UK Politics

General Election: Tories 6/4 to lose 201+ seats after Clarke predicts 'massacre'

  • Max Liu
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 3:00 min read
UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak
When will Sunak leave Downing Street for the final time?

Get the latest odds on the Conservative party in meltdown after a senior Tory MP called for Rishi Sunak to leave before the next election or face a "massacre" on polling day...

  • Tories could be set for record election losses

  • Will Sunak be forced out before polling day?

  • Labour majority is heavy odds-on


The Conservatives are 2.466/4 on the Betfair Exchange to lose more than 201 seats at the next general election after a Tory MP said his party would face a 'massacre' at the polls if they do not get rid of Rishi Sunak.

Sir Simon Clarke criticised the prime minister in an article in the Telegraph and said the Tories had lost key voters due to their failure to be bold on immigration.

We still do not know when the general election will take place this year but on the Betfair Exchange October to December is 1.364/11. The month of election market is gathering pace and November looks set to be the favourite.

Rishi Sunak speech.jpg

Other MPs accused Clarke of putting his personal ambitions ahead of his party but the polling and betting is ominous for the Tories. Today, Betfair opened a market on the month of Sunak's departure.

A Labour majority at the next election is 1.261/4 and the Tories are as long as 18.017/1.

Sunak still odds-on to lead Tories into election

Betfair spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said: "Sir Simon Clarke has attracted criticism for his public criticism of Rishi Sunak, but he appears to be in touch with the mood of the UK when he predicts a 'massacre' for the Conservatives at the next general election.

"But despite Clarke's move, there seems little appetite publicly to force a vote of no confidence in Sunak, with the prime minister 1.121/8 to be the Tory leader at the next general election."


Next General Election Betting: The grim schedule awaiting Rishi Sunak

GET £50 IN FREE BETS MULTIPLES WHEN YOU SPEND £10 ON THE BETFAIR SPORTSBOOK

New customers only. Bet £10 on the Betfair Sportsbook at odds of min EVS (2.0) and receive £50 in FREE Bet Builders, Accumulators or Multiples to use on any sport. T&Cs apply.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.