Get the best bets from Steve Rawlings, Dave Tindall and the rest of our golf experts for this week's PGA Tour event, the Bermuda Championship...
Dave Tindall says: "In both his visits to Port Royal, Armour finished in the top 10 for Driving Accuracy and Putting Average while he finished 21st in Par 4 Scoring on the PGA Tour last year."
The PGA Tour hops form Japan to Bermuda where we're all set for a blustery week so read The Punter's in-depth preview of the Bermuda Championship here.
Steve says: "Driving accuracy appears more important than distance here. Both the first two winners ranked fourth for Driving Accuracy and when Brendon Todd won the inaugural edition, six of the top-ten ranked inside the top-ten for Driving Accuracy. Gay was one of four players inside the top-ten to rank inside the top-ten for DA 12 months ago...
"The current third favourite, Patrick Reed, is bordering on a price too big to ignore given his obvious class but he's going to have to improve on his current poor form. His 17th in the 30-man Tour Championship is his only top-20 since he finished nicely at the US Open to tie for 19th back in June and like the two market leaders, Matt Fitzpatrick and Christiaan Bezuidenhout, he's playing Port Royal for the first time...
"Denny McCarthy went off favourite two years ago when finishing tied 15th and he backed that up 12 months ago with a tied fourth, despite a disappointing third round. Best known for his putting, McCarthy is also pretty straight off the tee so it's no surprise to see this place suit him and he's in fair form given he's finished 15th at the Wyndham Championship and 17th in the Sanderson Farms in two of his last five starts."
Steve's bet: Back Denny McCarthy @ 55.054/1
After headline selection Hideki Matsuyama won at 12/1 last week, Dave Tindall seeks more profits with three each-way tips for the action at Port Royal Golf Course.
Dave says: "It certainly feels like one of those course specialist weeks so I'm going to go with a player who has finished tied eighth in both editions here - Ryan Armour.
"The 45-year-old (Gay was 49 when he won) has shot all eight rounds under par at this venue and opened with 64 last year. He fired middle rounds of 66-65 in 2019. Armour played some strong golf in July with fifth at the Barbasol and sixth at the 3M Open before having to settle for tied 32nd and tied 33rd in the two closing Korn Ferry events.
"He's been a little sluggish since but this could be the place that kicks him back into gear. Armour has five top 25s at El Camaleon which is a similar test and does the right things to succeed on this course.
"In both his visits to Port Royal, Armour finished in the top 10 for Driving Accuracy and Putting Average while he finished 21st in Par 4 Scoring on the PGA Tour last year."
Dave's bet: Ryan Armour each-way @ 51.050/1
Andy Swales provides the form guide and course info as he looks for pointers to who may be in contention at Port Royal this week.
Andy says: "This week's event is certainly wide open, and will be one of the PGA Tour's weaker fields of the year. Among the recent Korn Ferry Graduates stepping up a tier this season is Mississippi's Hayden Buckley who has started life impressively at the top table.
"The world No 160 has already posted a brace of top 10s during his rookie campaign which only got underway last month.
"Located around 770 miles from the North Carolina coast, Port Royal is one of the most highly-rated public courses in the world. This coastal resort can be stunning on a good day but windswept on a bad one.
"It is not the longest of layouts on the PGA Tour calendar, and the fairways are reasonably generous. Water is only an issue on four holes, although the undulating greens will certainly test this week's competitors."
If you fancy trying to make a profit on day one of the Bermuda Championship then the First Round Leader market is where you need to be. Dave Tindall has picked out three each-way selections for you to consider, including headline pick Camilo Villegas.
Dave says: "There's a certain type of player who does well on the PGA Tour's small bunch of short, coastal tracks. Often, one of the attributes needed is an ability to handle windy conditions and that's definitely the case this year given the forecast.
"So step forward Camilo Villegas.
"The Colombian has always enjoyed this sort of test and makes extra appeal in this market given that his best work over the last 12 months has been done early.
"Villegas was the first-round leader at the RSM Classic (short, coastal track) last November and again at the Texas Open in April. More recently he was third after round one of the John Deere and fifth following the opening lap of the Nationwide Children's Hospital Championship.
"He arrives on the back of a decent tied 35th in the Shriners where he opened with 67 and added a 65 in round three. An early start could be to his advantage too so take Villegas for FRL at 75/1."
Dave's bet: Back Camilo Villegas E/W @ 76.075/1
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