Quarter-final action continues at the French Open today, and after a delayed winner on Tuesday morning, Dan Weston returns to preview the action...
"My medium-term clay data assessed Kvitova’s market price as being very accurate - I completely agree with the market line. While clay is Siegemund’s best surface, Kvitova is still the better clay-courter and it would be a surprise if she didn’t get the job done today."
Collins gets the job done for a delayed Tuesday winner
We were forced to wait not once, but twice, for a delayed winner as Danielle Collins eventually got the job done in the rescheduled match from Monday against Ons Jabeur. The rescheduling was the first delay, and then the second was Collins being taken to a deciding set after leading by a set and 3-0, but she got the job done eventually and has an all-American clash today with Sofia Kenin - more on that later.
Swiatek now a shade over even money for the tournament
There was a shock in the first quarter-final yesterday with Nadia Podoroska stunning Elina Svitolina in straight sets and the Argentinian qualifier now faces Iga Swiatek for a place in the final. Swiatek again steamrollered her opposition, losing just four games en route to a 6-3 6-1 win over another qualifier, Martina Trevisan. The Polish talent is now into 5/42.28 for the trophy after that convincing win, with the market faith in her strengthening even further.
Kvitova likely to have too much for Siegemund
Today the remaining two quarter-finals get played, and in the first, which is scheduled to get underway at 1100 UK time, sees Petra Kvitova face Laura Siegemund. Kvitova is the 1/31.33 favourite and the Czech left-hander is yet to drop a set in the entire competition so far, although arguably hasn't been exposed to as high quality opposition as Siegemund, who has played three top 50 players. Kvitova has played just one - Shuai Zhang - who doesn't have particularly impressive clay data.
Despite this, my medium-term clay data assessed Kvitova's market price as being very accurate - I completely agree with the market line. While clay is Siegemund's best surface, Kvitova is still the better clay-courter and it would be a surprise if she didn't get the job done today.
Collins not without a chance for Kenin clash
In the second semi-final our hero from yesterday, Danielle Collins, faces Sofia Kenin and it's Kenin who is the 4/61.65 favourite to progress. I think this is a little bit short but not unduly so - I'd have had her closer to 4/51.80 - but there's nothing actionable here.
We also have to consider that Kenin has had the benefit of an extra rest day as well, which wasn't afforded to Collins given yesterday's rescheduled win over Jabeur. Interestingly, Collins is 3-0 up from their previous matches although it's worth pointing out that two of those were in ITF events in 2017 when both players were ranked outside the top 100.
Collins did actually get the win at a fairly similar price on hard in Adelaide in January - just before Kenin won the Australian Open - and the lower-ranked American isn't without a chance here. A Collins win wouldn't be a particular surprise.
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