Betfair | Caen v Valenciennes. 05/04/2008, Kick-off 19:00 GMT+1

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Caen v Valenciennes. 05/04/2008, Kick-off 19:00 GMT+1

ORANGE LIGUE 1 : CAEN v VALENCIENNES

REASONS TO BACK: Caen win

Caen have won 8/16 (50%) at home this season but significantly have won 6/8 at home to sides with a higher PPG tally. Valenciennes have lost 65% on the road since promotion last season, including 67% against hosts with a higher PPG tally.

REASONS TO LAY: -2.5 goals

Nine of Caen's 16 (56%) home matches have had +2.5 goals, with 47% of Valenciennes' away games having +2.5 goals since promotion last season.

IN-PLAY: Caen to win after scoring first

Caen have scored first in 9/16 home matches this season, winning seven - while Valenciennes have lost 18/18 after conceding first on the road since the start of 2006-07.

MATCH MAP

	Ligue 2 Runner-up				Head to Head		Valenciennes
	Last 5 home	Last 19 home	Last 38 all	Last 5 v opp A form	Prom. home	Prom. all	Last 5 away	Last 19 away	Last 38 all	Last 5 v opp H form
Played	5	19	38	5	4	8	5	19	38	2
Won	1	9	11	1	2	2	0	2	12	0
Drawn	2	6	12	3	2	4	2	6	11	0
Lost	2	4	15	1	0	2	3	11	15	2
PPG	1.0	1.7	1.2	1.2	2.0	1.3	0.4	0.6	1.2	0.0
Matches +1.5	3	13	25	3	2	4	3	11	24	1
Matches +2.5	3	10	18	3	1	3	2	6	19	1
Matches +3.5	3	7	10	3	0	0	1	3	8	0
Scored First	0	9	14	2	1	1	2	6	15	0
Clean Sheets	2	8	11	2	2	4	1	5	15	0