Kevin Blake's Saturday Racing Tips: Mother Earth can land Chariot Stakes under Ryan Moore

Newmarket
Kevin Blake is backing fellow Betfair ambassador over at Newmarket

The ITV cameras head to Newmarket and Ascot this Saturday, where Betfair ambassador Kevin Blake has found two horses worth siding with.

It may be a case of the calm before the storm that is the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe on Sunday, but there is some great action at Newmarket and Ascot on Saturday that will provide appealing betting opportunities.

Mother Earth to relish Newmarket once more

The Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (14:55) is the main event at Newmarket and in common with many of the Group 1 races for three-year-old fillies this season, it has attracted a deep, high-class and fascinating field.

Cases can be made for many, but the one that stands out at the prices is the Aidan O'Brien-trained Mother Earth. The daughter of Zoffany has danced every dance this season and has yet to disappoint, winning the 1000 Guineas over this course and distance and the Prix Rothschild at Deauville as well as finishing in the frame in four other Group 1 races.

She really has put together a tremendous campaign and while some will inevitably think that her run of big performances has to come to an end at some stage given it started all the way back in early May, her latest effort in the Matron Stakes at Leopardstown showed no such signs of regression.

Indeed, it could readily be argued that she would have won that race with a clear run, but she endured a horrendous run through the closing stages that denied her a fair shot at the eventual winner. As it was, she finished third beaten just 1½ lengths and all involved with her will no doubt be keen to have another crack in this.

The threat of rain will hold no fears for her and personally, I am surprised she is not the favourite. It wouldn't be a surprise to see her shorten in price between now and the off time before she makes a very bold bid for glory.

Irish raider worth chancing at Ascot

Over at Ascot, the Equine Productions "The Fall" Challenge Cup (15:50) is just as fiercely competitive as one would expect for a contest of this type, but an Irish raider in the shape of the Ado McGuinness-trained Pierre Lapin takes the eye.

At one point, the four-year-old looked a potential star of the sport, winning the Mill Reef Stakes on just his second start and being sent off at 7/2 for the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot on just his third start. Unfortunately, the wheels came off in rather spectacular fashion and he ended up being sold for 80,000gns at the July Sale at Newmarket.

Ado McGuinness has a well-earned reputation for reviving horses that others consider lost causes and based on the evidence on Pierre Lapin's most recent start in the Sovereign Path Handicap on Irish Champions Weekend, he could well be on his way to reviving Pierre Lapin.

Squeezed back to the rear in the early stages, he was left with a fair bit to do in a race that suited those that were prominently placed, but he finished off the race to good effect to finish fourth. That run represented another step in the right direction and it wouldn't surprise if he can improve again from that. Conditions will suit and a big run from him would not surprise.

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