this fixture last season was their only away win against a team that wasn't relegated, going W3-D9-L9 on the road since the start of last season (W3-D6-L6 under Ramos). Even in the two seasons they finished fifth, Spurs managed just 11 wins in 38 away games, so an away win price of 2.92 looks too short. Nearly half of Tottenham's away games since the start of last season have finished 1-1 (6/21) or 2-1 to the home side (4/21) - including seven of 11 against teams outside the bottom six (3/11 and 4/11, respectively). The most common score at Fratton Park over the last two seasons has been 0-0 (8/40), with 0-1 (7/40) and 2-1 (6/40) the next most frequently occurring. The combined incidence (10/61) of those samples suggests there may be a touch of value in the 2-1 home win. In their 30 away league matches since the start of 2007, Spurs have gone into half-time level in 17 of them - the most in the league - with the D/D (8/30) and D/L (6/30) accounting for nearly half of those games.

Half of Portsmouth's 30 home games over the same period have been level at the break as well, including 12 of 21 since the start of last season and 11 of 17 since their 7-4 win over Reading. Again, the D/D (9/30) and D/W (9/30) stand out and covering the two could be a good option. Pompey's once-celebrated defence has been under fire of late, shipping 10 goals in their last two matches and managing only one clean sheet in their last nine in the league. They did keep six in the preceding nine games however, and have kept nine in 21 at home since the start of last season.

Spurs have failed to score only twice in their last season's worth of away games - at Everton and Chelsea - with the visitors failing to score in just three of their 34 against non-Big Four teams since the start of last season. On that basis 'No' looks to be the call at 1.33, although it is probably a market best left alone with Portsmouth's defence looking a little streaky. Spurs did keep a clean sheet in this fixture last season but that is one of only two since the start of the 06/07 season in 34 games away to teams that weren't relegated. That would suggest a 1.31 'No' price is well worth a look but Portsmouth failed to score in as many home games as Derby last term (10, 11/21 overall since the start of last season) so this is another one best avoided.

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