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Insurrection one to watch on handicap debut
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Brides Hill sets a high standard
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State Man can reverse Morgiana form
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Over the last five seasons, Paul Nicholls can boast a 24% strike rate with horses making their handicap chase debut, and Insurrection looks interesting now entering handicaps in this sphere with that in mind.
He was fairly useful over hurdles, winning twice in that sphere last season, but has always appealed as the type who will make up into an even better chaser (he's a winning Irish pointer), and he shaped with plenty of promise on his chase debut at Chepstow in October.
The Nicholls yard wasn't firing at that point, but he showed plenty to work on, making a few novicey mistakes, though he was beaten only by another promising newcomer to fences in the shape of Springwell Bay. Insurrection went backwards form that run when beaten over 30 lengths in the Rising Stars Novices' Chase at Wincanton last time, despite having finished in front of the winner of that race at Chepstow.
That clearly wasn't his true running and, based on the figure he ran to on his debut in this sphere, along with some of his hurdles form, an opening mark of 135 may well underestimate him. Insurrection tops Timeform weight-adjusted ratings and much better is expected now.
Back Insurrection in the 12:27 Doncaster
Gavin Cromwell doesn't have many runners at Doncaster, but he does have a 20% strike rate at the track, and he won this race 12 months ago with Limerick Lace, who went on to win the Mares' Chase at the Cheltenham Festival.
That therefore makes Brides Hill of particular interest. She is building an excellent record over fences, winning all of her last six completed starts, and she produced a big career-best effort when winning a Grade 2 at the Punchestown Festival on her final start.
Admittedly, it wasn't a deep race for the grade, but it was hard not to be impressed by the manner of Brides Hill's success, jumping well in the main and drawing well clear from the second-last to record a bloodless victory.
It wasn't her fault that the race fell apart around her and she looks the class act in this field on her return to action. She missed the Mares' Chase at the Cheltenham Festival last season due to the ground, but that race will likely be high on her agenda, and it is hard to see past her on her return to action - she is 4lb clear on Timeform weight-adjusted ratings.
Back Brides Hill in the 13:38 Doncaster
Willie Mullins has farmed the Neville Hotels Hurdle in recent years, winning the last six renewals, the last two of those with State Man, and they will be hoping to exact revenge on Brighterdaysahead, who came out on top in the Morgiana Hurdle at Punchestown last month.
Brighterdaysahead is clearly a progressive mare, but she did have race fitness on her side that day, having won a Grade 3 on her return, and you do have to question whether she can uphold that form now given State Man will be all the sharper.
State Man is a prolific hurdler in his own right, the reigning Champion Hurdler, and he met with defeat for just the second time in his last 14 starts in the Morgiana.
He still ran to a level which would have landed many a Grade 1, too, travelling well for much of the contest, and a final-flight blunder also didn't help his claims. State Man was headed on the run-in when having nothing more left to give, but that outing will have put an edge on him, and he still edges this on the form he's acheieved - he's 3lb clear on Timeform weight-adjusted ratings. Mullins had a one-two in the Savills Chase on Saturday and can record yet another win in this Grade 1.
Back State Man in the 14:30 Leopardstown
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