Jefferson 29% at Musselburgh in five seasons
Expect better from Russell's Inis
Alan Dudman has 6/42.50 and 9/25.50 selections on Thursday
Musselburgh will feel more like the Nevsky Prospekt today with winter arriving, and it's certainly a day for a thicker overcoat than Akaky Akakievich's, although the price of the opening selection is on the thin side, but I do think Autumn Return has a very strong chance.
She's in a Mares' Handicap Hurdle, and mare's races are never the strongest anyway and a return to the 2m4f looks ideal for Ruth Jefferson's runner.
The 6yo ran over 2m at Kelso last time and while the time was good in a race won by Bois Guillbert, the 2m was too sharp for her and the winner for Lucinda Russell looks potentially useful. Her final sectional of 15.15 seconds was quicker than the winner to suggest she was starting to get going.
That was her first start since the spring and she will clearly improve on that, while the ground today will hold no fears as she seems pretty adaptable and even has a win on good at Market Rasen.
She's progressive still, and has competed in some good races already and has won in this 0-120 grade before with victory at Perth last term.
Jefferson is 2-7 on the hot list at the moment and has a 29% record too at Musselburgh in the last five seasons.
The best race at Musselburgh today is over fences with the 3m Handicap Chase, and a couple of runners from last term's Scottish National are in the field here - and both head the market with Half Shot and Magna Sam both at 7/24.50.
Magna Sam also won an Edinburgh National and is blessed with a ton of stamina, but Inis Oirr is a horse who could be earmarked for those sort of races this term.
He caught the eye at Carlisle last time as the different tactics in holding the horse up didn't work as he ended up with far much to do.
The chaser had previously made the running at Kelso in October and jumped well throughout but made a bad mistake at the 10th and unseated his rider.
Hopefully the effort at Carlisle last time was more of a confidence booster and he looks a horse for marathon trips down the line. He was a one time possible for the Albert Bartlett, so his trainer Lucinda Russell, who doesn't miss with her stayers, clearly thinks there's a lot of stamina there.
Ground conditions will suit and he does have a 3m win at the track as a hurdler.