Wales v Gibraltar: Back low-goals Bet Builder in Wrexham

• Wales haven't scored 3 in a game in their last 19

• Gibraltar without a goal in their last 6

• Back Bet Builder at 6/52.20

• Read about Betfair's new 90 Minute Payout offer here

Wales v Gibraltar
Wednesday 11 October, 19:45
Live on Viaplay Sports 1 and S4C

This month's international window is open for business on Wednesday when Wales host Gibraltar in a friendly.

OK, it's hardly the most exciting fixture to kick things off but the Welsh will surely be looking to build some momentum ahead of Sunday's Euro 2024 qualifier with Croatia which looks huge.

That said, it won't be anything like Rob Page's first-choice XI which takes to the field at Wrexham's Racecourse Ground.

Page has already vowed to give a number of his young players a chance in this game against one of Europe's minnows.

"(This) is the perfect opportunity to show supporters what we've got coming through but for me to have closer look at them," he said.

Those youngsters include Charlie Savage, son of Robbie and currently at Reading; Owen Beck, on loan at Dundee from Liverpool; and Fulham teenager Luke Harris.

All are expected to play.

Leg 1: Wales to win

A raft of changes raises the prospect of a rather disjointed performance from a Wales team who have struggled for score goals for some time.

They've failed to score more than twice in each of their last 19 internationals, a period which has included two recent games against Latvia.

Both were won - as this will likely be - but going low on goals looks a decent punting angle.

Leg 2: Under 3.5 goals

The majority of that 19-game run has been played against better opposition than this but of the European teams who made it to the World Cup, Wales were the lowest-scoring in qualifying and, since then, they've clearly missed Gareth Bale's creativity.

Aaron Ramsey is also missing for this international window so you do wonder if they will have the players to regularly break down what is likely to be a packed defence.

A Wales win and under 2.5 goals is a tempting bet at 13/53.60 but preference is for the safety net of under 3.5 goals.

Leg 3: Both teams to score 'no'

Gibraltar have their own goalscoring problems - they've failed to find the net in their last six - but they've rarely totally collapsed.

They only conceded three against France and Netherlands in Euro 2024 qualifying so if they can limit sides of that sort of quality, there's good reason to expect them to be able to deal with an under-strength Wales.

Given those Gibraltar shut-outs, it's also worth adding the both-teams-to-score 'no' option to create a three-legged Bet Builder which pays around 6/52.20.

There are plenty of player props markets for this game but the pitfalls are obvious - we can't be sure who will start and of those that do, how many will depart at half time or at some point in the second half?

Player props options

Still, I'll mention a few bets which may be of interest once the team line-ups are announced.

Owen Beck should be given licence to get forward - Page usually goes with a back three which is likely to mean the Dundee man is employed as left wing-back.

He's had 1+ shot in four of his seven games for the Dens Park outfit this season. He's 3/101.30 for another here and an interesting 13/82.63 for 2+.

However, perhaps this is a good time to utilise the 'shots in the first half' market given the obvious potential for an early substitution. Beck is 11/102.11 for 1+ in this market and 6/17.00 for 2+.

It's also worth noting that Beck has been carded in three of those seven matches. He's 13/27.50 for a card in this contest, although friendlies are well known for their low card count and 8/19.00 about no cards being shown by Maltese referee Philip Farrugia will surely have its backers.

Finally, Luton defender Tom Lockyer may get to fill one of the centre-back slots to win what would be his first cap in two years. If that's the case, he'll likely be a major threat from set pieces, an area in which Wales have been strong for some time.

Sixteen of their last 30 goals have come from set plays.

Lockyer, who scored at Everton the other week, has had 1+ shot in three of his last five club games and 2+ in two of his last three.

Lockyer is 4/15.00 to score at any time but 12/113.00 about him netting the first goal of the game looks the better option.

Euro 2024 qualifiers: The best bets for Thursday's matches