60/161.00 shot sees Dave go Long
109/1110.00 Kizzire to catch the eye again says Steve
50/151.00 Scrivener backed for first round fizz
Bermuda Championship Tips & Predictions
Steve Rawlings: "This is a very weak field and by some distance the weakest of the FedEx Fall Series events staged so far.
"Last week's winner Erik Van Rooyen and Mackenzie Hughes are among those who have withdrawn since the weekend. We're left with only two players - the 2019 winner, Brendon Todd, and Lucas Glover - who finished inside the top-50 of the FedEx Cup standings after the Tour Championship.
"Given three of the first five Fall Series events went the way of someone inside the top-50, and that both men have won here previously, both have to be respected, but Australia's Adam Scott heads the market at 20/1.
"Having not missed a cut since June, Brendon Todd has been in fair form of late. He really should have won the John Deere Classic in July, where it has to be said, nerves got the better of him, but he's since finished seventh at the Wyndham Championship and sixth in the Fortinet, last time out, and a bold showing here looks likely."
Dave Tindall: "On first glance, it looks like a glitch in the stats when noting that Adam Long had 100% driving accuracy last week. But it's true. The American found 56 out of 56 fairways on Tiger's track and, although they were generous, that's still fairly bonkers.
"Of course, the stat that really counts is his finish and although tied 23rd was decent, it suggested he didn't really cash in.
"Long scrambled and putted well enough but his iron play wasn't up to scratch, although note that he was 18th for Greens In Regulation on his previous start when tied 35th at the Shriners in Las Vegas.
"In other words, if he can sharpen up his approaches, the pieces are there."
Steve Rawlings: "There are just two more events left in the FedEx Fall Series, this one and next week's RSM Classic, so time is running out for those in and around that crucial 125 mark in the standings so it's well worth carefully considering those who's future is in doubt.
"Sitting on 126 is Patton Kizzire who caught the eye in Mexico when finishing tied for 15th.
"The two-time PGA Tour winner is making his debut in Bermuda this week but given both his wins - the World Wide Technology in 2017 and the Sony Open in 2018 - came at tracks that correlate brilliantly with this one, a bold showing in Bermuda wouldn't be a surprise for the 37-year-old."
Andy Swales: "Those with a solid course history include Alex Smalley 25/1, Thomas Detry 14/1, Justin Lower 55/1 and Peter Malnati 70/1. World No 75 Smalley has had a brace of top-12 finishes from two starts.
"Further down the pecking order is former Port Royal champion Brian Gay 150/1 who has never finished lower than tied-12th in four visits. However, he is currently the world No 1,161, and since last year's tied-11th in Bermuda has missed 11 cuts from 12 starts.
"And the 2021 champ Lucas Herbert 20/1 returns to Port Royal after missing last year's event. The Australian is a likely contender this Sunday, in what is a low-quality PGA Tour field."
Nedbank Golf Challenge Tips & Predictions
Steve Rawlings: "Multiple winners are fairly common. When winning 12 months ago, Fleetwood became the ninth man to win the event twice, the seventh to successfully defend the title and four men - David Frost, Nick Price, Ernie Els, and Lee Westwood - have all won the event three times but nobody has won it three times in-a-row...
"Ryan Fox is very hard to ignore this week at around the 20/1 mark on the exchange. His career has been elevated to another level in the last 12 months or so with victories at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship last autumn and Wentworth in September.
"After three disappointing appearances here, when he finished 52nd, 50th and 57th, the penny dropped last year when he traded at odds-on on Sunday before eventually finishing third and if we can ignore last month's disappointing 52nd at the Andalucia Masters, he looks highly likely to contend given his recent form figures read 3-1-MC-2-52.
"He missed the cut at the Open de France but that was just days after winning at Wentworth and he still shot 68 in round two so I'm more than happy to ignore that performance.
"Fox has form at all the right correlating courses, he's in very strong general form, and he's already shown an aptitude for the venue."
Matt Cooper: "In just two starts at this event, the Englishman Aaron Rai has really taken to the test. Back in 2018, he finished eighth and a year later he was T13th (and tied sixth heading into the final round).
"In that first start, he ranked second for hitting the greens in regulation and he improved on that to rank first 12 months on.
"That's got to be a big tick in the box because seven of the last eight winners in this event at the Gary Player Country Club ranked eighth or better for GIR (with three ranking first and six ranked top four).
"Not only are his results on the course solid, he's also won at altitude (Sun City is 1,000 metres above sea level) when claiming the Kenya Open. That's good news because 10 of the last 11 winners of the tournament had lifted a trophy in thin air."
Dave Tindall: "Judging by his scores in round one, South African-born Aussie Jason Scrivener feels an instant fizz when he returns to his place of birth. Scrivener has ended the first day inside the top 20 in each of his last four starts in South Africa and the best of those came on this course.
"The 34-year-old opened with 69s on Gary Player's ultra-long par 72 in both 2018 and 2019, the last two times he played here. Those scores were good enough for fifth and seventh on the Thursday leaderboard and he went on to finish 16th and third so clearly this is a course he likes.
"Scrivener is in pretty good nick after three top 25s in his last five starts, including a ninth in the Qatar Masters last time. He was in the top dozen after 18 holes in two of those."
Andy Swales: "Two players who can claim to have both good current form, plus a decent recent history at Sun City, are Ryan Fox 12/1 and Aaron Rai 28/1.
"Fox, winner of this year's Wentworth PGA, was runner-up here 12 months ago and has posted three podium finishes in his last five starts.
"Rai, who spends most of his time in the States nowadays, finished second to Fox over the West Course, and tied-ninth in Qatar two weeks ago. His brace of Sun City appearances have yielded finishes of 8-13.
"Germany's Marcel Siem, although an unlikely champion this week, has had two top-six finishes at Sun City from three outings. And, during European Tour events last month, he notched up two top-10s. Perhaps a reasonable e/w shout."